NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2NYR

NYR

34-39-9

50-26-6

NHLWed, Apr 15FinalSeriesNYR win series 2-1VegasTB -142

Recap · NHL

ew York Rangers went into Tampa Bay Lightning and beat them, 4–2.

NYR +1.5 cashed (TB lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYR · top performer

Tye Kartye

LW · #24

3Points

—

SOG

TB · top performer

Corey Perry

RW · #10

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ChmelarRW · #49	0	0	0	1	4	1	4	13:26
W. CuylleLW · #50	0	1	1	1	5	2	4	14:39
T. KartyeLW · #24	2	1	1	3	2	1	2	15:05
N. LabaC · #42	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	11:27
A. LafreniereLW · #13	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	18:13
J.T. MillerLW · #8	0	2	0	2	0	1	0	16:23
G. PerreaultRW · #94	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	17:10
T. RaddyshRW · #14	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	8:57
C. ShearyLW · #43	0	1	-1	2	0	0	0	11:37
A. SykoraLW · #38	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	8:44
V. TrocheckC · #16	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	20:19
M. ZibanejadC · #93	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	21:42

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. BorgenD · #17	0	0	1	0	1	4	0	16:17
D. FortescueD · #45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	15:44
A. FoxD · #23	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	21:32
V. GavrikovD · #44	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	26:23
M. RobertsonD · #29	0	0	2	0	2	1	0	16:41
B. SchneiderD · #4	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	19:41

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. GarandG · #33	31	2	29	.935	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
O. BjorkstrandRW · #22	1	0	1	2	2	2	2	19:16
M. ChaffeeRW · #41	0	1	0	0	5	1	0	13:19
Z. GirgensonsC · #28	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	17:43
G. GoncalvesC · #93	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	12:56
Y. GourdeC · #37	0	0	-2	1	1	0	0	18:56
B. HagelLW · #38	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	20:16
N. KucherovRW · #86	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	20:54
N. PaulLW · #20	0	0	-1	3	0	0	0	21:47
J. PelletierLW · #11	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	11:10
C. PerryRW · #10	1	0	1	4	0	1	2	16:12
S. SabourinRW · #46	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	11:27

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. CarlileD · #67	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	18:46
E. CernakD · #81	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	15:53
M. CrozierD · #24	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	16:30
C. D'AstousD · #51	0	0	-1	3	1	0	2	19:45
E. LillebergD · #78	0	1	1	1	0	1	4	16:20
D. RaddyshD · #43	0	0	-1	5	1	2	0	18:51
S. SantiniD · #16	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	8:49

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. HalversonG · #33	21	4	17	.810	56:47

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

NYR win series 2-1

Nov 13

NYR7@

TB3

Nov 29

TB4@

NYR1

Apr 15

NYR4@

TB2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

TB -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYR+12045%

TB-14259%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet TB -1.5↗SpreadBet TB -1.5↗

Line movement · 48 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

NYR

T. Kartye

Top skater

2 G · 1 A · 3 SOG

D. Garand

Goaltender

29 SV · 2 GA · .935

C. Perry

Top skater

1 G · 4 SOG

B. Halverson

Goaltender

17 SV · 4 GA · .810

How it ended

NYR beat TB 4-2. T. Kartye led the way — 2 G · 1 A · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYR	1	3	0	4
TB	0	1	1	2

Period scoring

NYR won 2 · TB won 1

NYR

Play-by-play · 310 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·19:46
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Nick Paul
·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·19:46
Goalie Stopped
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·19:43
Brandon Hagel Slap Shot saved by Dylan Garand
·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·19:39
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·19:16
Tye Kartye shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
· ·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·19:11
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Nick Paul
·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·19:11
Icing
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·19:04
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Nick Paul
·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·19:04
Icing
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·19:00
Vladislav Gavrikov Snap Shot Wide Right
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·18:39
Brandon Hagel Backhand saved by Dylan Garand
·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·18:36
Nick Paul faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·18:36
Timeout - Home
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·18:36
Goalie Stopped
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·18:34
Darren Raddysh Slap Shot saved by Dylan Garand
· ·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·18:21
Darren Raddysh Slap Shot saved by Dylan Garand
· ·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·18:10
Corey Perry Snap Shot Wide Right
·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·17:53
Nick Paul Tip-In saved by Dylan Garand
·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·17:37
Corey Perry Tip-In saved by Dylan Garand
·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·17:03
Giveaway by Darren Raddysh
·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·16:50
Giveaway by Braden Schneider
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·16:47
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Nick Paul
·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·16:47
Tye Kartye Slashing against Darren Raddysh
· ·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·16:43
Mika Zibanejad faceoff won against Nick Paul
·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·16:43
Goalie Stopped
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·16:40
Taylor Raddysh Deflected saved by Brandon Halverson
· ·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·16:19
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Will Borgen
·
NYR 4·TB 2
3rd·16:12
Corey Perry shot blocked by Will Borgen
·
NYR 4·TB 2

Team stats

NYR

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

TB -1.5·O/U 6.5·NYR +120/TB -142

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

J.T. MillerNYR · LW
SHOT MPH102.699+
Adam FoxNYR · D
CORSI%6094
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
DIST MI263.494
Noah LabaNYR · C
BURSTS17992
Jaroslav ChmelarNYR · RW
SKATE MPH23.291

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

65.6%

ensemble · TB favored

Elo Static
70.3%
P(TB win)
45%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
70.3%
P(TB win)
11%
weight
Xg Blend
70.0%
P(TB win)
44%
weight

Disagreement

0.15 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

99% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

2 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-142

Close price

-142

Open no-vig

56.3%

Close no-vig

56.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

TB vs NYR.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 123 high confidence

Shots on goal

Nikita KucherovTB
3.5± 2.3high
Brandon HagelTB
3.2± 1.4high
Jake GuentzelTB
2.8± 1.5high

Goals

Brandon HagelTB
0.6± 0.8high
Gabe PerreaultNYR
0.4± 1.0high
Jake GuentzelTB
0.4± 0.5high

Points

Adam FoxNYR
1.2± 1.0high
Nikita KucherovTB
1.1± 0.9high
J.T. MillerNYR
1.0± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands