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Eastern Conference · 2 seed
Buffalo Sabres
50-23 · L1 · L10 6-3-1
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#3 of 32
Elo rating 1565.7 · as of 2026-06-15 · nhl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2026-05-10 → 2026-05-18 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 4 at MTL, 2-6, 2026-05-10. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 1 at MTL, 3-2, 2026-05-12. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 3 vs MTL, 3-6, 2026-05-14. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 5 at MTL, 8-3, 2026-05-16. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 1 vs MTL, 2-3, 2026-05-18. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Points
- 1Tage Thompson81 GP81
- 2Rasmus Dahlin77 GP74
- 3Alex Tuch79 GP66
- 4Ryan McLeod81 GP54
- 5Josh Doan82 GP52
Goals
- 1Tage Thompson81 GP40
- 2Alex Tuch79 GP33
- 3Josh Doan82 GP25
- 4Jason Zucker62 GP24
- 5Jack Quinn82 GP20
Assists
- 1Rasmus Dahlin77 GP55
- 2Tage Thompson81 GP41
- 3Ryan McLeod81 GP40
- 4Alex Tuch79 GP33
- 5Bowen Byram82 GP31
Power-play goals
- 1Jason Zucker62 GP10
- 2Josh Doan82 GP9
- 3Alex Tuch79 GP7
- 4Tage Thompson81 GP6
- 5Rasmus Dahlin77 GP6
Save percentage
- 1Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen34 GS.910
- 2Alex Lyon34 GS.907
- 3Colten Ellis14 GS.903
Min 10 starts.
Goals against average
- 1Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen34 GS2.52
- 2Alex Lyon34 GS2.77
- 3Colten Ellis14 GS2.90
Min 10 starts.
2025-26 regular season · NHL club-stats API (api-web.nhle.com) · counting boards ungated; goalie SV% / GAA min 10 starts
Period identity
When they score
Pattern by period
12 games · for vs against
ForAgainst
3.3 avg / 2.8 allowed
Scoring identity
How they score
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 3.3 goals
Form heatmap
The margin trail
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-03-12 → 2026-05-18
Record
17-13
Win pct
56.7%
Avg margin
+0.5
Longest W
4
Longest L
3
Upset wins
4
Favorite losses
11
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
The Elo timeline
95 games · 2025-10-09 → 2026-05-18
Peak 1574 · Now 1566 · Trough 1471
Forwards · 21
Forwards
Alex Tuch
RW · #89
66 PTS33 G
Anton Wahlberg
C · #92
Beck Malenstyn
LW · #29
14 PTS7 G
Jack Quinn
RW · #22
51 PTS20 G
Jason Zucker
LW · #17
45 PTS24 G
Jiri Kulich
C · #20
5 PTS3 G
Jordan Greenway
LW · #12
6 PTS1 G
Josh Doan
RW · #91
52 PTS25 G
Josh Dunne
C · #44
4 PTS1 G
Josh Norris
C · #9
34 PTS13 G
Justin Danforth
RW · #15
0 PTS0 G
Konsta Helenius
C · #94
4 PTS1 G
Noah Ostlund
C · #86
27 PTS11 G
Peyton Krebs
C · #19
39 PTS12 G
Riley Fiddler-Schultz
C · #45
Ryan McLeod
C · #71
54 PTS14 G
Sam Carrick
C · #10
16 PTS9 G
Tage Thompson
C · #72
81 PTS40 G
Tanner Pearson
LW · #70
15 PTS7 G
Tyson Kozak
C · #48
6 PTS2 G
Zach Benson
LW · #6
43 PTS13 G
Defensemen · 13
The blue line
Artem Kriukov
D
Bowen Byram
D · #4
42 PTS11 G
Conor Timmins
D · #21
8 PTS0 G
Logan Stanley
D · #64
26 PTS9 G
Luke Schenn
D · #5
7 PTS1 G
Mattias Samuelsson
D · #23
41 PTS13 G
Michael Kesselring
D · #8
2 PTS0 G
Owen Power
D · #25
29 PTS8 G
Radim Mrtka
D · #57
Rasmus Dahlin
D · #26
74 PTS19 G
Ryan Johnson
D · #33
0 PTS0 G
Vsevolod Komarov
D · #76
Zach Metsa
D · #73
6 PTS2 G
Goalies · 4
