NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2BUF

BUF

50-23-9

BOS

45-27-10

NHLThu, Apr 23FinalSeriesBOS wins series 3-1VegasBOS -115

BUF · top performer

Noah Ostlund

C · #86

2Points

—

SOG

BOS · top performer

Tanner Jeannot

LW · #84

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BensonLW · #6	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	16:31
J. DoanRW · #91	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	14:49
J. GreenwayLW · #12	0	0	-1	0	2	0	2	9:13
T. KozakC · #48	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	8:35
P. KrebsC · #19	0	1	1	2	4	0	2	12:47
B. MalenstynLW · #29	0	0	-1	1	5	0	0	9:27
R. McLeodC · #71	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	18:49
N. OstlundC · #86	1	1	2	2	0	1	0	14:18
J. QuinnRW · #22	0	1	1	5	1	0	0	16:52
T. ThompsonC · #72	0	0	1	3	2	0	2	19:16
A. TuchRW · #89	1	0	1	2	3	0	0	21:26
J. ZuckerLW · #17	0	0	1	4	3	0	0	17:21

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. ByramD · #4	1	1	3	2	1	2	0	21:59
R. DahlinD · #26	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	23:29
O. PowerD · #25	0	1	2	0	1	2	0	19:59
M. SamuelssonD · #23	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	18:33
L. StanleyD · #64	0	0	-1	0	3	1	0	13:25
C. TimminsD · #21	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	15:16

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. LyonG · #34	25	1	24	.960	59:55

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. ArvidssonLW · #71	0	0	-1	4	0	1	0	15:33
M. GeekieC · #39	0	0	-1	2	1	0	2	19:32
J. HagensC · #44	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	9:53
T. JeannotLW · #84	1	0	1	2	5	0	4	9:10
M. KastelicC · #47	0	0	1	3	8	0	2	11:15
M. KhusnutdinovC · #92	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	14:15
S. KuralyC · #52	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	10:41
E. LindholmC · #28	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	18:34
F. MintenC · #93	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	16:23
C. MittelstadtC · #11	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	14:44
D. PastrnakRW · #88	0	0	-3	5	3	0	0	21:21
P. ZachaC · #18	0	0	-2	5	3	1	0	19:54

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AspirotD · #45	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	13:27
H. LindholmD · #27	0	0	-2	0	0	0	2	21:37
M. LohreiD · #6	0	0	-1	0	0	2	0	15:18
C. McAvoyD · #73	0	1	0	3	2	7	0	27:07
A. PeekeD · #26	0	0	-1	0	1	2	0	18:21
N. ZadorovD · #91	0	0	-1	0	2	0	2	16:32

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SwaymanG · #1	29	2	27	.931	58:14

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

BUF

Away

Stat

BOS

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Playoff series

BUF leads series 2-1

Apr 19

BOS3@

BUF4

Apr 21

BOS4@

BUF2

Apr 23

BUF3@

BOS1today

Apr 26

BUF6@

BOS1

Apr 28

BOS2@

BUF1

May 1

BUF4@

BOS1

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BOS -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BUF-10551%

BOS-11553%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗

Line movement · 70 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BUF beat BOS 3-1. N. Ostlund led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 2 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	2	3
BOS	0	1	0	1

Period scoring

BUF won 1 · BOS won 0

BUF

BOS

Play-by-play · 325 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·20:00
Tanner Jeannot Cross-checking against Jordan Greenway
·
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·20:00
Jordan Greenway Roughing against Tanner Jeannot
·
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·19:51
Tyson Kozak faceoff won against Sean Kuraly
·
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·19:51
Mark Kastelic Roughing against Rasmus Dahlin
·
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·19:51
Goalie Stopped
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·19:49
Mark Kastelic Deflected saved by Alex Lyon
·
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·19:47
Fraser Minten faceoff won against Tage Thompson
·
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·19:47
Icing
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·19:36
Tyson Kozak shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
·
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·19:25
Morgan Geekie Snap Shot Hit Left Post
·
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·19:20
Morgan Geekie Wrist Shot Above Crossbar
·
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·18:52
Pavel Zacha hit Conor Timmins
·
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·18:40
Takeaway by Charlie McAvoy
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·18:36
Noah Ostlund faceoff won against Pavel Zacha
·
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·18:36
Noah Ostlund Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Jack Quinn (2)
·
BUF 3·BOS 1
3rd·18:21
David Pastrnak shot blocked by Conor Timmins
·
BUF 2·BOS 1
3rd·17:41
Nikita Zadorov hit Peyton Krebs
·
BUF 2·BOS 1
3rd·17:09
Takeaway by Alex Tuch
BUF 2·BOS 1
3rd·16:56
Rasmus Dahlin hit Mark Kastelic
·
BUF 2·BOS 1
3rd·16:41
Zach Benson Backhand saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BUF 2·BOS 1
3rd·16:25
Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Noah Ostlund
·
BUF 2·BOS 1
3rd·16:25
Goalie Stopped
BUF 2·BOS 1
3rd·16:23
Noah Ostlund Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BUF 2·BOS 1
3rd·15:52
Viktor Arvidsson Snap Shot saved by Alex Lyon
·
BUF 2·BOS 1
3rd·15:47
Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Ryan McLeod
·
BUF 2·BOS 1
3rd·15:47
Puck in Netting
BUF 2·BOS 1
3rd·15:44
Charlie McAvoy Slap Shot saved by Alex Lyon
·
BUF 2·BOS 1
3rd·15:35
Pavel Zacha Slap Shot saved by Alex Lyon
·
BUF 2·BOS 1

Betting line

BOS -1.5·O/U 6.5·BUF -105/BOS -115

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

uffalo Sabres went into Boston Bruins and beat them, 3–1.

BUF +1.5 cashed (BOS lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Ryan McLeodBUF · C
BURSTS7298
Josh DoanBUF · RW
iXG26.793
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
SKATE MPH23.091
Rasmus DahlinBUF · D
SHOT MPH96.091
Logan StanleyBUF · D
SHOT MPH95.991

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.7%

ensemble · BUF favored

Elo Static
52.0%
P(BOS win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
52.0%
P(BOS win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
52.0%
P(BOS win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.