NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2BUF

BUF

48-23-8

NYR

33-37-9

NHLWed, Apr 8FinalSeriesBUF wins series 2-1VegasBUF -135

BUF · top performer

Zach Benson

LW · #6

2Points

—

SOG

NYR · top performer

Alexis Lafreniere

LW · #13

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BensonLW · #6	2	0	1	3	0	1	0	12:59
J. DoanRW · #91	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	13:08
T. KozakC · #48	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	10:50
P. KrebsC · #19	0	1	1	2	3	1	2	15:04
B. MalenstynLW · #29	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	10:15
R. McLeodC · #71	1	1	1	2	0	1	2	17:10
J. NorrisC · #9	0	1	2	2	0	2	2	14:46
T. PearsonLW · #70	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	8:52
J. QuinnRW · #22	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	19:24
T. ThompsonC · #72	0	1	1	2	1	1	0	22:18
A. TuchRW · #89	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	19:05
J. ZuckerLW · #17	1	1	2	4	0	1	0	18:14

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. ByramD · #4	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	22:07
R. DahlinD · #26	0	1	2	2	0	1	0	24:30
M. KesselringD · #8	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	10:37
O. PowerD · #25	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	20:09
M. SamuelssonD · #23	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	20:39
C. TimminsD · #21	0	1	2	1	0	4	0	16:26

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
U. LuukkonenG · #1	20	3	17	.850	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BrodzinskiC · #22	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	12:03
J. ChmelarRW · #49	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	11:15
W. CuylleLW · #50	0	0	-2	3	8	1	0	15:46
T. KartyeLW · #24	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	16:07
N. LabaC · #42	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	13:33
A. LafreniereLW · #13	2	0	-2	2	0	0	0	15:07
J.T. MillerLW · #8	0	1	-1	3	0	1	0	20:51
G. PerreaultRW · #94	0	0	-1	0	1	1	0	12:09
C. ShearyLW · #43	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12:28
A. SykoraLW · #38	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	11:16
V. TrocheckC · #16	0	1	-1	0	3	1	2	18:48
M. ZibanejadC · #93	0	1	-3	2	1	1	0	18:44

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. BorgenD · #17	0	0	-1	0	1	1	2	15:24
D. FortescueD · #45	0	1	-1	0	1	0	0	13:34
A. FoxD · #23	1	1	-1	1	1	0	2	23:20
V. GavrikovD · #44	0	0	-1	1	1	0	2	24:41
M. RobertsonD · #29	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	15:52
B. SchneiderD · #4	0	0	-2	3	5	2	0	22:35

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ShesterkinG · #31	26	4	22	.846	58:27

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

BUF

Away

Stat

NYR

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

66.7

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

BUF wins series 2-1

Oct 9

NYR4@

BUF0

Jan 9

BUF5@

NYR2

Apr 8

BUF5@

NYR3today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BUF -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BUF-13557%

NYR+11447%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BUF -1.5↗SpreadBet BUF -1.5↗

Line movement · 54 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BUF beat NYR 5-3. Z. Benson led the way — 2 G · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
BUF	2	0	3	5
NYR	1	2	0	3

Period scoring

BUF won 2 · NYR won 1

BUF

NYR

Play-by-play · 291 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·19:55
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Braden Schneider
·
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·19:52
Ryan McLeod faceoff won against Noah Laba
·
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·19:52
Off-side
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·19:43
Ryan McLeod faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·19:43
Icing
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·19:38
Giveaway by Alexis Lafrenière
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·19:10
Mika Zibanejad Slap Shot Hit Left Post
·
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·19:08
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Tyson Kozak
·
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·19:08
Icing
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·19:00
Alex Tuch faceoff won against J.T. Miller
·
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·19:00
Puck in Crowd
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·18:54
Giveaway by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·18:45
Noah Laba faceoff won against Tyson Kozak
·
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·18:45
Zach Benson Goal (12) Wrist Shot, assists: Josh Doan (26), Josh Norris (19)
· ·
BUF 5·NYR 3
3rd·18:25
J.T. Miller Snap Shot saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
·
BUF 4·NYR 3
3rd·18:05
Tyson Kozak hit Tye Kartye
·
BUF 4·NYR 3
3rd·17:33
Braden Schneider hit Beck Malenstyn
·
BUF 4·NYR 3
3rd·17:03
Giveaway by Noah Laba
BUF 4·NYR 3
3rd·15:52
Tage Thompson Snap Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
BUF 4·NYR 3
3rd·15:40
Tage Thompson faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
BUF 4·NYR 3
3rd·15:40
Icing
BUF 4·NYR 3
3rd·15:24
Takeaway by Owen Power
BUF 4·NYR 3
3rd·14:39
Gabe Perreault hit Zach Benson
·
BUF 4·NYR 3
3rd·14:24
Tyson Kozak hit Gabe Perreault
·
BUF 4·NYR 3
3rd·14:14
Tyson Kozak faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad
·
BUF 4·NYR 3
3rd·14:14
Icing
BUF 4·NYR 3
3rd·13:57
Jonny Brodzinski faceoff won against Tyson Kozak
·
BUF 4·NYR 3
3rd·13:57
Icing
BUF 4·NYR 3

Betting line

BUF -1.5·O/U 6.5·BUF -135/NYR +114

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

uffalo Sabres went into New York Rangers and beat them, 5–3.

BUF -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Jason Zucker · BUF18:120.6760.0%77.9%18:12 TOI · 0.67 iXG · 60.0% CF · 77.9% xGF
Zach Benson · BUF13:000.5642.3%56.1%13:00 TOI · 0.56 iXG · 42.3% CF · 56.1% xGF
Tage Thompson · BUF22:240.4563.4%69.7%22:24 TOI · 0.45 iXG · 63.4% CF · 69.7% xGF
Will Cuylle · NYR16:120.4261.1%44.4%16:12 TOI · 0.42 iXG · 61.1% CF · 44.4% xGF
Josh Norris · BUF14:420.3455.6%77.8%14:42 TOI · 0.34 iXG · 55.6% CF · 77.8% xGF
Jack Quinn · BUF19:360.3358.6%77.6%19:36 TOI · 0.33 iXG · 58.6% CF · 77.6% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen · BUF17–3.850-1.1417–3 · .850 SV% · -1.14 GSAx
Igor Shesterkin · NYR22–4.846-1.2022–4 · .846 SV% · -1.20 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

44.6%

ensemble · BUF favored

Elo Static
44.6%
P(NYR win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
44.6%
P(NYR win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
44.6%
P(NYR win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

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