NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+4BUF

BUF

50-23-8

CHI

28-39-14

NHLMon, Apr 13FinalSeriesBUF wins series 2-0VegasBUF -198

BUF · top performer

Tage Thompson

C · #72

2Points

—

SOG

CHI · top performer

Anton Frondell

C · #16

0Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BensonLW · #6	0	1	2	4	0	1	0	14:22
J. DoanRW · #91	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	13:29
J. GreenwayLW · #12	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	12:59
T. KozakC · #48	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	10:49
P. KrebsC · #19	0	0	2	1	4	0	0	14:32
B. MalenstynLW · #29	0	0	0	2	2	2	2	11:32
R. McLeodC · #71	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	16:08
J. NorrisC · #9	1	0	1	2	1	1	0	12:35
J. QuinnRW · #22	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	14:02
T. ThompsonC · #72	2	0	2	6	2	0	0	17:31
A. TuchRW · #89	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	21:23
J. ZuckerLW · #17	0	1	0	2	1	1	2	14:09

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. ByramD · #4	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	21:11
R. DahlinD · #26	0	2	2	0	0	0	2	20:59
O. PowerD · #25	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	22:56
M. SamuelssonD · #23	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	18:59
L. StanleyD · #64	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	15:37
C. TimminsD · #21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16:51

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
U. LuukkonenG · #1	16	1	15	.938	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. BedardC · #98	0	0	-3	0	1	1	0	22:31
T. BertuzziLW · #59	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	18:44
A. BurakovskyLW · #28	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	13:17
R. DonatoC · #8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	13:49
A. FrondellC · #16	0	0	-2	5	0	0	0	19:06
R. GreeneC · #20	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	17:07
N. LardisLW · #76	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	15:18
I. MikheyevRW · #95	0	1	-1	0	0	0	0	15:39
F. NazarC · #91	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	17:35
L. SlaggertLW · #84	0	0	-1	0	1	1	0	11:03
T. TeravainenC · #86	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	17:45
D. ToninatoC · #25	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	9:32

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. CrevierD · #46	0	0	-1	1	2	1	2	18:41
E. Del MastroD · #38	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	16:13
W. KaiserD · #44	0	0	-3	0	0	1	0	20:17
K. KorchinskiD · #14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13:43
S. RinzelD · #6	0	0	-2	1	0	1	2	16:16
A. VlasicD · #72	0	0	-2	0	0	1	0	19:43

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. KnightG · #30	26	5	21	.808	59:41

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

BUF

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

BUF wins series 2-0

Nov 22

CHI3@

BUF9

Apr 14

BUF5@

CHI1today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BUF -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BUF-19866%

CHI+16438%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BUF -1.5↗SpreadBet BUF -1.5↗

Line movement · 62 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BUF beat CHI 5-1. T. Thompson led the way — 2 G · 6 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	1	3	5
CHI	1	0	0	1

Period scoring

BUF won 2 · CHI won 0

BUF

CHI

Play-by-play · 272 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
BUF 5·CHI 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BUF 5·CHI 1
3rd·19:41
Nick Lardis Wrist Shot saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
·
BUF 5·CHI 1
3rd·19:03
Tyson Kozak hit Teuvo Teravainen
·
BUF 5·CHI 1
3rd·18:53
Teuvo Teravainen faceoff won against Tyson Kozak
·
BUF 5·CHI 1
3rd·18:53
High Stick
BUF 5·CHI 1
3rd·18:48
Giveaway by Logan Stanley
BUF 5·CHI 1
3rd·18:43
Tyson Kozak faceoff won against Ryan Greene
·
BUF 5·CHI 1
3rd·18:43
Puck in Benches
BUF 5·CHI 1
3rd·18:35
Tyson Kozak faceoff won against Ryan Greene
·
BUF 5·CHI 1
3rd·18:35
Ryan McLeod Goal (14) Wrist Shot, assists: Zach Benson (29), Owen Power (19)
· ·
BUF 5·CHI 1
3rd·17:38
Josh Norris faceoff won against Connor Bedard
·
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·17:38
Puck Frozen - Goalie
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·17:36
Ethan Del Mastro shot blocked by Zach Benson
·
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·16:33
Tage Thompson faceoff won against Dominic Toninato
·
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·16:33
Icing
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·15:51
Tyson Kozak Wrist Shot Failed Bank Attempt
·
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·15:50
Tyson Kozak Deflected saved by Spencer Knight
·
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·15:48
Beck Malenstyn Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight
·
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·14:59
Ryan McLeod faceoff won against Connor Bedard
·
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·14:59
Goalie Stopped
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·14:57
Ethan Del Mastro Wrist Shot saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
·
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·14:51
Anton Frondell Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·14:36
Zach Benson Tip-In saved by Spencer Knight
·
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·14:21
Josh Norris faceoff won against Anton Frondell
·
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·14:21
Puck in Crowd
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·13:46
Jordan Greenway hit Landon Slaggert
·
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·13:08
Tyson Kozak hit Dominic Toninato
·
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·13:02
Giveaway by Ryan Donato
BUF 4·CHI 1
3rd·12:47
Giveaway by Frank Nazar
BUF 4·CHI 1

Betting line

BUF -1.5·O/U 6.5·BUF -198/CHI +164

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

uffalo Sabres went into Chicago Blackhawks and beat them, 5–1.

BUF -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

36.8%

ensemble · BUF favored

Elo Static
36.8%
P(CHI win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
36.8%
P(CHI win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
36.8%
P(CHI win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

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