NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1DAL

DAL

50-20-12

BUF

50-23-9

NHLWed, Apr 15FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasDAL -148

Recap · NHL

allas Stars went into Buffalo Sabres and beat them, 4–3.

BUF +1.5 cashed (DAL won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DAL · top performer

Esa Lindell

D · #23

2Points

—

SOG

BUF · top performer

Zach Benson

LW · #6

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
O. BackC · #10	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	13:36
J. BennLW · #14	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	13:46
M. BourqueC · #22	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	17:06
M. BuntingLW · #58	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	12:36
M. DucheneC · #95	0	0	-2	0	1	0	0	17:26
A. ErneLW · #73	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	13:23
R. FaksaC · #12	0	0	0	3	3	2	2	13:09
J. HryckowianC · #49	1	1	1	2	2	0	0	17:18
W. JohnstonC · #53	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	18:11
M. RantanenRW · #96	0	0	-2	1	1	0	0	18:33
J. RobertsonLW · #21	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	17:26
S. SteelC · #18	0	0	-1	0	2	0	0	15:43

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. BichselD · #6	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	20:37
T. HarleyD · #55	0	0	-1	4	0	3	0	22:45
E. LindellD · #23	1	1	0	3	1	2	0	22:14
N. LundkvistD · #5	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	20:26
I. LyubushkinD · #46	0	1	0	1	1	2	2	15:39
T. MyersD · #57	0	0	0	3	1	3	0	21:30

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. OettingerG · #29	24	3	21	.875	65:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BensonLW · #6	1	1	2	3	0	1	0	24:22
J. DoanRW · #91	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	15:57
J. DunneC · #44	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	11:52
J. GreenwayLW · #12	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	16:03
T. KozakC · #48	0	1	0	0	4	1	0	13:34
P. KrebsC · #19	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	19:00
B. MalenstynLW · #29	0	0	-1	0	6	0	0	14:59
J. NorrisC · #9	1	0	1	2	0	3	0	16:55
T. PearsonLW · #70	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	17:04
J. QuinnRW · #22	0	0	-1	5	1	0	0	19:29
A. TuchRW · #89	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	20:36

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. ByramD · #4	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	19:35
M. KesselringD · #8	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	15:03
Z. MetsaD · #73	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	14:43
O. PowerD · #25	0	2	1	1	0	2	0	22:17
L. SchennD · #5	0	0	1	1	3	0	2	12:41
L. StanleyD · #64	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	20:16
C. TimminsD · #21	0	0	0	4	1	2	2	16:58

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. EllisG · #92	28	3	25	.893	65:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Jan 1

BUF4@

DAL1

Apr 15

DAL4@

BUF3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DAL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DAL-14860%

BUF+12445%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗

Line movement · 37 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

DAL

E. Lindell

Top skater

1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG

J. Oettinger

Goaltender

21 SV · 3 GA · .875

BUF

Z. Benson

Top skater

1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG

C. Ellis

Goaltender

25 SV · 3 GA · .893

How it ended

DAL beat BUF 4-3. E. Lindell led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	SO	T
DAL	1	2	0	0	1	4
BUF	1	2	0	0	0	3

Period scoring

DAL won 1 · BUF won 0

DAL

BUF

Play-by-play · 307 plays

period

event

player

SO·0:00
Game End
DAL 3·BUF 2
SO·0:00
End of OT
DAL 3·BUF 2
SO·0:00
End of Shootout
DAL 3·BUF 2
SO·0:00
Wyatt Johnston Goal Wrist Shot
DAL 3·BUF 2
SO·0:00
Josh Doan Backhand saved by Jake Oettinger
· ·
DAL 3·BUF 2
SO·0:00
Matt Duchene Goal Backhand
·
DAL 3·BUF 2
SO·0:00
Alex Tuch Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
DAL 3·BUF 2
SO·0:00
Mikko Rantanen Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
DAL 3·BUF 2
SO·0:00
Jack Quinn Goal Wrist Shot
DAL 3·BUF 2
SO·0:00
Jason Robertson Goal Snap Shot
DAL 3·BUF 2
SO·0:00
Josh Norris Goal Snap Shot
DAL 3·BUF 2
SO·0:00
Start of Shootout
DAL 3·BUF 2
OT·5:00
End of OT
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·4:34
Takeaway by Esa Lindell
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·4:17
Jack Quinn Slap Shot Wide Left
·
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·4:06
Josh Norris faceoff won against Oskar Bäck
·
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·4:06
Puck in Netting
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·4:03
Josh Doan Wrist Shot High and Wide Left
·
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·3:59
Bowen Byram Snap Shot Wide Right
·
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·3:36
Radek Faksa faceoff won against Peyton Krebs
·
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·3:36
Goalie Stopped
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·3:34
Jack Quinn Wrist Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·2:47
Takeaway by Lian Bichsel
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·2:36
Josh Norris faceoff won against Radek Faksa
·
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·2:36
Timeout - Home
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·2:36
Mavrik Bourque Hooking against Alex Tuch
·
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·2:34
Josh Norris Wrist Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·2:32
Takeaway by Alex Tuch
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·1:49
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Alex Tuch
·
DAL 3·BUF 3
OT·1:10
Peyton Krebs faceoff won against Mikko Rantanen
·
DAL 3·BUF 3

Team stats

DAL

Away

Stat

BUF

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

DAL -1.5·O/U 6.5·DAL -148/BUF +124

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 29 skaters with EDGE

Josh NorrisBUF · C
xGF%6397
Josh DoanBUF · RW
iXG26.793
Logan StanleyBUF · D
SHOT MPH95.991
Bowen ByramBUF · D
BURSTS1689
Conor TimminsBUF · D
SHOT MPH95.589

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

56.0%

ensemble · BUF favored

Elo Static
59.8%
P(BUF win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
59.8%
P(BUF win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
59.8%
P(BUF win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+124

Close price

+124

Open no-vig

42.8%

Close no-vig

42.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss