Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts

HOU#11 · American League

Houston Astros

35-41 (46.1%) · W2 · L10 5-5

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#25 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .449 · exp 34.1-41.9 vs act 35-41 · n=76 · luck +0.9W · thru 2026-06-17 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-13 → 2026-06-17 · Full ATS profile →

Model picks on HOU

16-21 graded · 43.2% (95% CI 28.7-59.1) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-03-26

All MLB · 605-483 graded

Tonight's graded board →

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

1Yordan Alvarez75 G1.070
2Christian Walker75 G.810
3Isaac Paredes69 G.755
4Cam Smith75 G.667

Home runs

RBI

Batting average

1Yordan Alvarez75 G.325
2Christian Walker75 G.246
3Isaac Paredes69 G.234
4Cam Smith75 G.223

Stolen bases

ERA

1Mike Burrows78.3 IP5.86

WHIP

1Mike Burrows78.3 IP1.58

Strikeouts

1Mike Burrows78.3 IP65

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.243vs .243League avg

OBP

.318vs .319League avg

SLG

.412vs .398Slight edge

OPS

.730vs .718Slight edge

R / G

4.5

K / G

8.2

Pitching

ERA

4.87vs 4.18Below avg

FIP (approx)

4.82vs 4.19Below avg

WHIP

1.42vs 1.31Below avg

K / 9

8.7vs 8.5Slight edge

BB / 9

4.6vs 3.5Below avg

BAA

.243

HR / 9

1.3

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

ForAgainst

4.5 avg / 4.7 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Avg runs / game

4.53

Blowout wins (4+)

Shutout games

Form last 30

17-13

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 4.5 runs

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

166 games · 2025-06-18 → 2026-06-17

Peak 1568 · Now 1497 · Trough 1431

Next 5 games

The road ahead

vsCLEpwr —

@TORpwr 55

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

5 moves

Jun 12
Designated RHP Ryan Weiss for assignment. Selected the contract of 2B Raynel Delgado from Sugar Land (PCL).
Jun 11
Optioned 3B Shay Whitcomb to Sugar Land (PCL).
Jun 10
Acquired 2B Raynel Delgado from Tampa Bay in exchange for cash considerations.
Jun 9
Placed 1B LaMonte Wade Jr. on the 10-day IL. Recalled LF Joey Loperfido from Sugar Land (PCL). Sent C Yainer Diaz and RHP Cristian Javier on rehab assignments to Sugar Land (PCL).
Jun 8
Placed SS Nick Allen on the 10-day IL. Recalled 3B Shay Whitcomb from Sugar Land (PCL).

Source · ESPN