HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBEnd 2
CHW 1@NYY 1
-1.2pphigh
MLBBot 1
SF 1@ATL 1
-2.9ppmedium
MLBMid 3
TOR 1@BOS 0
-30.0ppmedium
MLBBot 4
KC 0@WSH 2
+36.3pplow
MLBMid 2
NYM 0@CIN 4
+45.0pplow
MLBEnd 3
MIA 0@PHI 7
+43.3pplow
WNBA7:27 - 2nd
TOR 30@IND 34
+1.7ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
MLBEnd 2
CHW 1@NYY 1
-1.2pphigh
MLBBot 1
SF 1@ATL 1
-2.9ppmedium
MLBMid 3
TOR 1@BOS 0
-30.0ppmedium
MLBBot 4
KC 0@WSH 2
+36.3pplow
MLBMid 2
NYM 0@CIN 4
+45.0pplow
MLBEnd 3
MIA 0@PHI 7
+43.3pplow
WNBA7:27 - 2nd
TOR 30@IND 34
+1.7ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
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Houston Astros
HOU#11 · American League

Houston Astros

33-41 (44.6%) · L2 · L10 5-5

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#26 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .443 · exp 32.8-41.2 vs act 33-41 · n=74 · luck +0.2W · thru 2026-06-15 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-10 → 2026-06-15 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 1 at LAA, 2-3, 2026-06-10. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 2 at KC, 10-8, 2026-06-12. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 1 at KC, 8-7, 2026-06-13. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 4 at KC, 0-4, 2026-06-14. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 6 vs DET, 3-9, 2026-06-15. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Yordan Alvarez73 G1.087
  2. 2Christian Walker73 G.810
  3. 3Isaac Paredes67 G.750
  4. 4Cam Smith73 G.660

Home runs

  1. 1Yordan Alvarez73 G24
  2. 2Christian Walker73 G18
  3. 3Isaac Paredes67 G10
  4. 4Cam Smith73 G7

RBI

  1. 1Yordan Alvarez73 G54
  2. 2Christian Walker73 G52
  3. 3Isaac Paredes67 G35
  4. 4Cam Smith73 G26

Batting average

  1. 1Yordan Alvarez73 G.328
  2. 2Christian Walker73 G.245
  3. 3Isaac Paredes67 G.232
  4. 4Cam Smith73 G.218

Stolen bases

  1. 1Cam Smith73 G8
  2. 2Yordan Alvarez73 G1
  3. 3Christian Walker73 G0
  4. 4Isaac Paredes67 G0

ERA

  1. 1Mike Burrows78.3 IP5.86

WHIP

  1. 1Mike Burrows78.3 IP1.58

Strikeouts

  1. 1Mike Burrows78.3 IP65

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.242vs .243League avg

OBP

.318vs .319League avg

SLG

.412vs .398Slight edge

OPS

.730vs .717Slight edge

HR

98

R / G

4.5

K / G

8.2

Pitching

ERA

4.95vs 4.18Below avg

FIP (approx)

4.86vs 4.19Below avg

WHIP

1.44vs 1.31Below avg

K / 9

8.7vs 8.5Slight edge

BB / 9

4.7vs 3.5Below avg

BAA

.245

HR / 9

1.3

GP

74

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.40.81.11.51st · 1.08 for / 0.92 against · margin +0.171st2nd · 0.42 for / 0.83 against · margin -0.422nd3rd · 0.75 for / 1.08 against · margin -0.333rd4th · 0.17 for / 0.50 against · margin -0.334th5th · 0.75 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.50PEAK5th6th · 0.42 for / 0.75 against · margin -0.336th7th · 0.25 for / 0.50 against · margin -0.257th8th · 0.75 for / 0.58 against · margin +0.178th9th · 0.25 for / 0.08 against · margin +0.179thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

4.8 avg / 5.5 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

4.43

Blowout wins (4+)

5

Shutout games

4

Form last 30

16-14

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 4.4 runs

1234AVG 4.44031324344356728291011121314RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-05-14 → 2026-06-15

Record

16-14

Win pct

53.3%

Avg margin

-0.1

Longest W

4

Longest L

2

Upset wins

10

Favorite losses

7

2026-05-14 · vs SEA · L 3-8 · model gave 45%SEA2026-05-15 · vs TEX · W 2-0 · model gave 45%TEX2026-05-16 · vs TEX · W 4-1 · model gave 44%TEX2026-05-17 · vs TEX · L 0-8 · model gave 42%TEX2026-05-18 · @ MIN · L 3-6 · model gave 39%MIN2026-05-19 · @ MIN · W 2-1 · model gave 41%MIN2026-05-20 · @ MIN · L 1-4 · model gave 42%MIN2026-05-22 · @ CHC · W 4-2 · model gave 45%CHC2026-05-23 · @ CHC · W 3-0 · model gave 45%CHC2026-05-24 · @ CHC · W 8-5 · model gave 46%CHC2026-05-25 · @ TEX · W 9-0 · model gave 47%TEX2026-05-26 · @ TEX · L 7-10 · model gave 49%TEX2026-05-27 · @ TEX · W 4-3 · model gave 48%TEX2026-05-28 · @ TEX · W 5-1 · model gave 47%TEX2026-05-29 · vs MIL · L 4-5 · model gave 41%MIL2026-05-30 · vs MIL · W 9-2 · model gave 40%MIL2026-05-31 · vs MIL · L 0-2 · model gave 41%MIL2026-06-02 · vs PIT · L 6-10 · model gave 55%PIT2026-06-03 · vs PIT · W 11-9 · model gave 56%PIT2026-06-04 · vs PIT · L 1-5 · model gave 56%PIT2026-06-05 · vs ATH · W 5-1 · model gave 58%ATH2026-06-06 · vs ATH · W 13-2 · model gave 59%ATH2026-06-07 · vs ATH · L 0-5 · model gave 57%ATH2026-06-08 · @ LAA · W 5-4 · model gave 54%LAA2026-06-09 · @ LAA · L 1-10 · model gave 54%LAA2026-06-10 · @ LAA · L 2-3 · model gave 54%LAA2026-06-12 · @ KC · W 10-8 · model gave 50%KC2026-06-13 · @ KC · W 8-7 · model gave 50%KC2026-06-14 · @ KC · L 0-4 · model gave 50%KC2026-06-15 · vs DET · L 3-9 · model gave 55%DET

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

165 games · 2025-06-17 → 2026-06-15

Peak 1568 · Now 1485 · Trough 1431

Next 5 games

The road ahead

vsDETpwr 64
vsDETpwr 64
vsCLEpwr —
vsCLEpwr —
vsCLEpwr —

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

5 moves
  1. Jun 12

    Designated RHP Ryan Weiss for assignment. Selected the contract of 2B Raynel Delgado from Sugar Land (PCL).

  2. Jun 11

    Optioned 3B Shay Whitcomb to Sugar Land (PCL).

  3. Jun 10

    Acquired 2B Raynel Delgado from Tampa Bay in exchange for cash considerations.

  4. Jun 9

    Placed 1B LaMonte Wade Jr. on the 10-day IL. Recalled LF Joey Loperfido from Sugar Land (PCL). Sent C Yainer Diaz and RHP Cristian Javier on rehab assignments to Sugar Land (PCL).

  5. Jun 8

    Placed SS Nick Allen on the 10-day IL. Recalled 3B Shay Whitcomb from Sugar Land (PCL).

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

AJ Blubaugh

A. Blubaugh

RP · #69

Brice Matthews

B. Matthews

CF · #0

Bryan Abreu

B. Abreu

RP · #52

Bryan King

B. King

RP · #74

Cam Smith

C. Smith

RF · #11

Christian Vazquez

C. Vazquez

C · #2

Christian Walker

C. Walker

1B · #8

Enyel De Los Santos

E. De Los Santos

RP · #65

Hunter Brown

H. Brown

SP · #58

Isaac Paredes

I. Paredes

3B · #15

Jake Meyers

J. Meyers

CF · #6

Jeremy Pena

J. Pena

SS · #3

Joey Loperfido

J. Loperfido

LF · #10

Jose Altuve

J. Altuve

2B · #27

Josh Hader

J. Hader

RP · #71

Kai-Wei Teng

K. Teng

RP · #17

Mike Burrows

M. Burrows

SP · #50

Nate Pearson

N. Pearson

RP · #55

Peter Lambert

P. Lambert

SP · #38

Raynel Delgado

R. Delgado

2B · #29

Spencer Arrighetti

S. Arrighetti

SP · #41

Steven Okert

S. Okert

RP · #48

Tatsuya Imai

T. Imai

SP · #45

Taylor Trammell

T. Trammell

CF · #26

Yainer Diaz

Y. Diaz

C · #21

Yordan Alvarez

Y. Alvarez

DH · #44

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
Receipts →

Model picks on HOU

14-21 graded · 40.0% (95% CI 25.6-56.4) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-03-26

All MLB · 594-464 graded

Tonight's graded board →