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MIA#11 · National League
Miami Marlins
36-37 (49.3%) · L1 · L10 7-3
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)
#16 of 30
Pyth(1.83) .490 · exp 35.8-37.2 vs act 36-37 · n=73 · luck +0.2W · thru 2026-06-15 · mlb_game_results
Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Last 5 form
2026-06-11 → 2026-06-15 · Full ATS profile →
Won by 2 vs ARI, 2-0, 2026-06-11. Covered the spread (closing line).
Won by 5 at PIT, 8-3, 2026-06-12. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 1 at PIT, 2-3, 2026-06-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 2 at PIT, 4-2, 2026-06-14. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 7 at PHI, 0-7, 2026-06-15. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Stat leaders
Who carries them
OPS
- 1Liam Hicks70 G.848
- 2Otto Lopez72 G.845
- 3Xavier Edwards73 G.814
- 4Jakob Marsee71 G.628
Home runs
- 1Liam Hicks70 G13
- 2Xavier Edwards73 G6
- 3Otto Lopez72 G5
- 4Jakob Marsee71 G3
RBI
- 1Liam Hicks70 G51
- 2Otto Lopez72 G31
- 3Xavier Edwards73 G25
- 4Jakob Marsee71 G17
Batting average
- 1Otto Lopez72 G.339
- 2Xavier Edwards73 G.296
- 3Liam Hicks70 G.281
- 4Jakob Marsee71 G.201
Stolen bases
- 1Jakob Marsee71 G17
- 2Otto Lopez72 G13
- 3Xavier Edwards73 G11
- 4Liam Hicks70 G1
ERA
- 1Max Meyer85.0 IP2.75
- 2Sandy Alcantara97.3 IP4.25
WHIP
- 1Max Meyer85.0 IP1.12
- 2Sandy Alcantara97.3 IP1.22
Strikeouts
- 1Max Meyer85.0 IP95
- 2Sandy Alcantara97.3 IP71
2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool
Team rate stats · 2026
Hitting + pitching vs league
MLB Stats API
Hitting
AVG
.244vs .243League avg
OBP
.322vs .319League avg
SLG
.380vs .398Slight gap
OPS
.702vs .717Slight gap
HR
60
R / G
4.2
K / G
8.3
Pitching
ERA
4.11vs 4.18Slight edge
FIP (approx)
3.95vs 4.18Above avg
WHIP
1.26vs 1.31Slight edge
K / 9
8.8vs 8.5Slight edge
BB / 9
3.6vs 3.5Slight gap
BAA
.228
HR / 9
1.0
GP
73
Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.
Inning identity
When they score
Pattern by inning
12 games · for vs against
ForAgainst
4.4 avg / 2.9 allowed
Plate signature
The strike zone
Plate identity
From the catcher's view · last 30 games
Avg runs / game
4.17
Blowout wins (4+)
9
Shutout games
2
Form last 30
16-14
Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.
Run-scoring identity
How they score
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 4.2 runs
Form heatmap
The margin trail
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-05-14 → 2026-06-15
Record
16-14
Win pct
53.3%
Avg margin
-0.2
Longest W
6
Longest L
5
Upset wins
6
Favorite losses
3
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
The Elo timeline
166 games · 2025-06-16 → 2026-06-15
Peak 1529 · Now 1524 · Trough 1451
Next 5 games
The road ahead
@PHIpwr 61
@PHIpwr 61
vsSFpwr —
vsSFpwr —
vsSFpwr —
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 12
Agreed to terms with RHP Zach Pop to a minor league contract.
Source · ESPN
Position players · 26
Hitters & fielders
A. Bender
RP · #37
C. Gibson
RP · #58
C. Faucher
RP · #53
C. Morel
1B · #5
C. Norby
1B · #1
D. Fulton
SP · #90
E. Ruiz
RF · #3
H. Hernandez
LF · #13
J. Marsee
CF · #87
J. Sanoja
3B · #8
J. Mack
C · #80
J. King
RP · #47
K. Stowers
LF · #28
L. Bachar
RP · #84
L. Jimenez
3B · #19
L. Hicks
C · #34
M. Meyer
SP · #23
M. Petersen
RP · #49
O. Lopez
SS · #6
O. Caissie
RF · #17
P. Fairbanks
RP · #29
R. Gusto
SP · #65
S. Alcantara
SP · #22
T. Phillips
RP · #30
T. Zuber
RP · #55
X. Edwards
2B · #9