May 29, 26sim 98
95
23(H)6
EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
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FINAL+4MIA
MIA
27-34
73
WSH
31-30
Nationals Park · Washington, District of Columbia
11,808 attended
Line movement
200 snapshots
WSH spread
-1.5
open PK · -1.5
Total
O/U 8.5
open O/U 8.0 · +0.5
WSH no-vig %
57.1%
open 56.3% · +0.8
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = WSH favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
MIA wins
MIA 7 · WSH 3 (by 4)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked WSH +5pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| WSH | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant
