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Colorado Avalanche

Western Conference · 1 seed

Colorado Avalanche

55-16 · W3 · L10 7-2-1

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#2 of 32

Elo rating 1589.5 · as of 2026-06-15 · nhl_team_ratings

Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2026-05-13 → 2026-05-26 · Full ATS profile →

WWon by 1 vs MIN, 4-3, 2026-05-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 2 vs VGK, 2-4, 2026-05-20. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 2 vs VGK, 1-3, 2026-05-22. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 2 at VGK, 3-5, 2026-05-24. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at VGK, 1-2, 2026-05-26. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points

  1. 1Nathan MacKinnon80 GP127
  2. 2Martin Necas78 GP100
  3. 3Cale Makar75 GP79
  4. 4Brock Nelson81 GP65
  5. 5Nazem Kadri77 GP50

Goals

  1. 1Nathan MacKinnon80 GP53
  2. 2Martin Necas78 GP38
  3. 3Brock Nelson81 GP33
  4. 4Artturi Lehkonen70 GP21
  5. 5Parker Kelly82 GP21

Assists

  1. 1Nathan MacKinnon80 GP74
  2. 2Martin Necas78 GP62
  3. 3Cale Makar75 GP59
  4. 4Nazem Kadri77 GP34
  5. 5Brock Nelson81 GP32

Power-play goals

  1. 1Nathan MacKinnon80 GP11
  2. 2Brock Nelson81 GP10
  3. 3Martin Necas78 GP9
  4. 4Nazem Kadri77 GP5
  5. 5Cale Makar75 GP4

Save percentage

  1. 1Scott Wedgewood43 GS.921
  2. 2Mackenzie Blackwood36 GS.904

Min 10 starts.

Goals against average

  1. 1Scott Wedgewood43 GS2.02
  2. 2Mackenzie Blackwood36 GS2.51

Min 10 starts.

2025-26 regular season · NHL club-stats API (api-web.nhle.com) · counting boards ungated; goalie SV% / GAA min 10 starts

Period identity

When they score

Pattern by period

12 games · for vs against

0.51.01.52.0P1 · 0.92 for / 0.83 against · margin +0.08P1P2 · 0.67 for / 1.00 against · margin -0.33P2P3 · 1.75 for / 1.17 against · margin +0.58PEAKP3PERIODS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

3.3 avg / 3.0 allowed

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 3.3 goals

35810AVG 3.304110263456789GOALS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-03-17 → 2026-05-26

Record

19-11

Win pct

63.3%

Avg margin

+0.7

Longest W

9

Longest L

4

Upset wins

1

Favorite losses

9

2026-03-17 · vs PIT · L 2-7 · model gave 67%PIT2026-03-19 · vs DAL · L 1-2 · model gave 58%DAL2026-03-21 · @ CHI · W 4-1 · model gave 59%CHI2026-03-22 · @ WSH · W 3-2 · model gave 52%WSH2026-03-24 · @ PIT · W 6-2 · model gave 52%PIT2026-03-27 · @ WPG · W 3-2 · model gave 58%WPG2026-03-28 · vs WPG · L 2-4 · model gave 72%WPG2026-03-31 · vs CGY · W 9-2 · model gave 71%CGY2026-04-02 · vs VAN · L 6-8 · model gave 79%VAN2026-04-04 · @ DAL · W 2-0 · model gave 46%DAL2026-04-06 · vs STL · L 2-3 · model gave 70%STL2026-04-08 · @ STL · W 3-1 · model gave 55%STL2026-04-10 · vs CGY · W 3-1 · model gave 71%CGY2026-04-12 · vs VGK · L 2-3 · model gave 69%VGK2026-04-14 · @ EDM · W 2-1 · model gave 52%EDM2026-04-15 · @ CGY · W 3-1 · model gave 59%CGY2026-04-17 · vs SEA · W 2-0 · model gave 73%SEA2026-04-19 · vs LA · W 2-1 · model gave 71%LA2026-04-22 · vs LA · W 2-1 · model gave 72%LA2026-04-24 · @ LA · W 4-2 · model gave 60%LA2026-04-26 · @ LA · W 5-1 · model gave 61%LA2026-05-03 · vs MIN · W 9-6 · model gave 74%MIN2026-05-05 · vs MIN · W 5-2 · model gave 72%MIN2026-05-09 · @ MIN · L 1-5 · model gave 61%MIN2026-05-11 · @ MIN · W 5-2 · model gave 61%MIN2026-05-13 · vs MIN · W 4-3 · model gave 74%MIN2026-05-20 · vs VGK · L 2-4 · model gave 65%VGK2026-05-22 · vs VGK · L 1-3 · model gave 62%VGK2026-05-24 · @ VGK · L 3-5 · model gave 47%VGK2026-05-26 · @ VGK · L 1-2 · model gave 47%VGK

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

95 games · 2025-10-08 → 2026-05-26

Peak 1632 · Now 1589 · Trough 1500

Forwards · 20

Forwards

Alex Barre-Boulet

Alex Barre-Boulet

C · #27

Artturi Lehkonen

Artturi Lehkonen

LW · #62

48 PTS21 G
Brock Nelson

Brock Nelson

C · #11

65 PTS33 G
Danil Gushchin

Danil Gushchin

LW · #75

Gabriel Landeskog

Gabriel Landeskog

LW · #92

35 PTS14 G
Gavin Brindley

Gavin Brindley

C · #54

13 PTS6 G
Ivan Ivan

Ivan Ivan

C · #82

1 PTS0 G
Jack Drury

Jack Drury

C · #18

27 PTS10 G
Jason Polin

Jason Polin

RW · #14

0 PTS0 G
Joel Kiviranta

Joel Kiviranta

LW · #94

9 PTS3 G
Logan O'Connor

Logan O'Connor

RW · #25

2 PTS0 G
Martin Necas

Martin Necas

C · #88

100 PTS38 G
Nathan MacKinnon

Nathan MacKinnon

C · #29

127 PTS53 G
Nazem Kadri

Nazem Kadri

C · #91

50 PTS16 G
Nicolas Roy

Nicolas Roy

C · #10

25 PTS8 G
Parker Kelly

Parker Kelly

C · #17

35 PTS21 G
Ross Colton

Ross Colton

C · #20

T.J. Tynan

T.J. Tynan

C · #9

0 PTS0 G
Valeri Nichushkin

Valeri Nichushkin

RW · #13

49 PTS17 G
Zakhar Bardakov

Zakhar Bardakov

C · #93

10 PTS1 G

Defensemen · 8

The blue line

Alex Gagne

D · #45

Brent Burns

Brent Burns

D · #84

35 PTS12 G
Brett Kulak

Brett Kulak

D · #27

12 PTS1 G
Cale Makar

Cale Makar

D · #8

79 PTS20 G
Devon Toews

Devon Toews

D · #7

24 PTS3 G
Josh Manson

Josh Manson

D · #42

31 PTS5 G
Nick Blankenburg

Nick Blankenburg

D · #37

24 PTS8 G
Sam Malinski

Sam Malinski

D · #70

40 PTS8 G

Goalies · 3

In the crease

Isak Posch

G · #35

Mackenzie Blackwood

Mackenzie Blackwood

G · #39

Scott Wedgewood

Scott Wedgewood

G · #41

← All NHL teams

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

65%Last 7 · 60-33
61%Last 30 · 297-187
Receipts →

Model picks on COL

21-10 graded · 67.7% (95% CI 50.1-81.4) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-02-27

All NHL · 271-195 graded

Tonight's graded board →

LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Gilbert (SEA): 7.0 IP · 10 K · 1 ER in a win over BAL
LAST NIGHT · WNBAC. Clark (IND): 21 PTS · 5 REB · 14 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Sent 2B Vaughn Grissom on a rehab assignment to Salt Lake (PCL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 7.0 IP · 9 K · 2 ER in a win over MIA
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Cease (TOR): 5.0 IP · 7 K in a win over BOS
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBF. Valdez (DET): 6.0 IP · 6 K against HOU
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Boston (IND): 18 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLPredators: Acquired C Ross Colton and G Isak Posch from Colorado for G Magnus Chrona, a 2…
TRANSACTION · NHLCanucks: Signed D Cole Clayton to a one-year contract. (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Acquired G Samuel Ersson, D Emil Andrae and a 2026 third-round pick from Phi…
TONIGHT · WNBANY @ CHI, 6/17 - 8:00 PM EDT — NY -9.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Gilbert (SEA): 7.0 IP · 10 K · 1 ER in a win over BAL
LAST NIGHT · WNBAC. Clark (IND): 21 PTS · 5 REB · 14 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Sent 2B Vaughn Grissom on a rehab assignment to Salt Lake (PCL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 7.0 IP · 9 K · 2 ER in a win over MIA
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Cease (TOR): 5.0 IP · 7 K in a win over BOS
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBF. Valdez (DET): 6.0 IP · 6 K against HOU
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Boston (IND): 18 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLPredators: Acquired C Ross Colton and G Isak Posch from Colorado for G Magnus Chrona, a 2…
TRANSACTION · NHLCanucks: Signed D Cole Clayton to a one-year contract. (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Acquired G Samuel Ersson, D Emil Andrae and a 2026 third-round pick from Phi…
TONIGHT · WNBANY @ CHI, 6/17 - 8:00 PM EDT — NY -9.5