NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1COL

35-27-20

COL

55-16-11

NHLSun, Apr 19FinalSeriesCOL wins series 3-0VegasCOL -290

LA · top performer

Alex Laferriere

RW · #14

1Points

—

SOG

COL · top performer

Artturi Lehkonen

LW · #62

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ArmiaRW · #40	0	0	0	0	2	1	4	13:10
Q. ByfieldRW · #55	0	0	-1	3	3	1	2	21:07
S. HeleniusC · #79	0	0	-1	0	2	0	0	6:33
M. JosephRW · #17	0	0	-1	0	2	0	2	6:56
A. KempeRW · #9	0	0	0	2	2	2	2	18:42
A. KopitarC · #11	0	0	0	2	2	2	0	19:57
A. LaferriereRW · #14	0	1	-1	4	7	1	0	20:30
S. LaughtonC · #21	0	0	0	5	1	1	0	15:40
J. MalottLW · #39	0	0	-1	0	5	1	0	6:34
T. MooreLW · #12	0	0	-1	3	3	1	0	18:28
A. PanarinLW · #10	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	20:07
J. WrightRW · #53	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	11:19

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. AndersonD · #44	0	0	-1	0	8	2	0	20:39
C. CeciD · #5	0	0	-1	1	2	3	0	15:57
B. ClarkeD · #92	0	1	0	1	1	2	0	19:30
D. DoughtyD · #8	0	0	-1	0	1	2	0	25:21
B. DumoulinD · #2	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	13:58
J. EdmundsonD · #6	0	0	-1	0	3	2	0	17:02

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. ForsbergG · #31	32	2	30	.938	58:42

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. DruryC · #18	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	10:10
N. KadriC · #91	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	15:39
P. KellyC · #17	0	0	0	1	3	2	0	13:40
J. KivirantaLW · #94	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	8:26
G. LandeskogLW · #92	0	0	0	1	8	0	4	16:23
A. LehkonenLW · #62	1	0	1	2	2	1	0	15:42
N. MacKinnonC · #29	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	22:08
M. NecasC · #88	0	0	1	2	2	1	2	19:33
B. NelsonC · #11	0	0	0	1	4	1	2	17:59
V. NichushkinRW · #13	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	16:24
L. O'ConnorRW · #25	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	9:55
N. RoyC · #10	0	0	0	4	3	1	0	10:09

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. BurnsD · #84	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	14:52
B. KulakD · #27	0	0	0	2	0	5	0	18:08
C. MakarD · #8	0	0	1	4	0	3	0	24:25
S. MalinskiD · #70	0	0	0	4	1	4	0	19:47
J. MansonD · #42	0	0	1	3	6	0	0	15:56
D. ToewsD · #7	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	22:09

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. WedgewoodG · #41	25	1	24	.960	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

Away

Stat

COL

Home

Shots

25.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Playoff series

COL leads series 1-0

Apr 19

LA1@

COL2today

Apr 22

LA1@

COL2

Apr 24

COL4@

LA2

Apr 26

COL5@

LA1

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

COL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

LA+23530%

COL-29074%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet COL -1.5↗SpreadBet COL -1.5↗

Line movement · 71 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

COL beat LA 2-1. A. Lehkonen led the way — 1 G · 2 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
LA	0	0	1	1
COL	0	1	1	2

Period scoring

LA won 0 · COL won 1

COL

Play-by-play · 393 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
LA 1·COL 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
LA 1·COL 2
3rd·19:38
Nathan MacKinnon faceoff won against Anze Kopitar
·
LA 1·COL 2
3rd·19:38
Puck Frozen - Goalie
LA 1·COL 2
3rd·19:28
Giveaway by Martin Necas
LA 1·COL 2
3rd·19:07
Nathan MacKinnon faceoff won against Anze Kopitar
·
LA 1·COL 2
3rd·19:07
Puck in Netting
LA 1·COL 2
3rd·19:05
Martin Necas Snap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 1·COL 2
3rd·19:00
Giveaway by Artemi Panarin
LA 1·COL 2
3rd·18:12
Gabriel Landeskog faceoff won against Alex Laferriere
·
LA 1·COL 2
3rd·18:12
Joel Armia High-sticking against Josh Manson
·
LA 1·COL 2
3rd·17:38
Scott Laughton faceoff won against Nathan MacKinnon
·
LA 1·COL 2
3rd·17:38
Artemi Panarin Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Alex Laferriere (1), Brandt Clarke (1)
· ·
LA 1·COL 2
3rd·17:15
Quinton Byfield Slap Shot saved by Scott Wedgewood
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·17:03
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Jack Drury
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·17:03
TV Timeout
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·17:03
Brock Nelson High-sticking against Adrian Kempe
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·16:47
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Adrian Kempe
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·16:28
Nicolas Roy hit Jared Wright
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·16:13
Devon Toews shot blocked by Cody Ceci
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·16:03
Jared Wright shot blocked by Cale Makar
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·15:56
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Cody Ceci
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·15:48
Quinton Byfield hit Nazem Kadri
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·15:33
Artturi Lehkonen hit Drew Doughty
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·14:33
Brock Nelson Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·14:31
Trevor Moore hit Brock Nelson
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·14:16
Giveaway by Valeri Nichushkin
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·14:12
Joel Edmundson shot blocked by Brett Kulak
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·13:51
Mikey Anderson hit Cale Makar
·
LA 0·COL 2
3rd·13:48
Cale Makar Snap Shot Wide Left
·
LA 0·COL 2

Betting line

COL -1.5·O/U 5.5·LA +235/COL -290

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

olorado Avalanche held off Los Angeles Kings, 2–1.

LA +1.5 cashed (COL won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Quinton Byfield · LAK21:240.6353.7%61.4%21:24 TOI · 0.63 iXG · 53.7% CF · 61.4% xGF
Cale Makar · COL24:420.4854.7%60.0%24:42 TOI · 0.48 iXG · 54.7% CF · 60.0% xGF
Trevor Moore · LAK18:300.4146.3%51.4%18:30 TOI · 0.41 iXG · 46.3% CF · 51.4% xGF
Anze Kopitar · LAK20:060.3955.6%51.1%20:06 TOI · 0.39 iXG · 55.6% CF · 51.1% xGF
Martin Necas · COL19:420.3955.8%66.1%19:42 TOI · 0.39 iXG · 55.8% CF · 66.1% xGF
Brock Nelson · COL18:180.3450.0%57.9%18:18 TOI · 0.34 iXG · 50.0% CF · 57.9% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Scott Wedgewood · COL24–1.960+1.3524–1 · .960 SV% · +1.35 GSAx
Anton Forsberg · LAK30–2.938+1.2830–2 · .938 SV% · +1.28 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

71.6%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
71.5%
P(COL win)
45%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
71.5%
P(COL win)
9%
weight
Xg Blend
71.8%
P(COL win)
45%
weight

Disagreement

0.15 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

99% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

2 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

COL vs LA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

129

projections · 114 high confidence

Shots on goal

Nathan MacKinnonCOL
4.1± 2.3high
Nazem KadriCOL
3.1± 2.3high
Alex LaferriereLA
3.0± 1.6high

Goals

Nathan MacKinnonCOL
0.7± 0.7high
Adrian KempeLA
0.5± 0.7high
Quinton ByfieldLA
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Nathan MacKinnonCOL
1.5± 1.2high
Martin NecasCOL
1.2± 1.0high
Mats ZuccarelloLA
1.1± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Team pages

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