NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2COL

COL

54-16-11

CGY

33-39-9

NHLTue, Apr 14FinalSeriesCOL wins series 3-0VegasCOL -155

Recap · NHL

olorado Avalanche went into Calgary Flames and beat them, 3–1.

COL -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

COL · top performer

Cale Makar

D · #8

3Points

—

SOG

CGY · top performer

Blake Coleman

LW · #20

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BardakovC · #93	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	8:31
R. ColtonC · #20	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	11:48
J. DruryC · #18	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	12:34
P. KellyC · #17	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	11:13
J. KivirantaLW · #94	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	9:44
G. LandeskogLW · #92	1	0	2	5	2	0	0	16:57
A. LehkonenLW · #62	1	0	0	3	0	1	0	22:17
N. MacKinnonC · #29	1	0	2	4	0	0	0	21:08
M. NecasC · #88	0	1	2	5	1	0	0	22:36
V. NichushkinRW · #13	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	15:55
L. O'ConnorRW · #25	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	12:19
N. RoyC · #10	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	16:18

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AhcanD · #15	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	12:45
N. BlankenburgD · #37	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	14:28
B. BurnsD · #84	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	20:29
B. KulakD · #27	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	21:12
C. MakarD · #8	0	3	2	4	0	0	0	25:35
S. MalinskiD · #70	0	1	1	2	1	2	0	20:36

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BlackwoodG · #39	31	1	30	.968	59:35

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BacklundC · #11	0	1	-1	2	0	0	0	16:36
B. ColemanLW · #20	1	0	-1	4	2	1	0	16:45
J. FarabeeLW · #86	0	0	-1	3	0	0	0	17:44
M. FrostC · #16	0	0	-1	2	2	0	0	15:52
M. GridinRW · #92	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	16:03
T. GrossC · #39	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	11:59
R. KerinsC · #6	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	15:51
A. KlapkaRW · #43	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	12:41
V. OlofssonLW · #95	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	14:48
Y. SharangovichC · #17	0	0	-1	3	0	0	2	12:18
A. SunievLW · #36	0	0	-1	4	0	1	0	10:54
C. ZaryC · #47	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	15:22

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
H. BrzustewiczD · #48	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	22:34
O. MaattaD · #3	0	0	-1	1	0	2	0	24:26
B. PachalD · #94	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	16:37
Z. ParekhD · #19	0	0	-3	2	0	1	0	22:21
Z. WhitecloudD · #28	0	0	-1	0	1	3	0	14:36
A. WiebeD · #52	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	15:12

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. WolfG · #32	37	2	35	.946	59:25

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

COL wins series 3-0

Mar 31

CGY2@

COL9

Apr 10

CGY1@

COL3

Apr 15

COL3@

CGY1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

COL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

COL-15561%

CGY+13043%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet COL -1.5↗SpreadBet COL -1.5↗

Line movement · 34 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

COL

C. Makar

Top skater

3 A · 4 SOG

M. Blackwood

Goaltender

30 SV · 1 GA · .968

CGY

B. Coleman

Top skater

1 G · 4 SOG

D. Wolf

Goaltender35-save night

35 SV · 2 GA · .946

How it ended

COL beat CGY 3-1. C. Makar led the way — 3 A · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
COL	0	1	2	3
CGY	0	1	0	1

Period scoring

COL won 1 · CGY won 0

COL

CGY

Play-by-play · 315 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
COL 3·CGY 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
COL 3·CGY 1
3rd·19:43
Rory Kerins faceoff won against Jack Drury
·
COL 3·CGY 1
3rd·19:43
Nathan MacKinnon Goal (53) Wrist Shot, assists: Cale Makar (58), Martin Necas (62)
· ·
COL 3·CGY 1
3rd·19:32
Aydar Suniev Wrist Shot saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·19:30
Morgan Frost Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·19:27
Tyson Gross faceoff won against Gabriel Landeskog
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·19:27
Goalie Stopped
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·19:23
Zayne Parekh Wrist Shot saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·19:20
Morgan Frost faceoff won against Nathan MacKinnon
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·19:20
Puck in Netting
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·18:48
Artturi Lehkonen shot blocked by Olli Maatta
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·18:04
Giveaway by Logan O'Connor
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·17:16
Adam Klapka shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·17:13
Brayden Pachal shot blocked by Sam Malinski
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·16:55
Sam Malinski Slap Shot saved by Dustin Wolf
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·16:53
Nicolas Roy faceoff won against Rory Kerins
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·16:53
Goalie Stopped
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·16:51
Nathan MacKinnon Snap Shot saved by Dustin Wolf
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·16:38
Gabriel Landeskog faceoff won against Mikael Backlund
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·16:38
Puck in Benches
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·16:29
Giveaway by Nathan MacKinnon
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·16:24
Blake Coleman hit Brett Kulak
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·16:16
Mikael Backlund faceoff won against Nathan MacKinnon
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·16:16
Off-side
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·16:07
Giveaway by Logan O'Connor
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·15:49
Jack Drury faceoff won against Morgan Frost
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·15:49
Puck in Benches
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·15:29
Nicolas Roy faceoff won against Tyson Gross
·
COL 2·CGY 1
3rd·15:29
Goalie Stopped
COL 2·CGY 1

Team stats

COL

Away

Stat

CGY

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

COL -1.5·O/U 6.5·COL -155/CGY +130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Ross ColtonCOL · C
SKATE MPH23.799+
Cale MakarCOL · D
SKATE MPH23.999+
Nathan MacKinnonCOL · C
iXG40.699+
Gabriel LandeskogCOL · LW
SHOT MPH92.897
Parker KellyCOL · C
SHOT MPH91.895

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

26.7%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
41.4%
P(CGY win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
41.4%
P(CGY win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
41.4%
P(CGY win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.