NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+5PIT

PIT

34-18-15

COL

44-13-9

NHLMon, Mar 16FinalSeriesPIT leads series 1-0VegasCOL -218

PIT · top performer

Evgeni Malkin

C · #71

3Points

—

SOG

COL · top performer

Brent Burns

D · #84

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. AcciariC · #55	1	1	3	2	0	4	0	16:36
J. BrazeauRW · #16	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	11:52
E. ChinakhovRW · #59	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	17:09
C. DewarC · #19	0	2	3	1	0	2	0	16:12
B. KindelC · #81	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	13:57
V. KoivunenRW · #41	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	10:09
E. MalkinC · #71	2	1	1	3	0	0	4	16:18
A. ManthaRW · #39	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	14:57
T. NovakC · #18	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	15:29
R. RakellRW · #67	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	16:23
B. RustRW · #17	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	17:05
E. SoderblomLW · #25	1	1	3	1	1	1	0	10:00

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CliftonD · #75	0	0	2	0	5	1	5	16:07
E. KarlssonD · #65	1	2	2	4	0	0	0	21:44
K. LetangD · #58	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	20:14
R. SheaD · #5	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	23:39
I. SolovyovD · #7	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	13:21
P. WotherspoonD · #28	0	1	2	0	3	1	0	20:48

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. SilovsG · #37	27	2	25	.926	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BardakovC · #93	0	0	-2	0	1	0	0	8:10
G. BrindleyC · #54	0	1	-1	0	1	0	0	10:20
J. DruryC · #18	0	0	-1	1	0	1	7	13:31
N. KadriC · #91	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	20:18
P. KellyC · #17	0	0	0	0	3	1	2	13:45
J. KivirantaLW · #94	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	10:03
N. MacKinnonC · #29	1	0	-1	4	0	2	0	22:39
M. NecasC · #88	0	1	-1	2	2	0	0	24:08
B. NelsonC · #11	0	0	-1	3	1	1	0	20:16
V. NichushkinRW · #13	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	22:40
N. RoyC · #10	0	0	-2	2	1	0	2	15:28

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. BlankenburgD · #37	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	11:10
B. BurnsD · #84	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	15:18
B. KulakD · #27	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	16:45
C. MakarD · #8	0	1	-1	4	0	2	0	21:31
S. MalinskiD · #70	0	0	-1	2	0	1	0	15:00
J. MansonD · #42	0	1	-1	1	1	2	0	16:43
D. ToewsD · #7	0	0	-2	1	0	1	0	17:35

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BlackwoodG · #39	15	4	11	.733	47:00
S. WedgewoodG · #41	5	3	2	.400	13:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

PIT

Away

Stat

COL

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

PIT leads series 1-0

Mar 17

PIT7@

COL2today

Mar 24

COL6@

PIT2

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

COL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PIT+18036%

COL-21869%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet COL -1.5↗SpreadBet COL -1.5↗

Line movement · 29 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

PIT beat COL 7-2. E. Malkin led the way — 2 G · 1 A · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
PIT	4	2	1	7
COL	2	0	0	2

Period scoring

PIT won 3 · COL won 0

PIT

COL

Play-by-play · 295 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·19:24
Kris Letang shot blocked by Josh Manson
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·19:21
Egor Chinakhov Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·18:56
Giveaway by Josh Manson
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·18:35
Takeaway by Connor Clifton
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·18:22
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Josh Manson
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·18:20
Rickard Rakell faceoff won against Jack Drury
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·18:20
Puck Frozen - Goalie
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·17:33
Ilya Solovyov hit Gavin Brindley
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·17:16
Gavin Brindley hit Connor Clifton
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·16:12
Connor Dewar faceoff won against Nathan MacKinnon
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·16:12
Icing
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·15:44
Noel Acciari Snap Shot saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·15:20
Giveaway by Zakhar Bardakov
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·15:19
Brock Nelson hit Bryan Rust
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·14:59
Connor Dewar faceoff won against Brock Nelson
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·14:59
Puck in Netting
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·14:57
Josh Manson shot blocked by Egor Chinakhov
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·14:53
Nick Blankenburg shot blocked by Egor Chinakhov
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·14:43
Josh Manson Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·14:29
Kris Letang Slap Shot saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·14:04
Parker Wotherspoon Slap Shot Off Crossbar
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·13:48
Sam Malinski shot blocked by Noel Acciari
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·13:42
Nathan MacKinnon Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·13:27
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Ben Kindel
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·13:16
Nazem Kadri Tip-In saved by Arturs Silovs
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·12:58
Cale Makar Slap Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·12:53
Cale Makar Wrist Shot High and Wide Right
·
PIT 7·COL 2
3rd·12:50
Brock Nelson faceoff won against Rickard Rakell
·
PIT 7·COL 2

Betting line

COL -1.5·O/U 6.5·PIT +180/COL -218

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

ittsburgh Penguins went into Colorado Avalanche and beat them, 7–2.

PIT +1.5 cashed (COL lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

66.5%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
66.5%
P(COL win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
66.5%
P(COL win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
66.5%
P(COL win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Pittsburgh PenguinsColorado Avalanche

Elsewhere in the NHL