NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+4COL

COL

55-16-11

35-27-20

NHLSun, Apr 26FinalSeriesCOL wins series 3-0VegasCOL -180

COL · top performer

Nathan MacKinnon

C · #29

3Points

—

SOG

LA · top performer

Joel Edmundson

D · #6

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. ColtonC · #20	0	0	0	2	6	1	0	12:45
J. DruryC · #18	0	0	-1	3	0	1	2	13:28
N. KadriC · #91	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	13:47
P. KellyC · #17	0	0	-1	2	0	1	0	12:41
G. LandeskogLW · #92	0	2	2	1	1	2	0	14:58
A. LehkonenLW · #62	0	1	2	3	3	0	0	17:06
N. MacKinnonC · #29	2	1	2	5	2	2	0	17:47
M. NecasC · #88	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	16:48
B. NelsonC · #11	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	14:52
V. NichushkinRW · #13	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	14:38
L. O'ConnorRW · #25	0	0	-1	1	3	0	0	13:10
N. RoyC · #10	1	0	2	1	1	0	2	13:29

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. BlankenburgD · #37	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	12:35
B. BurnsD · #84	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	20:54
B. KulakD · #27	0	1	2	0	1	5	0	20:28
C. MakarD · #8	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	23:17
S. MalinskiD · #70	0	1	2	1	1	1	0	20:27
D. ToewsD · #7	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	20:50

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. WedgewoodG · #41	25	1	24	.960	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Q. ByfieldRW · #55	0	0	-1	4	3	1	0	20:46
S. HeleniusC · #79	0	0	-1	0	2	1	12	7:26
A. KempeRW · #9	0	1	-2	0	3	0	0	19:24
A. KopitarC · #11	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	18:30
A. LaferriereRW · #14	0	1	-2	1	6	1	0	21:20
S. LaughtonC · #21	0	0	-1	4	4	0	0	17:10
J. MalottLW · #39	0	0	-1	0	3	0	12	5:24
T. MooreLW · #12	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	20:36
A. PanarinLW · #10	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	21:45
A. TurcotteC · #15	0	0	0	0	6	3	0	12:24
T. WardRW · #52	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	5:20
J. WrightRW · #53	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	13:43

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. AndersonD · #44	0	0	0	0	5	3	0	21:38
C. CeciD · #5	0	0	-1	2	1	1	0	16:41
B. ClarkeD · #92	0	0	-2	1	1	1	0	18:22
D. DoughtyD · #8	0	0	-1	1	4	1	0	23:52
B. DumoulinD · #2	0	0	-2	0	2	0	2	16:25
J. EdmundsonD · #6	1	0	1	3	5	0	0	17:08

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. ForsbergG · #31	31	4	27	.871	59:50

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

COL

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Playoff series

COL wins series 4-0

Apr 19

LA1@

COL2

Apr 22

LA1@

COL2

Apr 24

COL4@

LA2

Apr 26

COL5@

LA1today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

COL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

COL-18064%

LA+15040%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet COL -1.5↗SpreadBet COL -1.5↗

Line movement · 94 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

COL beat LA 5-1. N. MacKinnon led the way — 2 G · 1 A · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
COL	1	1	3	5
LA	0	1	0	1

Period scoring

COL won 2 · LA won 0

COL

Play-by-play · 364 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·19:34
Takeaway by Nicolas Roy
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·18:49
Takeaway by Alex Laferriere
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·18:45
Alex Laferriere shot blocked by Valeri Nichushkin
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·18:44
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Brock Nelson
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·18:44
Goalie Stopped
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·18:40
Trevor Moore Wrist Shot saved by Scott Wedgewood
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·18:18
Giveaway by Brandt Clarke
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·17:43
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Jack Drury
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·17:43
Puck Frozen - Goalie
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·17:27
Nicolas Roy faceoff won against Scott Laughton
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·17:27
Puck in Netting
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·17:24
Brent Burns shot blocked by Alex Turcotte
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·16:44
Quinton Byfield Wrist Shot saved by Scott Wedgewood
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·16:28
Logan O'Connor Tip-In saved by Anton Forsberg
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·16:26
Jack Drury faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·16:26
Puck in Netting
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·16:24
Nazem Kadri Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·16:18
Nazem Kadri Slap Shot Wide Left
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·15:54
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Nicolas Roy
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·15:54
Puck in Crowd
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·15:52
Alex Turcotte hit Sam Malinski
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·15:39
Alex Turcotte hit Sam Malinski
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·15:36
Brock Nelson faceoff won against Samuel Helenius
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·15:36
Jeff Malott Misconduct
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·15:36
Goalie Stopped
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·15:34
Taylor Ward Backhand saved by Scott Wedgewood
·
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·15:33
Giveaway by Brent Burns
COL 5·LA 1
3rd·15:24
Brian Dumoulin hit Nick Blankenburg
·
COL 5·LA 1

Betting line

COL -1.5·O/U 5.5·COL -180/LA +150

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

olorado Avalanche went into Los Angeles Kings and beat them, 5–1.

COL -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Scott Laughton · LAK17:060.5248.8%66.7%17:06 TOI · 0.52 iXG · 48.8% CF · 66.7% xGF
Nathan MacKinnon · COL17:480.4854.1%46.5%17:48 TOI · 0.48 iXG · 54.1% CF · 46.5% xGF
Trevor Moore · LAK20:420.4151.1%51.6%20:42 TOI · 0.41 iXG · 51.1% CF · 51.6% xGF
Nicolas Roy · COL13:360.4068.4%70.3%13:36 TOI · 0.40 iXG · 68.4% CF · 70.3% xGF
Cody Ceci · LAK16:420.3344.1%58.1%16:42 TOI · 0.33 iXG · 44.1% CF · 58.1% xGF
Jared Wright · LAK14:240.2844.1%70.7%14:24 TOI · 0.28 iXG · 44.1% CF · 70.7% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Scott Wedgewood · COL24–1.960+1.3124–1 · .960 SV% · +1.31 GSAx
Anton Forsberg · LAK27–4.871-1.6127–4 · .871 SV% · -1.61 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

39.2%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
39.4%
P(LA win)
45%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
39.4%
P(LA win)
9%
weight
Xg Blend
39.0%
P(LA win)
45%
weight

Disagreement

0.20 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

99% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

2 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LA vs COL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

129

projections · 114 high confidence

Shots on goal

Nathan MacKinnonCOL
4.1± 2.3high
Nazem KadriCOL
3.1± 2.3high
Alex LaferriereLA
3.0± 1.6high

Goals

Nathan MacKinnonCOL
0.7± 0.7high
Adrian KempeLA
0.5± 0.7high
Quinton ByfieldLA
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Nathan MacKinnonCOL
1.5± 1.2high
Martin NecasCOL
1.2± 1.0high
Mats ZuccarelloLA
1.1± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Team pages

Colorado AvalancheLos Angeles Kings

Elsewhere in the NHL