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MLBTop 1
MIA 0@PHI 0
-2.7ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBMets: Reinstated RHP Kodai Senga from the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBBrewers: Sent RHP Brandon Woodruff on a rehab assignment to Wisconsin (ML) (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Reinstated C Cal Raleigh and SS J.P (Jun 16)
MLBTop 1
MIA 0@PHI 0
-2.7ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBMets: Reinstated RHP Kodai Senga from the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBBrewers: Sent RHP Brandon Woodruff on a rehab assignment to Wisconsin (ML) (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Reinstated C Cal Raleigh and SS J.P (Jun 16)
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Athletics
ATH#6 · American League

Athletics

36-36 (50.0%) · W1 · L10 6-4

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#25 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .446 · exp 32.1-39.9 vs act 36-36 · n=72 · luck +3.9W · thru 2026-06-15 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-10 → 2026-06-15 · Full ATS profile →

WWon by 1 vs MIL, 4-3, 2026-06-10. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 2 vs COL, 6-4, 2026-06-12. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 2 vs COL, 7-5, 2026-06-13. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 14 vs COL, 9-23, 2026-06-14. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 9 vs PIT, 11-2, 2026-06-15. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Nick Kurtz71 G1.006
  2. 2Shea Langeliers65 G.879
  3. 3Tyler Soderstrom69 G.813
  4. 4Jeff McNeil65 G.635

Home runs

  1. 1Nick Kurtz71 G18
  2. 2Shea Langeliers65 G18
  3. 3Tyler Soderstrom69 G12
  4. 4Jeff McNeil65 G3

RBI

  1. 1Nick Kurtz71 G57
  2. 2Tyler Soderstrom69 G39
  3. 3Shea Langeliers65 G36
  4. 4Jeff McNeil65 G19

Batting average

  1. 1Nick Kurtz71 G.293
  2. 2Shea Langeliers65 G.280
  3. 3Tyler Soderstrom69 G.244
  4. 4Jeff McNeil65 G.238

Stolen bases

  1. 1Nick Kurtz71 G7
  2. 2Shea Langeliers65 G1
  3. 3Tyler Soderstrom69 G1
  4. 4Jeff McNeil65 G1

ERA

  1. 1J.T. Ginn77.3 IP2.91
  2. 2Jeffrey Springs79.0 IP5.13

WHIP

  1. 1J.T. Ginn77.3 IP1.16
  2. 2Jeffrey Springs79.0 IP1.32

Strikeouts

  1. 1J.T. Ginn77.3 IP68
  2. 2Jeffrey Springs79.0 IP68

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.252vs .243Slight edge

OBP

.331vs .319Slight edge

SLG

.421vs .398Above avg

OPS

.752vs .717Slight edge

HR

95

R / G

4.6

K / G

8.5

Pitching

ERA

4.80vs 4.18Below avg

FIP (approx)

4.74vs 4.18Below avg

WHIP

1.43vs 1.31Below avg

K / 9

8.2vs 8.5Slight gap

BB / 9

3.9vs 3.5Below avg

BAA

.260

HR / 9

1.4

GP

72

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.40.81.11.51st · 0.75 for / 0.83 against · margin -0.081st2nd · 0.67 for / 0.83 against · margin -0.172nd3rd · 0.92 for / 0.83 against · margin +0.083rd4th · 0.58 for / 0.58 against · margin +0.004th5th · 0.75 for / 1.33 against · margin -0.585th6th · 1.00 for / 0.58 against · margin +0.42PEAK6th7th · 1.08 for / 0.67 against · margin +0.427th8th · 0.25 for / 0.58 against · margin -0.338th9th · 0.00 for / 0.50 against · margin -0.509thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

6.0 avg / 6.8 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

4.83

Blowout wins (4+)

3

Shutout games

1

Form last 30

14-16

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 4.8 runs

1345AVG 4.80514223344546278910111213214RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-05-14 → 2026-06-15

Record

14-16

Win pct

46.7%

Avg margin

-1.3

Longest W

4

Longest L

4

Upset wins

7

Favorite losses

6

2026-05-14 · vs STL · L 4-5 · model gave 48%STL2026-05-15 · vs SF · W 5-2 · model gave 52%SF2026-05-16 · vs SF · L 4-6 · model gave 52%SF2026-05-17 · vs SF · L 1-10 · model gave 55%SF2026-05-18 · @ LAA · L 1-2 · model gave 57%LAA2026-05-19 · @ LAA · W 14-6 · model gave 58%LAA2026-05-20 · @ LAA · W 6-5 · model gave 57%LAA2026-05-21 · @ LAA · W 3-2 · model gave 55%LAA2026-05-22 · @ SD · L 3-7 · model gave 42%SD2026-05-23 · @ SD · L 0-2 · model gave 41%SD2026-05-24 · @ SD · W 5-2 · model gave 41%SD2026-05-25 · vs SEA · L 2-9 · model gave 50%SEA2026-05-26 · vs SEA · L 1-4 · model gave 50%SEA2026-05-27 · vs SEA · L 1-9 · model gave 49%SEA2026-05-29 · vs NYY · L 2-8 · model gave 37%NYY2026-05-30 · vs NYY · W 6-4 · model gave 37%NYY2026-05-31 · vs NYY · L 8-13 · model gave 39%NYY2026-06-02 · @ CHC · W 2-1 · model gave 43%CHC2026-06-03 · @ CHC · W 5-4 · model gave 41%CHC2026-06-04 · @ CHC · L 6-7 · model gave 42%CHC2026-06-05 · @ HOU · L 1-5 · model gave 42%HOU2026-06-06 · @ HOU · L 2-13 · model gave 41%HOU2026-06-07 · @ HOU · W 5-0 · model gave 43%HOU2026-06-08 · vs MIL · L 14-15 · model gave 38%MIL2026-06-09 · vs MIL · W 7-5 · model gave 38%MIL2026-06-10 · vs MIL · W 4-3 · model gave 39%MIL2026-06-12 · vs COL · W 6-4 · model gave 65%COL2026-06-13 · vs COL · W 7-5 · model gave 66%COL2026-06-14 · vs COL · L 9-23 · model gave 66%COL2026-06-15 · vs PIT · W 11-2 · model gave 54%PIT

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

161 games · 2025-06-17 → 2026-06-15

Peak 1517 · Now 1475 · Trough 1440

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

4 moves
  1. Jun 12

    Reinstated SS Jacob Wilson from the 10-day IL. Placed DH Brent Rooker on the 10-day IL retroactive to June 9.

  2. Jun 11

    Sent RHP Aaron Civale on a rehab assignment to Las Vegas (PCL).

  3. Jun 9

    Agreed to terms with SS Kenny Fermin on a minor league contract. Recalled RHP Joey Estes from Las Vegas (PCL).

  4. Jun 8

    Reinstated 3B Max Muncy from the 10-day IL. Optioned SS Darell Hernaiz to Las Vegas (PCL).

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

Alika Williams

A. Williams

SS · #12

Carlos Cortes

C. Cortes

RF · #26

Colby Thomas

C. Thomas

RF · #32

Elvis Alvarado

E. Alvarado

RP · #37

Gage Jump

G. Jump

RP · #61

Henry Bolte

H. Bolte

CF · #33

Hogan Harris

H. Harris

RP · #36

J.T. Ginn

J.T. Ginn

SP · #35

Jack Perkins

J. Perkins

RP · #50

Jacob Wilson

J. Wilson

SS · #5

Jeff McNeil

J. McNeil

2B · #22

Jeffrey Springs

J. Springs

SP · #59

Jonah Heim

J. Heim

C · #15

Jose Suarez

J. Suarez

RP · #54

Justin Sterner

J. Sterner

RP · #60

Lawrence Butler

L. Butler

RF · #4

Luis Medina

L. Medina

RP · #46

Luis Morales

L. Morales

SP · #19

Mark Leiter Jr.

M. Leiter Jr.

RP · #38

M

M. Barnett

SP · #63

Max Muncy

M. Muncy

3B · #3

Nick Kurtz

N. Kurtz

1B · #16

Scott Barlow

S. Barlow

RP · #58

Shea Langeliers

S. Langeliers

C · #23

Tyler Soderstrom

T. Soderstrom

LF · #21

Zack Gelof

Z. Gelof

3B · #20

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
Receipts →

Model picks on ATH

Below the 30-pick gate (n=29)