Seattle Mariners vs Athletics: Final Score & Box Score — May 26, 2026

FINAL+3SEA

SEA

27-29

ATH

27-28

Sutter Health Park · Sacramento, California

9,539 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

ATH spread

+1.5

open PK · +1.5

Total

O/U 9.5

open O/U 9.0 · +0.5

ATH no-vig %

49.0%

open 50.0% · -1.0

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = ATH favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.1%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
50.1%
P(ATH win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
48.6%
P(ATH win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
49.2%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.61 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

96% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

SEA

no live price

ATH

no live price

Book	SEA	ATH	Best edge
DraftKings	-108	-112	+1.5

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

ATH vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 100 high confidence

Strikeouts

Logan GilbertSEA
6.7± 2.0high
Bryan WooSEA
6.1± 1.9high
Bryce MillerSEA
5.9± 4.4low

Hits

Cole YoungSEA
1.3± 1.2high
Jeff McNeilATH
1.1± 0.8high
Jhonny PeredaSEA
1.1± 0.7medium

Total bases

Cole YoungSEA
2.0± 1.7high
Randy ArozarenaSEA
2.0± 2.5high
Dominic CanzoneSEA
1.9± 2.9high

RBIs

Cal RaleighSEA
0.7± 1.0high
Dominic CanzoneSEA
0.6± 1.5high
Henry BolteATH
0.4± 1.0high

Earned runs

Bryan WooSEA
3.2± 2.4high
Jack PerkinsATH
3.1± 1.7high
Gage JumpATH
2.8± 3.4low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

SEA

league avg

ATH

.687

OPS

.720

▶

.720

.310

OBP

.318

▶

.320

3.98

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.35

3.78

Team ERA

◀

4.18

5.42

1.19

WHIP

◀

1.30

1.50

8.7

K / 9

8.5

8.6

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

SEA 4 · ATH 1 (by 3)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked ATH +0pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SEA	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4
ATH	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J.P. CrawfordSS	.200	4	0	1	1	0	0	2
J. RodriguezCF	.259	5	0	1	1	0	0	0
R. ArozarenaLF	.297	5	0	1	0	0	0	2
J. Naylor1B	.255	4	1	2	0	0	0	0
R. RefsnyderDH	.113	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
M. GarverC	.203	4	1	2	1	0	0	0
C. Young2B	.237	3	0	0	1	0	0	1
V. RoblesRF	.316	3	1	3	0	0	0	0
C. EmersonSS	.222	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
L. RaleyRF	.268	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		34	4	11	4	0	1	8

Player

.200

.259

.297

.255

.113

.203

.237

.316

.222

.268

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. HancockSP	6.0	1	0	0	2	3	87
J. FerrerRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13
G. SpeierRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14
A. MunozRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19
Team	9.0	4	1	1	2	5	133

Player

6.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

133

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CortesRF	.336	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
N. Kurtz1B	.280	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
S. LangeliersC	.299	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. RookerDH	.189	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
T. SoderstromLF	.207	4	1	2	1	1	0	0
J. McNeil2B	.263	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Z. Gelof3B	.238	4	0	2	0	0	0	0
L. ButlerRF	.163	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. HernaizSS	.263	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. BolteCF	.282	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. ThomasRF	.314	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. WilliamsSS	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		31	1	4	1	1	2	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. JumpSP	5.0	9	4	4	1	5	88
J. SuarezRP	1.2	2	0	0	0	1	19
J. SternerRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	7
H. HarrisRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10
Team	9.0	11	4	4	1	8	124

Team

SEA

ATH

3 sub-models, blended.

Where to bet this game.

ATH vs SEA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Where to bet this game.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATH vs SEA.

3 sub-models, blended.