Milwaukee Brewers vs Athletics: Final Score & Box Score — Jun 10, 2026

FINAL+1ATH

MIL

41-25

ATH

33-35

Las Vegas Ballpark · Las Vegas, Nevada

8,436 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

ATH spread

+1.5

open PK · +1.5

Total

O/U 14.5

open O/U 14.5

ATH no-vig %

49.0%

open 48.3% · +0.8

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = ATH favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

39.8%

ensemble · MIL favored

Elo Static
38.9%
P(ATH win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
38.7%
P(ATH win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
39.3%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.25 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

98% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

-1.63

CLV pp · steam

Open price

-118

Close price

-110

Open no-vig

51.7%

Close no-vig

50.1%

Market faded the model hard · Graded: miss

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

+13.7pp

best edge · ATH · DraftKings

MIL

no live price

ATH

★ best

+261DraftKings

edge +13.7pp · implied 26.0%

Book	MIL	ATH	Best edge
DraftKings	-369	+261★	+13.7

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

ATH vs MIL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 98 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.6± 3.1low
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.4± 5.2low
Gage JumpATH
4.8± 1.7low

Hits

Jackson ChourioMIL
1.6± 1.3high
Nick KurtzATH
1.3± 0.8high
Zack GelofATH
1.3± 0.7high

Total bases

Jackson ChourioMIL
3.2± 3.0high
Nick KurtzATH
3.0± 3.2high
Zack GelofATH
2.7± 1.9high

RBIs

Nick KurtzATH
1.2± 1.6high
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.0± 1.2high
Jake BauersMIL
0.9± 1.4high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.2± 1.8medium
Brandon SproatMIL
2.9± 2.0low
Aaron CivaleATH
2.8± 3.6low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

MIL

league avg

ATH

.737

OPS

.718

▶

.748

.340

OBP

◀

.319

.329

5.37

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.59

3.42

Team ERA

◀

4.18

4.91

1.20

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.45

9.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.3

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATH wins

MIL 3 · ATH 4 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked MIL +11pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
MIL	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
ATH	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	4

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. YelichDH	.286	4	1	1	0	0	1	2
J. ChourioLF	.304	5	1	2	1	1	0	0
B. Turang2B	.267	5	0	0	0	0	0	2
A. Vaughn1B	.370	3	0	2	1	0	1	0
J. Bauers1B	.277	4	0	0	0	0	0	4
G. SanchezDH	.219	3	1	2	1	1	1	0
S. FrelickRF	.228	4	0	2	0	0	0	0
D. HamiltonSS	.238	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. OrtizSS	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. PerkinsCF	.113	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. Rengifo3B	.204	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
W. ContrerasC	.285	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		36	3	11	3	2	3	9

Player

.286

.304

.267

.370

.277

.219

.228

.238

.200

.113

.204

.285

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. SproatSP	6.0	4	1	1	1	3	68
C. PatrickRP	0.0	3	3	3	0	0	8
A. AshbyRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20
T. MegillRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17
Team	8.0	9	4	4	2	5	113

Player

6.0

0.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

113

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Kurtz1B	.283	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
T. SoderstromLF	.238	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
S. LangeliersC	.283	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. CortesRF	.310	4	1	1	1	1	0	0
Z. Gelof3B	.266	4	1	1	0	0	0	2
L. ButlerRF	.165	4	1	1	2	1	0	1
H. BolteCF	.296	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. McNeil2B	.232	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. WilliamsSS	.212	3	1	2	1	1	0	0
Team		31	4	9	4	3	2	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. PerkinsRP	4.0	5	3	3	3	4	89
L. MedinaRP	2.0	2	0	0	0	2	21
J. SuarezRP	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	12
S. BarlowRP	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	14
H. HarrisRP	0.2	2	0	0	0	0	17
E. AlvaradoRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14
Team	9.0	11	3	3	3	9	167

Team

MIL

ATH

—

3 sub-models, blended.

Closing-line value.

Where to bet this game.

ATH vs MIL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Where to bet this game.

Closing-line value.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATH vs MIL.

3 sub-models, blended.