HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
  • NBA logo
  • NHL logo
  • WNBA logo
  • MLB logo
  • UFC logo
  • NFL logo
THE ONE Analytics
Beta
NHL logoNHLHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
Pittsburgh Penguins

Eastern Conference · 8 seed

Pittsburgh Penguins

41-25 · L3 · L10 5-5-0

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#14 of 32

Elo rating 1501.7 · as of 2026-06-15 · nhl_team_ratings

Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2026-04-20 → 2026-04-29 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 3 vs PHI, 0-3, 2026-04-20. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 3 at PHI, 2-5, 2026-04-22. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 2 at PHI, 4-2, 2026-04-26. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 1 vs PHI, 3-2, 2026-04-27. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at PHI, 0-1, 2026-04-29. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points

  1. 1Sidney Crosby68 GP74
  2. 2Erik Karlsson75 GP66
  3. 3Bryan Rust72 GP65
  4. 4Anthony Mantha81 GP64
  5. 5Evgeni Malkin56 GP61

Goals

  1. 1Anthony Mantha81 GP33
  2. 2Sidney Crosby68 GP29
  3. 3Bryan Rust72 GP29
  4. 4Rickard Rakell60 GP24
  5. 5Egor Chinakhov72 GP21

Assists

  1. 1Erik Karlsson75 GP51
  2. 2Sidney Crosby68 GP45
  3. 3Evgeni Malkin56 GP42
  4. 4Bryan Rust72 GP36
  5. 5Kris Letang74 GP31

Power-play goals

  1. 1Sidney Crosby68 GP10
  2. 2Bryan Rust72 GP8
  3. 3Rickard Rakell60 GP7
  4. 4Anthony Mantha81 GP7
  5. 5Tommy Novak82 GP5

Save percentage

  1. 1Arturs Silovs38 GS.888
  2. 2Stuart Skinner50 GS.888

Min 10 starts.

Goals against average

  1. 1Stuart Skinner50 GS2.92
  2. 2Arturs Silovs38 GS3.07

Min 10 starts.

2025-26 regular season · NHL club-stats API (api-web.nhle.com) · counting boards ungated; goalie SV% / GAA min 10 starts

Period identity

When they score

Pattern by period

12 games · for vs against

0.51.01.52.0P1 · 1.00 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.67PEAKP1P2 · 1.42 for / 1.58 against · margin -0.17P2P3 · 0.75 for / 1.33 against · margin -0.58P3PERIODS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

3.2 avg / 3.3 allowed

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 3.5 goals

2468AVG 3.501425344856789GOALS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-03-01 → 2026-04-29

Record

13-17

Win pct

43.3%

Avg margin

-0.2

Longest W

3

Longest L

6

Upset wins

6

Favorite losses

7

2026-03-01 · vs VGK · W 5-0 · model gave 60%VGK2026-03-04 · @ BOS · L 1-2 · model gave 43%BOS2026-03-06 · vs BUF · L 1-5 · model gave 52%BUF2026-03-07 · vs PHI · L 3-4 · model gave 61%PHI2026-03-08 · vs BOS · W 5-4 · model gave 55%BOS2026-03-10 · @ CAR · L 4-5 · model gave 37%CAR2026-03-13 · @ VGK · L 2-6 · model gave 46%VGK2026-03-15 · @ UTAH · W 4-3 · model gave 41%UTAH2026-03-17 · @ COL · W 7-2 · model gave 34%COL2026-03-18 · @ CAR · L 5-6 · model gave 38%CAR2026-03-21 · vs WPG · W 5-4 · model gave 64%WPG2026-03-22 · vs CAR · L 1-5 · model gave 51%CAR2026-03-24 · vs COL · L 2-6 · model gave 48%COL2026-03-26 · @ OTT · W 4-3 · model gave 39%OTT2026-03-28 · vs DAL · L 3-6 · model gave 52%DAL2026-03-30 · @ NYI · W 8-3 · model gave 39%NYI2026-03-31 · vs DET · W 5-1 · model gave 57%DET2026-04-02 · @ TB · L 3-6 · model gave 36%TB2026-04-04 · vs FLA · W 9-4 · model gave 60%FLA2026-04-05 · vs FLA · W 5-2 · model gave 61%FLA2026-04-09 · @ NJ · W 5-2 · model gave 46%NJ2026-04-11 · vs WSH · L 3-6 · model gave 60%WSH2026-04-12 · @ WSH · L 0-3 · model gave 44%WSH2026-04-15 · @ STL · L 5-7 · model gave 47%STL2026-04-19 · vs PHI · L 2-3 · model gave 55%PHI2026-04-20 · vs PHI · L 0-3 · model gave 54%PHI2026-04-22 · @ PHI · L 2-5 · model gave 39%PHI2026-04-26 · @ PHI · W 4-2 · model gave 38%PHI2026-04-27 · vs PHI · W 3-2 · model gave 53%PHI2026-04-29 · @ PHI · L 0-1 · model gave 40%PHI

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

88 games · 2025-10-08 → 2026-04-29

Peak 1523 · Now 1502 · Trough 1471

Forwards · 21

Forwards

Anthony Mantha

Anthony Mantha

RW · #39

64 PTS33 G
Avery Hayes

Avery Hayes

RW · #85

5 PTS5 G
Ben Kindel

Ben Kindel

C · #81

35 PTS17 G
Blake Lizotte

Blake Lizotte

C · #46

19 PTS7 G
Bryan Rust

Bryan Rust

RW · #17

65 PTS29 G
Connor Dewar

Connor Dewar

C · #19

30 PTS14 G
Egor Chinakhov

Egor Chinakhov

RW · #59

42 PTS21 G
Elmer Soderblom

Elmer Soderblom

LW · #25

13 PTS7 G
Evgeni Malkin

Evgeni Malkin

C · #71

61 PTS19 G
Filip Hallander

Filip Hallander

C · #11

4 PTS1 G
Joona Koppanen

Joona Koppanen

LW · #15

1 PTS0 G
Justin Brazeau

Justin Brazeau

RW · #16

34 PTS17 G
Kevin Hayes

Kevin Hayes

RW · #13

8 PTS4 G
Noel Acciari

Noel Acciari

C · #55

25 PTS13 G

Oliver Okuliar

LW

Rafael Harvey-Pinard

Rafael Harvey-Pinard

LW · #48

0 PTS0 G
Rickard Rakell

Rickard Rakell

RW · #67

48 PTS24 G
Rutger McGroarty

Rutger McGroarty

RW · #2

6 PTS3 G
Sidney Crosby

Sidney Crosby

C · #87

74 PTS29 G
Tommy Novak

Tommy Novak

C · #18

42 PTS16 G
Ville Koivunen

Ville Koivunen

RW · #41

7 PTS2 G

Defensemen · 11

The blue line

Caleb Jones

Caleb Jones

D · #82

1 PTS0 G
Connor Clifton

Connor Clifton

D · #75

6 PTS2 G
Erik Karlsson

Erik Karlsson

D · #65

66 PTS15 G
Ilya Solovyov

Ilya Solovyov

D · #7

8 PTS1 G
Jack St. Ivany

Jack St. Ivany

D · #3

7 PTS0 G

Jake Livanavage

D · #57

0 PTS0 G
Kris Letang

Kris Letang

D · #58

34 PTS3 G
Parker Wotherspoon

Parker Wotherspoon

D · #28

30 PTS3 G
Ryan Graves

Ryan Graves

D · #27

1 PTS1 G
Ryan Shea

Ryan Shea

D · #5

35 PTS6 G
Samuel Girard

Samuel Girard

D · #49

19 PTS3 G

Goalies · 3

In the crease

Arturs Silovs

Arturs Silovs

G · #37

Stuart Skinner

Stuart Skinner

G · #74

Taylor Gauthier

Taylor Gauthier

G · #33

← All NHL teams

Build your edge. Every week.

Weekly research digest

One email per week · unsubscribe anytime

THE ONE Analytics

Elite sports analytics across NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, NCAA football, and NCAA basketball. Statcast-style advanced metrics, AI-graded prop analysis, and a model edge against Vegas refreshed every night.

6 leagues live · model running
Beta · every feature free

Sports

  • NFL
  • WNBA
  • CFB
  • NBA
  • CBB
  • MLB
  • NHL
  • UFC
  • Soccer
  • Horse Racing

Product

  • Features
  • Sports coverage
  • Best bets
  • Live games
  • Futures
  • 2026 Draft Big Board
  • Cross-sport rankings
  • Model accuracy
  • Yesterday's recap
  • NFL player directory
  • NBA head-to-head
  • Box scores · cross-sport
  • Sportsbooks by state
  • My bets
  • Methodology
  • Glossary
  • Pricing

Company

  • About
  • Notes
  • Partners
  • Press kit
  • Roadmap
  • Changelog
  • Brand kit
  • Sign in

Legal

  • Terms of Service
  • Betting Terms
  • Privacy Policy
  • Responsible Gambling
21+

Analytics for entertainment + research. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.

Resources →

© 2026 The One Analytics. All rights reserved. · [email protected]

Analytical research only · not gambling advice · bet responsibly

Model picks on PIT

Below the 30-pick gate (n=16)

MLBTop 6
DET 1@HOU 1
+2.4pppeak
MLBTop 2
LAA 0@ARI 0
-3.9pphigh
MLBBot 1
PIT 0@ATH 0
+2.2ppmedium
MLBBot 2
SF 3@ATL 2
-21.8pphigh
MLBTop 8
CLE 1@MIL 2
+32.0pplow
MLBTop 7
SD 2@STL 3
+34.1ppmedium
MLBMid 1
BAL 1@SEA 0
-23.8ppmedium
MLBBot 8
NYM 3@CIN 5
+46.2pplow
MLBTop 6
COL 5@CHC 2
-65.7pplow
MLBBot 6
MIN 10@TEX 2
-56.0pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 2@NYY 12
+37.6pplow
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
MLBTop 6
DET 1@HOU 1
+2.4pppeak
MLBTop 2
LAA 0@ARI 0
-3.9pphigh
MLBBot 1
PIT 0@ATH 0
+2.2ppmedium
MLBBot 2
SF 3@ATL 2
-21.8pphigh
MLBTop 8
CLE 1@MIL 2
+32.0pplow
MLBTop 7
SD 2@STL 3
+34.1ppmedium
MLBMid 1
BAL 1@SEA 0
-23.8ppmedium
MLBBot 8
NYM 3@CIN 5
+46.2pplow
MLBTop 6
COL 5@CHC 2
-65.7pplow
MLBBot 6
MIN 10@TEX 2
-56.0pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 2@NYY 12
+37.6pplow
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
Receipts →