NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1PIT

PIT

33-18-15

UTA

34-27-6

NHLSat, Mar 14FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasUTAH -155

PIT · top performer

Anthony Mantha

RW · #39

2Points

—

SOG

UTA · top performer

Dylan Guenther

RW · #11

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. AcciariC · #55	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	17:24
E. ChinakhovRW · #59	0	2	-1	3	0	0	0	16:44
C. DewarC · #19	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	14:58
A. HayesRW · #85	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	10:44
B. KindelC · #81	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	13:30
V. KoivunenRW · #41	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	12:28
B. LizotteC · #46	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	15:48
A. ManthaRW · #39	1	1	0	5	0	0	2	17:09
T. NovakC · #18	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	13:31
R. RakellRW · #67	0	1	-1	2	2	0	0	18:57
B. RustRW · #17	1	0	-1	2	0	1	0	19:17
E. SoderblomLW · #25	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	13:12

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CliftonD · #75	0	0	-1	1	4	4	0	12:50
E. KarlssonD · #65	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	26:50
K. LetangD · #58	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	20:37
R. SheaD · #5	0	0	-1	0	0	2	0	18:37
I. SolovyovD · #7	0	0	-1	0	1	1	2	11:06
P. WotherspoonD · #28	0	2	2	0	3	2	0	21:35

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. SkinnerG · #74	29	3	26	.897	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. CarconeLW · #53	0	0	-1	3	4	0	0	10:21
L. CooleyC · #92	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	15:07
L. CrouseLW · #67	0	0	-1	0	6	0	2	16:42
D. GuentherRW · #11	2	0	1	5	2	1	0	20:18
B. HaytonC · #27	0	0	-1	2	1	0	2	15:09
C. KellerRW · #9	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	20:13
A. KerfootC · #15	0	1	1	1	1	0	2	10:10
J. McBainC · #22	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	10:28
J. PeterkaRW · #77	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	14:39
N. SchmaltzC · #8	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	24:25
K. StenlundC · #82	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	12:41
K. YamamotoRW · #56	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	7:53

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ColeD · #28	1	0	2	1	1	1	2	16:44
S. DurziD · #50	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	15:53
J. MarinoD · #6	0	0	-2	0	1	0	0	14:00
N. SchmidtD · #88	0	0	-2	2	3	3	0	18:36
M. SergachevD · #98	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	27:07
M. WeegarD · #52	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	21:15

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. VejmelkaG · #70	23	4	19	.826	57:30

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

PIT

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Dec 14

UTA5@

PIT4

Mar 15

PIT4@

UTA3today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PIT+13043%

UTA-15561%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 27 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

PIT beat UTA 4-3. A. Mantha led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
PIT	0	2	2	4
UTA	2	0	1	3

Period scoring

PIT won 2 · UTA won 1

PIT

UTA

Play-by-play · 319 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:58
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:49
Barrett Hayton faceoff won against Blake Lizotte
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:49
Goalie Stopped
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:49
Nick Schmaltz Snap Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:43
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Connor Dewar
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:38
Clayton Keller shot blocked by Bryan Rust
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:32
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Noel Acciari
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:32
Icing
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:25
Barrett Hayton Tip-In saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:17
Dylan Guenther Slap Shot High and Wide Left
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:53
Barrett Hayton faceoff won against Noel Acciari
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:53
Goalie Stopped
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:52
Dylan Guenther Slap Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:49
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Blake Lizotte
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:49
Goalie Stopped
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:48
Kevin Stenlund Tip-In saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:35
Blake Lizotte faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:35
Timeout - Home
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:35
Goalie Stopped
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:33
Dylan Guenther Snap Shot Above Crossbar
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:29
Barrett Hayton Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:44
Giveaway by Ryan Shea
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:40
Noel Acciari faceoff won against Barrett Hayton
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:40
Icing
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:33
Blake Lizotte faceoff won against Nick Schmaltz
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:33
Puck in Netting
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:30
Michael Carcone Snap Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:24
Barrett Hayton faceoff won against Thomas Novak
·
PIT 4·UTA 3

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 6.5·PIT +130/UTA -155

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

ittsburgh Penguins went into Utah Mammoth and beat them, 4–3.

PIT +1.5 cashed (UTA lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

59.2%

ensemble · UTA favored

Elo Static
59.2%
P(UTA win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
59.2%
P(UTA win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
59.2%
P(UTA win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Pittsburgh PenguinsUtah Mammoth

Elsewhere in the NHL