
PIT
34-18-16

CAR
43-19-6
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
arolina Hurricanes held off Pittsburgh Penguins, 6–5 in overtime.
PIT +1.5 cashed (CAR won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 4.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
PIT · top performer

Sidney Crosby
C · #87
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
CAR · top performer

Jackson Blake
RW · #53
1
G
2
A
—
SOG
NHL · Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


PIT
34-18-16
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
CAR
43-19-6
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
6
PIM
10
Season series
CAR leads series 2-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CAR -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 7 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
CAR beat PIT 6-5.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| CAR | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Period scoring
PIT won 1 · CAR won 2
1
2
3
OT
Play-by-play · 343 plays
- OT·4:31
Game End
PIT 5·CAR 6
- OT·4:31
End of OT
PIT 5·CAR 6
- OT·4:31
Sean Walker Goal (7) Slap Shot, assists: Sebastian Aho (45), Seth Jarvis (26)
· ·
PIT 5·CAR 6
- OT·4:12
Ben Kindel Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- OT·4:07
Takeaway by Kris Letang
PIT 5·CAR 5
- OT·2:25
Egor Chinakhov Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- OT·2:14
Kris Letang Slap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- OT·0:00
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Bryan Rust
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:55
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Ben Kindel
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:55
Icing
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:26
Jordan Martinook hit Parker Wotherspoon
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:21
Giveaway by Jordan Martinook
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:20
Nikolaj Ehlers hit Thomas Novak
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:20
Takeaway by Jordan Martinook
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:16
Jordan Martinook Snap Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:13
Jalen Chatfield shot blocked by Egor Chinakhov
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·19:09
Giveaway by Nikolaj Ehlers
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·18:37
Taylor Hall Slap Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·18:25
Connor Dewar hit K'Andre Miller
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·18:03
Noel Acciari Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·17:46
Sidney Crosby Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·17:30
Sidney Crosby Backhand Hit Right Post
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·17:22
Sidney Crosby Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·17:09
Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Sidney Crosby
·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·17:09
K'Andre Miller Goal (5) Snap Shot, assists: Sean Walker (16), Nikolaj Ehlers (36)
· ·
PIT 5·CAR 5
- 3rd·16:58
Logan Stankoven Snap Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 5·CAR 4
- 3rd·16:43
Justin Brazeau Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
PIT 5·CAR 4
- 3rd·16:30
Giveaway by Nikolaj Ehlers
PIT 5·CAR 4
Team stats
PIT
Away
Stat
CAR
Home
35
Shots
44
25.0
PCT
50.0
6
PIM
10
28
Faceoffs W
31
16
Blocks
9
16
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
5
Betting line
CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·PIT +114/CAR -135
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
Egor ChinakhovPIT · RWSHOT MPH94.799
Sean WalkerCAR · DSKATE MPH22.998
Erik KarlssonPIT · DSKATE MPH22.897
Taylor HallCAR · LWBURSTS4696
Sebastian AhoCAR · CDIST MI44.795
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · CAR favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
-135
Close price
-135
Open no-vig
55.1%
Close no-vig
55.1%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit