NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1PIT

BOS

35-22-6

PIT

32-17-14

NHLSun, Mar 8FinalSeriesBOS wins series 2-1VegasPIT -125

BOS · top performer

Pavel Zacha

C · #18

3Points

—

SOG

PIT · top performer

Anthony Mantha

RW · #39

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. ArvidssonLW · #71	0	2	1	1	0	1	0	14:34
M. EyssimontC · #81	0	0	0	3	2	0	2	11:51
M. GeekieC · #39	0	1	0	4	1	1	0	19:08
T. JeannotLW · #84	0	0	-1	0	2	1	0	11:03
M. KastelicC · #47	0	0	-1	0	3	1	0	9:37
M. KhusnutdinovC · #92	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	13:11
S. KuralyC · #52	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	9:37
E. LindholmC · #28	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	19:35
F. MintenC · #93	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	17:56
C. MittelstadtC · #11	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	15:00
D. PastrnakRW · #88	1	0	-1	4	0	0	0	21:25
P. ZachaC · #18	3	0	0	4	0	0	0	16:59

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AspirotD · #45	0	2	-1	1	2	1	2	14:25
H. LindholmD · #27	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	22:04
M. LohreiD · #6	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	18:21
C. McAvoyD · #73	0	1	-2	3	1	3	0	24:26
A. PeekeD · #26	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	16:37
N. ZadorovD · #91	0	0	-1	2	2	2	0	20:02

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. KorpisaloG · #70	40	5	35	.875	60:17

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. AcciariC · #55	0	0	-1	4	2	1	0	14:59
E. ChinakhovRW · #59	1	0	1	3	0	1	2	16:18
C. DewarC · #19	1	0	1	4	4	1	0	15:48
A. HayesRW · #85	0	0	-2	3	1	1	0	9:34
B. KindelC · #81	0	0	-2	1	1	0	0	11:47
V. KoivunenRW · #41	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	14:04
B. LizotteC · #46	0	0	-1	2	1	1	0	15:52
A. ManthaRW · #39	2	0	1	2	2	0	0	15:14
T. NovakC · #18	1	1	4	1	0	0	0	15:23
R. RakellRW · #67	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	15:56
B. RustRW · #17	0	0	0	5	1	1	0	19:12
E. SoderblomLW · #25	0	0	-2	3	2	0	0	10:21

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. GirardD · #49	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	18:04
E. KarlssonD · #65	0	2	1	6	0	0	0	24:20
K. LetangD · #58	0	0	-1	1	4	1	2	20:47
R. SheaD · #5	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	19:52
I. SolovyovD · #7	0	1	0	2	1	4	2	14:12
P. WotherspoonD · #28	0	1	0	1	3	1	2	21:19

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. SilovsG · #37	28	4	24	.857	60:17

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

PIT

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

BOS wins series 2-1

Jan 11

PIT0@

BOS1

Mar 4

PIT1@

BOS2

Mar 8

BOS4@

PIT5today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PIT -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOS+10549%

PIT-12556%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗

Line movement · 29 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

PIT beat BOS 5-4. A. Mantha led the way — 2 G · 2 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
BOS	1	2	1	0	4
PIT	0	1	3	1	5

Period scoring

BOS won 2 · PIT won 2

BOS

PIT

Play-by-play · 336 plays

period

event

player

OT·0:17
Game End
BOS 4·PIT 5
OT·0:17
End of OT
BOS 4·PIT 5
OT·0:17
Thomas Novak Goal (14) Snap Shot, assists: none
BOS 4·PIT 5
OT·0:00
Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Thomas Novak
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·19:12
Kris Letang hit Morgan Geekie
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·18:48
Thomas Novak faceoff won against Fraser Minten
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·18:48
Puck in Benches
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·18:37
Michael Eyssimont Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·18:34
Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·18:31
Fraser Minten faceoff won against Blake Lizotte
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·18:31
Goalie Stopped
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·18:29
David Pastrnak Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·18:25
Nikita Zadorov hit Rickard Rakell
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·18:09
Ben Kindel faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
· ·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·18:09
On-Ice Official
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·18:06
Mason Lohrei Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·17:56
Connor Dewar hit Mason Lohrei
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·17:44
Viktor Arvidsson Tip-In Wide Left
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·17:19
Ilya Solovyov Slap Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·17:12
Nikita Zadorov hit Anthony Mantha
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·16:40
Giveaway by Ville Koivunen
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·16:09
Giveaway by Charlie McAvoy
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·15:31
Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Blake Lizotte
· ·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·15:31
Puck Frozen - Skater
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·15:25
Fraser Minten shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·15:17
Fraser Minten shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·15:00
Connor Dewar hit Viktor Arvidsson
·
BOS 4·PIT 4
3rd·14:37
Blake Lizotte faceoff won against Fraser Minten
·
BOS 4·PIT 4

Betting line

PIT -1.5·O/U 6.5·BOS +105/PIT -125

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

ittsburgh Penguins held off Boston Bruins, 5–4 in overtime.

BOS +1.5 cashed (PIT won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Erik Karlsson · PIT24:300.7560.4%66.6%24:30 TOI · 0.75 iXG · 60.4% CF · 66.6% xGF
Connor Dewar · PIT15:540.4658.5%68.9%15:54 TOI · 0.46 iXG · 58.5% CF · 68.9% xGF
Elmer Soderblom · PIT10:240.4481.8%80.5%10:24 TOI · 0.44 iXG · 81.8% CF · 80.5% xGF
Blake Lizotte · PIT16:120.4259.1%69.0%16:12 TOI · 0.42 iXG · 59.1% CF · 69.0% xGF
Bryan Rust · PIT19:240.4246.3%58.8%19:24 TOI · 0.42 iXG · 46.3% CF · 58.8% xGF
Pavel Zacha · BOS17:120.4043.6%41.0%17:12 TOI · 0.40 iXG · 43.6% CF · 41.0% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Joonas Korpisalo · BOS35–5.875-1.0435–5 · .875 SV% · -1.04 GSAx
Arturs Silovs · PIT24–4.857-2.0224–4 · .857 SV% · -2.02 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

54.6%

ensemble · PIT favored

Elo Static
54.6%
P(PIT win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
54.6%
P(PIT win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
54.6%
P(PIT win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Boston BruinsPittsburgh Penguins

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