NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2PIT

PIT

41-25-16

PHI

43-27-12

NHLSat, Apr 25FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasPHI -125

Recap · NHL

ittsburgh Penguins went into Philadelphia Flyers and beat them, 4–2.

PIT +1.5 cashed (PHI lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

PIT · top performer

Sidney Crosby

C · #87

2Points

—

SOG

PHI · top performer

Denver Barkey

C · #52

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. AcciariC · #55	0	1	1	1	6	0	0	14:35
E. ChinakhovRW · #59	0	0	-1	0	2	1	0	15:15
S. CrosbyC · #87	1	1	1	4	1	2	0	18:54
C. DewarC · #19	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	16:25
B. KindelC · #81	0	0	-1	1	3	1	0	10:16
B. LizotteC · #46	0	1	1	1	0	1	2	14:43
E. MalkinC · #71	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	15:39
A. ManthaRW · #39	0	0	-1	2	3	1	2	12:11
T. NovakC · #18	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	13:02
R. RakellRW · #67	1	1	1	1	3	0	0	17:25
B. RustRW · #17	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	19:19
E. SoderblomLW · #25	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	8:09

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. GirardD · #49	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	17:57
E. KarlssonD · #65	0	1	-1	1	0	0	2	26:47
K. LetangD · #58	1	0	2	3	2	0	0	23:19
R. SheaD · #5	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	16:46
I. SolovyovD · #7	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	7:33
P. WotherspoonD · #28	0	0	-2	1	3	2	0	23:49

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. SilovsG · #37	30	2	28	.933	59:56

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. BarkeyC · #52	1	0	1	2	4	0	2	12:15
N. CatesLW · #27	0	0	-1	2	0	2	0	14:35
S. CouturierC · #14	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	14:10
C. DvorakC · #22	0	1	-2	1	1	0	0	17:36
T. FoersterRW · #71	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	16:44
L. GlendeningC · #41	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	10:50
G. HathawayRW · #19	0	0	0	2	2	3	4	10:45
T. KonecnyRW · #11	1	0	-2	2	3	0	0	19:21
P. MartoneRW · #94	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	18:13
M. MichkovRW · #39	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	11:18
O. TippettRW · #74	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	16:42
T. ZegrasC · #46	0	1	0	2	5	0	10	18:43

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. DrysdaleD · #9	0	0	-2	4	0	0	0	19:51
N. JuulsenD · #47	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	8:55
R. RistolainenD · #55	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	26:09
T. SanheimD · #6	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	26:59
N. SeelerD · #24	0	0	0	1	2	3	0	12:20
C. YorkD · #8	0	1	-1	1	1	3	0	20:14

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. VladarG · #80	21	3	18	.857	58:15

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Playoff series

PHI leads series 3-1

Apr 19

PHI3@

PIT2

Apr 20

PHI3@

PIT0

Apr 22

PIT2@

PHI5

Apr 26

PIT4@

PHI2today

Apr 27

PHI2@

PIT3

Apr 29

PIT0@

PHI1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PHI -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PIT+10549%

PHI-12556%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗

Line movement · 58 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

PIT

S. Crosby

Top skater

1 G · 1 A · 4 SOG

A. Silovs

Goaltender

28 SV · 2 GA · .933

PHI

D. Barkey

Top skater

1 G · 2 SOG

D. Vladar

Goaltender

18 SV · 3 GA · .857

How it ended

PIT beat PHI 4-2. S. Crosby led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
PIT	1	1	2	4
PHI	0	1	1	2

Period scoring

PIT won 2 · PHI won 0

PIT

PHI

Play-by-play · 337 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
PIT 4·PHI 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PIT 4·PHI 2
3rd·20:00
Trevor Zegras Misconduct
PIT 4·PHI 2
3rd·19:58
Travis Sanheim Slap Shot Short
·
PIT 4·PHI 2
3rd·19:54
Porter Martone Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
PIT 4·PHI 2
3rd·19:49
Denver Barkey Tip-In saved by Arturs Silovs
·
PIT 4·PHI 2
3rd·19:49
Giveaway by Rickard Rakell
PIT 4·PHI 2
3rd·19:37
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Travis Sanheim
·
PIT 4·PHI 2
3rd·19:35
Rasmus Ristolainen Snap Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
PIT 4·PHI 2
3rd·19:31
Matvei Michkov Tip-In saved by Arturs Silovs
·
PIT 4·PHI 2
3rd·19:19
Giveaway by Kris Letang
PIT 4·PHI 2
3rd·19:03
Sidney Crosby faceoff won against Trevor Zegras
·
PIT 4·PHI 2
3rd·19:03
Connor Dewar Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Blake Lizotte (1), Noel Acciari (1)
· ·
PIT 4·PHI 2
3rd·18:53
Christian Dvorak Tip-In saved by Arturs Silovs
·
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·18:39
Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Noel Acciari
·
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·18:39
Icing
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·18:24
Ryan Shea shot blocked by Porter Martone
·
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·17:52
Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Noel Acciari
·
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·17:52
Off-side
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·17:12
Noel Acciari hit Rasmus Ristolainen
·
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·17:02
Connor Dewar hit Trevor Zegras
·
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·16:23
Sean Couturier faceoff won against Thomas Novak
·
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·16:23
Icing
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·16:17
Giveaway by Rasmus Ristolainen
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·16:09
Giveaway by Erik Karlsson
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·16:06
Giveaway by Tommy Novak
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·15:56
Rasmus Ristolainen shot blocked by Thomas Novak
·
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·15:52
Noah Cates faceoff won against Thomas Novak
·
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·15:52
Icing
PIT 3·PHI 2
3rd·15:44
Thomas Novak faceoff won against Noah Cates
·
PIT 3·PHI 2

Team stats

PIT

Away

Stat

PHI

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

PHI -1.5·O/U 5.5·PIT +105/PHI -125

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Egor ChinakhovPIT · RW
SHOT MPH94.799
Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
SKATE MPH23.098
Denver BarkeyPHI · C
xGF%6397
Tyson FoersterPHI · RW
SHOT MPH92.796
Erik KarlssonPIT · D
SKATE MPH22.896

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

58.3%

ensemble · PHI favored

Elo Static
62.4%
P(PHI win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
62.4%
P(PHI win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
62.4%
P(PHI win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-125

Close price

-125

Open no-vig

53.2%

Close no-vig

53.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss