NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1PIT

PHI

43-27-12

PIT

41-25-16

NHLMon, Apr 27FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasPIT -125

PHI · top performer

Alex Bump

LW · #20

1Points

—

SOG

PIT · top performer

Connor Dewar

C · #19

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. BarkeyC · #52	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	13:09
A. BumpLW · #20	1	0	0	4	2	1	0	15:29
N. CatesLW · #27	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	16:19
S. CouturierC · #14	0	0	-1	0	4	0	0	11:15
C. DvorakC · #22	0	0	1	1	3	2	0	18:43
T. FoersterRW · #71	0	0	1	1	4	0	0	16:11
L. GlendeningC · #41	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	10:42
G. HathawayRW · #19	0	0	0	2	3	0	4	8:17
T. KonecnyRW · #11	0	1	-1	0	3	1	4	19:32
P. MartoneRW · #94	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	15:32
O. TippettRW · #74	0	0	-2	1	2	2	0	18:01
T. ZegrasC · #46	0	0	-1	0	4	1	0	19:29

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. AndraeD · #36	0	0	0	0	3	1	2	11:00
J. DrysdaleD · #9	0	0	-2	2	0	0	0	22:22
R. RistolainenD · #55	0	2	1	1	1	1	0	23:21
T. SanheimD · #6	1	0	1	1	0	4	0	23:30
N. SeelerD · #24	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	12:13
C. YorkD · #8	0	0	-2	2	1	2	0	22:53

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. VladarG · #80	21	3	18	.857	58:02

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. AcciariC · #55	0	0	-1	0	4	3	0	15:45
E. ChinakhovRW · #59	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	12:00
S. CrosbyC · #87	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	20:13
C. DewarC · #19	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	12:14
B. KindelC · #81	0	0	1	2	2	2	0	11:49
B. LizotteC · #46	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	13:49
E. MalkinC · #71	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	14:25
A. ManthaRW · #39	0	1	1	1	3	1	2	12:28
T. NovakC · #18	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	14:04
R. RakellRW · #67	0	0	0	5	3	0	0	20:59
B. RustRW · #17	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	20:37
E. SoderblomLW · #25	1	0	1	2	3	0	0	10:50

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. GirardD · #49	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	21:41
E. KarlssonD · #65	0	0	0	2	0	2	2	26:23
K. LetangD · #58	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	24:40
R. SheaD · #5	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	17:03
I. SolovyovD · #7	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6:09
P. WotherspoonD · #28	0	1	0	1	1	3	0	21:03

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. SilovsG · #37	20	2	18	.900	59:48

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

PIT

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Playoff series

PHI leads series 3-2

Apr 19

PHI3@

PIT2

Apr 20

PHI3@

PIT0

Apr 22

PIT2@

PHI5

Apr 26

PIT4@

PHI2

Apr 27

PHI2@

PIT3today

Apr 29

PIT0@

PHI1

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PIT -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PHI+10549%

PIT-12556%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗

Line movement · 62 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

PIT beat PHI 3-2. C. Dewar led the way — 1 G · 2 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
PHI	0	2	0	2
PIT	1	2	0	3

Period scoring

PHI won 0 · PIT won 1

PHI

PIT

Play-by-play · 363 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·20:00
Travis Konecny Cross-checking against Sidney Crosby
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·19:59
Trevor Zegras hit Samuel Girard
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·19:50
Sidney Crosby faceoff won against Christian Dvorak
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·19:50
Icing
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·19:28
Sidney Crosby Poke Hit Left Post
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·19:20
Sidney Crosby faceoff won against Christian Dvorak
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·19:20
Icing
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·19:06
Porter Martone Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·19:01
Owen Tippett hit Rickard Rakell
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·18:58
Sidney Crosby Wrist Shot Hit Right Post
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·18:40
Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Alex Bump
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·18:33
Rasmus Ristolainen Slap Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·18:02
Tyson Foerster Wrist Shot saved by Arturs Silovs
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·16:35
Elmer Soderblom hit Travis Konecny
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·16:19
Christian Dvorak hit Kris Letang
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·16:14
Anthony Mantha hit Tyson Foerster
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·16:10
Elmer Soderblom Tip-In Wide Left
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·15:32
Giveaway by Jamie Drysdale
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·15:30
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·15:07
Rickard Rakell Snap Shot Wide Right
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·14:58
Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·14:55
Owen Tippett Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·14:06
Christian Dvorak hit Kris Letang
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·14:05
Takeaway by Nick Seeler
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·13:58
Giveaway by Noel Acciari
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·13:54
Ben Kindel Wrist Shot saved by Dan Vladar
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·13:47
Travis Konecny hit Erik Karlsson
·
PHI 2·PIT 3
3rd·13:25
Emil Andrae shot blocked by Ryan Shea
·
PHI 2·PIT 3

Betting line

PIT -1.5·O/U 5.5·PHI +105/PIT -125

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

ittsburgh Penguins held off Philadelphia Flyers, 3–2.

PHI +1.5 cashed (PIT won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Egor ChinakhovPIT · RW
SHOT MPH94.799
Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
SKATE MPH23.098
Denver BarkeyPHI · C
xGF%6397
Tyson FoersterPHI · RW
SHOT MPH92.796
Erik KarlssonPIT · D
SKATE MPH22.896

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Rickard Rakell · PIT21:180.6954.2%68.3%21:18 TOI · 0.69 iXG · 54.2% CF · 68.3% xGF
Bryan Rust · PIT20:420.5954.2%70.5%20:42 TOI · 0.59 iXG · 54.2% CF · 70.5% xGF
Alex Bump · PHI15:360.3855.6%66.2%15:36 TOI · 0.38 iXG · 55.6% CF · 66.2% xGF
Owen Tippett · PHI18:060.3557.9%54.8%18:06 TOI · 0.35 iXG · 57.9% CF · 54.8% xGF
Elmer Soderblom · PIT10:480.3452.4%51.3%10:48 TOI · 0.34 iXG · 52.4% CF · 51.3% xGF
Denver Barkey · PHI13:240.2965.4%65.0%13:24 TOI · 0.29 iXG · 65.4% CF · 65.0% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Dan Vladar · PHI18–3.857-0.7818–3 · .857 SV% · -0.78 GSAx
Arturs Silovs · PIT18–2.900-0.9618–2 · .900 SV% · -0.96 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.8%

ensemble · PIT favored

Elo Static
53.3%
P(PIT win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
53.3%
P(PIT win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
53.3%
P(PIT win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.