HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBTop 6
DET 1@HOU 1
+2.4pppeak
MLBEnd 1
LAA 0@ARI 0
-0.5ppmedium
MLBBot 1
PIT 0@ATH 0
+2.2ppmedium
MLBBot 2
SF 3@ATL 2
-21.8pphigh
MLBTop 8
CLE 1@MIL 2
+32.0pplow
MLBTop 7
SD 2@STL 3
+34.1ppmedium
MLBTop 1
BAL 1@SEA 0
-19.1ppmedium
MLBBot 8
NYM 3@CIN 5
+46.2pplow
MLBTop 6
COL 5@CHC 2
-65.7pplow
MLBMid 6
MIN 10@TEX 2
-56.0pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 2@NYY 12
+37.6pplow
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
MLBTop 6
DET 1@HOU 1
+2.4pppeak
MLBEnd 1
LAA 0@ARI 0
-0.5ppmedium
MLBBot 1
PIT 0@ATH 0
+2.2ppmedium
MLBBot 2
SF 3@ATL 2
-21.8pphigh
MLBTop 8
CLE 1@MIL 2
+32.0pplow
MLBTop 7
SD 2@STL 3
+34.1ppmedium
MLBTop 1
BAL 1@SEA 0
-19.1ppmedium
MLBBot 8
NYM 3@CIN 5
+46.2pplow
MLBTop 6
COL 5@CHC 2
-65.7pplow
MLBMid 6
MIN 10@TEX 2
-56.0pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 2@NYY 12
+37.6pplow
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
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Philadelphia Flyers

Eastern Conference · 7 seed

Philadelphia Flyers

43-27 · W3 · L10 7-3-0

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#11 of 32

Elo rating 1514.6 · as of 2026-06-15 · nhl_team_ratings

Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2026-04-29 → 2026-05-09 · Full ATS profile →

WWon by 1 vs PIT, 1-0, 2026-04-29. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 3 at CAR, 0-3, 2026-05-02. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at CAR, 2-3, 2026-05-04. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 3 vs CAR, 1-4, 2026-05-07. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 vs CAR, 2-3, 2026-05-09. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points

  1. 1Travis Konecny77 GP68
  2. 2Trevor Zegras81 GP67
  3. 3Christian Dvorak80 GP51
  4. 4Owen Tippett81 GP51
  5. 5Matvei Michkov81 GP51

Goals

  1. 1Owen Tippett81 GP28
  2. 2Travis Konecny77 GP27
  3. 3Trevor Zegras81 GP26
  4. 4Matvei Michkov81 GP20
  5. 5Christian Dvorak80 GP18

Assists

  1. 1Travis Konecny77 GP41
  2. 2Trevor Zegras81 GP41
  3. 3Christian Dvorak80 GP33
  4. 4Matvei Michkov81 GP31
  5. 5Noah Cates82 GP29

Power-play goals

  1. 1Trevor Zegras81 GP10
  2. 2Matvei Michkov81 GP4
  3. 3Christian Dvorak80 GP3
  4. 4Owen Tippett81 GP3
  5. 5Noah Cates82 GP3

Save percentage

  1. 1Dan Vladar51 GS.906
  2. 2Joseph Woll38 GS.899

Min 10 starts.

Goals against average

  1. 1Dan Vladar51 GS2.42
  2. 2Joseph Woll38 GS3.34

Min 10 starts.

2025-26 regular season · NHL club-stats API (api-web.nhle.com) · counting boards ungated; goalie SV% / GAA min 10 starts

Period identity

When they score

Pattern by period

12 games · for vs against

0.40.81.11.5P1 · 0.42 for / 0.75 against · margin -0.33P1P2 · 1.08 for / 0.75 against · margin +0.33PEAKP2P3 · 0.67 for / 0.67 against · margin +0.00P3PERIODS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

2.2 avg / 2.2 allowed

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 3.0 goals

2579AVG 3.00192636445678GOALS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-03-09 → 2026-05-09

Record

18-12

Win pct

60.0%

Avg margin

+0.6

Longest W

6

Longest L

4

Upset wins

11

Favorite losses

5

2026-03-09 · vs NYR · L 2-6 · model gave 61%NYR2026-03-11 · vs WSH · W 4-1 · model gave 54%WSH2026-03-13 · @ MIN · W 3-2 · model gave 34%MIN2026-03-14 · vs CBJ · L 1-2 · model gave 54%CBJ2026-03-19 · @ ANA · W 3-2 · model gave 38%ANA2026-03-20 · @ LA · W 4-3 · model gave 45%LA2026-03-21 · @ SJ · W 4-1 · model gave 43%SJ2026-03-24 · vs CBJ · L 2-3 · model gave 54%CBJ2026-03-26 · vs CHI · W 5-1 · model gave 63%CHI2026-03-29 · vs DAL · W 2-1 · model gave 50%DAL2026-03-29 · @ DET · W 5-3 · model gave 40%DET2026-03-31 · @ WSH · L 4-6 · model gave 43%WSH2026-04-02 · vs DET · L 2-4 · model gave 57%DET2026-04-03 · @ NYI · W 4-1 · model gave 40%NYI2026-04-05 · vs BOS · W 2-1 · model gave 54%BOS2026-04-07 · @ NJ · W 5-1 · model gave 43%NJ2026-04-09 · @ DET · L 3-6 · model gave 45%DET2026-04-11 · @ WPG · W 7-1 · model gave 47%WPG2026-04-13 · vs CAR · W 3-2 · model gave 49%CAR2026-04-14 · vs MTL · W 4-2 · model gave 52%MTL2026-04-19 · @ PIT · W 3-2 · model gave 45%PIT2026-04-20 · @ PIT · W 3-0 · model gave 46%PIT2026-04-22 · vs PIT · W 5-2 · model gave 61%PIT2026-04-26 · vs PIT · L 2-4 · model gave 62%PIT2026-04-27 · @ PIT · L 2-3 · model gave 47%PIT2026-04-29 · vs PIT · W 1-0 · model gave 60%PIT2026-05-02 · @ CAR · L 0-3 · model gave 33%CAR2026-05-04 · @ CAR · L 2-3 · model gave 32%CAR2026-05-07 · vs CAR · L 1-4 · model gave 45%CAR2026-05-09 · vs CAR · L 2-3 · model gave 45%CAR

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

92 games · 2025-10-09 → 2026-05-09

Peak 1534 · Now 1515 · Trough 1469

Forwards · 20

Forwards

Alex Bump

LW · #20

9 PTS5 G
Anthony Richard

Anthony Richard

C · #90

0 PTS0 G
Christian Dvorak

Christian Dvorak

C · #22

51 PTS18 G
Denver Barkey

Denver Barkey

C · #52

17 PTS5 G
Garnet Hathaway

Garnet Hathaway

RW · #19

3 PTS1 G
Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson

LW · #10

0 PTS0 G
Jacob Gaucher

Jacob Gaucher

C · #78

0 PTS0 G
Jett Luchanko

Jett Luchanko

C · #17

0 PTS0 G
Luke Glendening

Luke Glendening

C · #41

9 PTS2 G
Matvei Michkov

Matvei Michkov

RW · #39

51 PTS20 G
Nikita Grebenkin

Nikita Grebenkin

RW · #29

14 PTS4 G
Noah Cates

Noah Cates

LW · #27

47 PTS18 G

Oscar Eklind

LW · #43

Owen Tippett

Owen Tippett

RW · #74

51 PTS28 G

Porter Martone

RW · #94

10 PTS4 G
Rodrigo Abols

Rodrigo Abols

C · #18

10 PTS3 G
Sean Couturier

Sean Couturier

C · #14

36 PTS12 G
Travis Konecny

Travis Konecny

RW · #11

68 PTS27 G
Trevor Zegras

Trevor Zegras

C · #46

67 PTS26 G
Tyson Foerster

Tyson Foerster

RW · #71

17 PTS13 G

Defensemen · 13

The blue line

Adam Ginning

Adam Ginning

D · #13

0 PTS0 G
Cam York

Cam York

D · #8

26 PTS4 G
David Jiricek

David Jiricek

D · #5

0 PTS0 G
Helge Grans

Helge Grans

D · #3

Hunter McDonald

Hunter McDonald

D · #75

1 PTS0 G
Jamie Drysdale

Jamie Drysdale

D · #9

32 PTS8 G
Nick Seeler

Nick Seeler

D · #24

10 PTS4 G
Noah Juulsen

Noah Juulsen

D · #47

10 PTS1 G
Oliver Bonk

Oliver Bonk

D · #59

2 PTS1 G
Rasmus Ristolainen

Rasmus Ristolainen

D · #55

14 PTS1 G
Roman Schmidt

Roman Schmidt

D · #76

Simon Benoit

Simon Benoit

D

6 PTS0 G
Travis Sanheim

Travis Sanheim

D · #6

37 PTS11 G

Goalies · 4

In the crease

Aleksei Kolosov

Aleksei Kolosov

G · #35

Carson Bjarnason

Carson Bjarnason

G · #64

Dan Vladar

Dan Vladar

G · #80

Joseph Woll

Joseph Woll

G

← All NHL teams

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

65%Last 7 · 64-35
61%Last 30 · 301-189
Receipts →

Model picks on PHI

Below the 30-pick gate (n=14)