NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+6PHI

PHI

41-27-12

WPG

35-32-12

NHLSat, Apr 11FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasWPG -125

PHI · top performer

Sean Couturier

C · #14

3Points

—

SOG

WPG · top performer

Cole Koepke

LW · #45

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. BarkeyC · #52	0	1	3	0	2	0	0	12:19
N. CatesLW · #27	1	2	3	2	3	0	0	13:33
S. CouturierC · #14	2	1	2	4	0	1	0	17:01
C. DvorakC · #22	0	1	2	2	1	1	0	15:36
T. FoersterRW · #71	0	0	0	2	1	2	0	15:07
L. GlendeningC · #41	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	15:20
G. HathawayRW · #19	0	0	3	1	7	2	0	11:48
T. KonecnyRW · #11	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	14:45
P. MartoneRW · #94	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	15:25
M. MichkovRW · #39	1	1	2	3	0	0	0	13:27
O. TippettRW · #74	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	14:09
T. ZegrasC · #46	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	16:12

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. AndraeD · #36	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	15:48
J. DrysdaleD · #9	0	0	2	0	0	3	0	17:32
R. RistolainenD · #55	0	2	3	2	1	0	0	21:45
T. SanheimD · #6	1	0	2	1	2	0	0	25:26
N. SeelerD · #24	1	0	2	2	1	4	2	17:14
C. YorkD · #8	0	0	2	0	1	2	0	21:38

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. VladarG · #80	28	1	27	.964	59:55

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. ConnorLW · #81	0	0	-2	2	0	0	0	19:31
A. IafalloLW · #9	0	0	-1	3	1	2	0	15:03
C. KoepkeLW · #45	0	1	1	3	2	0	0	13:37
B. LambertC · #93	0	0	-2	0	2	0	2	12:54
A. LowryC · #17	0	0	-3	0	5	1	0	14:12
V. NamestnikovC · #7	0	0	-2	2	3	1	0	12:55
N. NiederreiterRW · #62	0	0	-2	3	1	0	0	11:50
C. PerfettiC · #91	0	0	-3	1	1	0	0	14:37
I. RosenRW · #27	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	13:28
M. ScheifeleC · #55	0	0	-2	3	0	0	2	20:22
J. ToewsC · #19	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	15:32
G. VilardiC · #13	0	0	-4	1	0	0	0	17:27

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BrysonD · #78	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	14:25
D. DeMeloD · #2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	22:02
H. FleuryD · #24	1	0	-1	1	0	2	0	13:18
J. MorrisseyD · #44	0	0	-2	4	0	4	0	24:25
N. PionkD · #4	0	0	-4	0	0	1	0	20:00
D. SambergD · #54	0	0	-2	2	0	2	0	20:22

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. ComrieG · #1	3	2	1	.333	20:00
C. HellebuyckG · #37	20	5	15	.750	40:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

WPG

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Oct 16

WPG5@

PHI2

Apr 11

PHI7@

WPG1today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WPG -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PHI+10549%

WPG-12556%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗

Line movement · 35 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

PHI beat WPG 7-1. S. Couturier led the way — 2 G · 1 A · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
PHI	3	2	2	7
WPG	1	0	0	1

Period scoring

PHI won 3 · WPG won 0

PHI

WPG

Play-by-play · 319 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·19:55
Trevor Zegras faceoff won against Vladislav Namestnikov
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·19:55
Goalie Stopped
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·19:52
Vladislav Namestnikov Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·19:35
Trevor Zegras faceoff won against Vladislav Namestnikov
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·19:35
Puck in Netting
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·19:33
Cole Koepke shot blocked by Emil Andrae
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·19:24
Sean Couturier Backhand High and Wide Right
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·19:17
Jonathan Toews Wrist Shot saved by Dan Vladar
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·19:04
Sean Couturier faceoff won against Jonathan Toews
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·19:04
Off-side
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·18:29
Tyson Foerster Snap Shot saved by Eric Comrie
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·18:25
Dylan DeMelo hit Owen Tippett
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·18:18
Takeaway by Tyson Foerster
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·17:39
Matvei Michkov Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·16:51
Cam York Slap Shot Short
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·16:34
Porter Martone Slap Shot Wide Left
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·16:17
Noah Cates faceoff won against Adam Lowry
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·16:17
Puck in Netting
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·16:15
Sean Couturier shot blocked by Haydn Fleury
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·15:22
Sean Couturier faceoff won against Adam Lowry
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·15:22
TV Timeout
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·15:22
Brad Lambert Tripping against Travis Konecny
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·15:22
Off-side
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·14:44
Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Nick Seeler
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·14:41
Giveaway by Nick Seeler
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·14:31
Garnet Hathaway hit Adam Lowry
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·14:20
Emil Andrae Slap Shot Wide Right
·
PHI 7·WPG 1
3rd·14:17
Takeaway by Trevor Zegras
PHI 7·WPG 1

Betting line

WPG -1.5·O/U 5.5·PHI +105/WPG -125

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

hiladelphia Flyers went into Winnipeg Jets and beat them, 7–1.

PHI +1.5 cashed (WPG lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
DIST MI293.099+
Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
SKATE MPH24.299
Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
SKATE MPH23.098
Denver BarkeyPHI · C
xGF%6397
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
DIST MI282.397

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Kyle Connor · WPG19:420.4244.4%59.4%19:42 TOI · 0.42 iXG · 44.4% CF · 59.4% xGF
Sean Couturier · PHI17:060.4135.3%31.1%17:06 TOI · 0.41 iXG · 35.3% CF · 31.1% xGF
Porter Martone · PHI15:360.3650.0%43.4%15:36 TOI · 0.36 iXG · 50.0% CF · 43.4% xGF
Cole Koepke · WPG13:480.3463.3%64.9%13:48 TOI · 0.34 iXG · 63.3% CF · 64.9% xGF
Alex Iafallo · WPG15:180.2937.5%44.2%15:18 TOI · 0.29 iXG · 37.5% CF · 44.2% xGF
Owen Tippett · PHI14:300.2939.4%35.6%14:30 TOI · 0.29 iXG · 39.4% CF · 35.6% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Dan Vladar · PHI27–1.964+1.9027–1 · .964 SV% · +1.90 GSAx
Eric Comrie · WPG1–2.333-1.501–2 · .333 SV% · -1.50 GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck · WPG15–5.750-3.4215–5 · .750 SV% · -3.42 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.9%

ensemble · WPG favored

Elo Static
53.5%
P(WPG win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
53.5%
P(WPG win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
53.5%
P(WPG win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.