NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1PHI

PHI

31-23-11

MIN

38-16-12

NHLThu, Mar 12FinalSeriesPHI wins series 2-0VegasMIN -225

PHI · top performer

Owen Tippett

RW · #74

1Points

—

SOG

MIN · top performer

Matt Boldy

LW · #12

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. BarkeyC · #52	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	12:13
A. BumpLW · #20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13:27
N. CatesLW · #27	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	15:10
S. CouturierC · #14	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	14:28
C. DvorakC · #22	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	19:27
N. GrebenkinRW · #29	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	12:50
C. GrundstromRW · #91	0	1	2	0	2	0	0	13:17
G. HathawayRW · #19	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	10:22
T. KonecnyRW · #11	0	0	0	3	1	0	2	25:15
M. MichkovRW · #39	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	15:56
O. TippettRW · #74	1	0	0	6	3	1	0	20:25
T. ZegrasC · #46	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	21:06

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. AndraeD · #36	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	13:22
J. DrysdaleD · #9	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	24:23
R. RistolainenD · #55	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	21:26
T. SanheimD · #6	0	1	0	1	2	2	0	24:05
N. SeelerD · #24	0	0	0	2	1	2	2	14:24
C. YorkD · #8	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	23:02

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. VladarG · #80	23	2	21	.913	64:33

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BoldyLW · #12	1	0	0	4	3	0	0	20:43
J. Eriksson EkC · #14	0	0	0	5	3	1	0	22:47
R. FabbriC · #21	0	0	-1	0	4	0	2	8:27
N. FolignoLW · #71	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	10:55
R. HartmanRW · #38	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	16:29
M. JohanssonLW · #90	0	0	-1	0	0	0	2	13:52
K. KaprizovLW · #97	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	24:52
M. McCarronC · #47	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	11:23
V. TarasenkoRW · #91	0	0	-2	1	2	0	0	12:43
Y. TreninC · #13	0	0	1	0	7	0	0	11:49
D. YurovRW · #22	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	12:45
M. ZuccarelloRW · #36	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	19:19

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BogosianD · #24	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	12:07
J. BrodinD · #25	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	20:02
B. FaberD · #7	0	1	0	2	1	1	0	27:14
Q. HughesD · #43	0	2	1	3	0	2	2	27:57
J. MiddletonD · #5	0	0	-1	1	2	2	0	18:05
J. SpurgeonD · #46	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	19:24

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. WallstedtG · #30	27	2	25	.926	64:52

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

PHI wins series 2-0

Oct 18

MIN1@

PHI2

Mar 13

PHI3@

MIN2today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PHI+18535%

MIN-22569%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 24 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

PHI beat MIN 3-2. O. Tippett led the way — 1 G · 6 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	SO	T
PHI	1	0	1	0	1	3
MIN	0	2	0	0	0	2

Period scoring

PHI won 3 · MIN won 1

PHI

MIN

Play-by-play · 315 plays

period

event

player

SO·0:00
Game End
PHI 1·MIN 0
SO·0:00
End of OT
PHI 1·MIN 0
SO·0:00
End of Shootout
PHI 1·MIN 0
SO·0:00
Travis Konecny Goal Snap Shot
PHI 1·MIN 0
SO·0:00
Matt Boldy Backhand saved by Dan Vladar
·
PHI 1·MIN 0
SO·0:00
Trevor Zegras Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
PHI 1·MIN 0
SO·0:00
Kirill Kaprizov Backhand Wide Right
·
PHI 1·MIN 0
SO·0:00
Matvei Michkov Backhand saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
PHI 1·MIN 0
SO·0:00
Mats Zuccarello Backhand Wide Right
·
PHI 1·MIN 0
SO·0:00
Start of Shootout
PHI 1·MIN 0
OT·5:00
End of OT
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·4:59
Matt Boldy Wrist Shot saved by Dan Vladar
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·4:35
Giveaway by Quinn Hughes
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·3:36
Ryan Hartman faceoff won against Noah Cates
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·3:36
Puck in Netting
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·3:34
Trevor Zegras shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·2:59
Trevor Zegras shot blocked by Jonas Brodin
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·2:30
Joel Eriksson Ek faceoff won against Sean Couturier
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·2:30
Goalie Stopped
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·2:27
Noah Cates Tip-In saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·2:12
Matvei Michkov Snap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·2:07
Travis Konecny Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·1:42
Travis Konecny Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·1:35
Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Michael McCarron
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·1:35
Quinn Hughes Holding against Trevor Zegras
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·1:31
Takeaway by Trevor Zegras
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·1:14
Owen Tippett shot blocked by Joel Eriksson Ek
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·1:04
Trevor Zegras Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·0:44
Trevor Zegras shot blocked by Jake Middleton
·
PHI 2·MIN 2
OT·0:00
Joel Eriksson Ek faceoff won against Trevor Zegras
·
PHI 2·MIN 2

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 5.5·PHI +185/MIN -225

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

hiladelphia Flyers went into Minnesota Wild and beat them, 3–2.

PHI +1.5 cashed (MIN lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

66.1%

ensemble · MIN favored

Elo Static
66.1%
P(MIN win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
66.1%
P(MIN win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
66.1%
P(MIN win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Philadelphia FlyersMinnesota Wild

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