NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2PHI

PHI

36-24-12

DET

39-26-8

NHLSat, Mar 28FinalSeriesPHI leads series 1-0VegasDET -130

Recap · NHL

hiladelphia Flyers went into Detroit Red Wings and beat them, 5–3.

PHI +1.5 cashed (DET lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

PHI · top performer

Owen Tippett

RW · #74

4Points

—

SOG

DET · top performer

Patrick Kane

RW · #88

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
D. BarkeyC · #52	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	14:44
A. BumpLW · #20	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	13:08
N. CatesLW · #27	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	12:59
S. CouturierC · #14	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	15:35
C. DvorakC · #22	0	0	-1	2	1	1	0	16:46
L. GlendeningC · #41	0	0	0	4	4	1	0	13:43
C. GrundstromRW · #91	0	0	-1	1	2	0	0	11:22
G. HathawayRW · #19	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	11:09
T. KonecnyRW · #11	0	2	-1	2	2	2	0	17:00
M. MichkovRW · #39	0	1	-1	1	1	0	2	12:58
O. TippettRW · #74	3	1	2	7	1	0	0	16:38
T. ZegrasC · #46	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	18:12

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
E. AndraeD · #36	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	14:14
J. DrysdaleD · #9	0	2	0	2	0	0	2	19:37
R. RistolainenD · #55	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	23:27
T. SanheimD · #6	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	26:00
N. SeelerD · #24	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	14:43
C. YorkD · #8	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	21:59

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
D. VladarG · #80	35	3	32	.914	59:46

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. AppletonC · #22	1	0	1	1	4	0	2	10:24
J.T. CompherLW · #37	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	16:33
A. CoppC · #18	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	21:07
A. DeBrincatRW · #93	1	0	0	8	0	1	0	22:36
E. FinnieC · #58	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	13:11
P. KaneRW · #88	0	2	0	3	1	0	0	20:40
M. KasperC · #92	0	0	-1	0	3	0	2	13:51
D. LarkinC · #71	0	0	0	3	0	2	2	18:42
C. MazurLW · #34	0	0	-1	1	2	0	0	10:32
D. PerronLW · #57	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	9:21
L. RaymondLW · #23	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	19:53
D. ShineRW · #65	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	10:04

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. Bernard-DockerD · #25	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	13:16
B. ChiarotD · #8	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	18:30
S. EdvinssonD · #77	0	0	-1	3	1	1	0	20:29
J. FaulkD · #72	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	18:29
A. JohanssonD · #20	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	13:52
M. SeiderD · #53	0	2	0	5	1	1	0	28:09

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. GibsonG · #36	21	4	17	.810	47:19
C. TalbotG · #39	4	0	4	1.000	9:28

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

PHI leads series 1-0

Mar 29

PHI5@

DET3today

Apr 2

DET4@

PHI2

Apr 9

PHI3@

DET6

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PHI+11048%

DET-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DET -1.5↗SpreadBet DET -1.5↗

Line movement · 27 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

PHI beat DET 5-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
PHI	1	2	2	5
DET	0	0	3	3

Period scoring

PHI won 2 · DET won 1

PHI

DET

Play-by-play · 320 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
PHI 5·DET 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PHI 5·DET 3
3rd·19:53
Giveaway by Moritz Seider
PHI 5·DET 3
3rd·19:30
Sean Couturier faceoff won against Andrew Copp
·
PHI 5·DET 3
3rd·19:30
Icing
PHI 5·DET 3
3rd·19:08
Sean Couturier faceoff won against Andrew Copp
·
PHI 5·DET 3
3rd·19:08
Icing
PHI 5·DET 3
3rd·18:58
Alex DeBrincat Wrist Shot saved by Dan Vladar
·
PHI 5·DET 3
3rd·18:53
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Christian Dvorak
·
PHI 5·DET 3
3rd·18:53
Icing
PHI 5·DET 3
3rd·18:25
Travis Konecny Wrist Shot Wide Right
PHI 5·DET 3
3rd·17:56
Christian Dvorak faceoff won against J.T. Compher
·
PHI 5·DET 3
3rd·17:56
Sean Couturier Goal (10) Wrist Shot, assists: Owen Tippett (21)
·
PHI 5·DET 3
3rd·17:43
Dylan Larkin Tip-In saved by Dan Vladar
·
PHI 4·DET 3
3rd·17:31
Alex DeBrincat Slap Shot saved by Dan Vladar
·
PHI 4·DET 3
3rd·17:26
Sean Couturier hit Lucas Raymond
·
PHI 4·DET 3
3rd·17:01
Patrick Kane shot blocked by Travis Sanheim
·
PHI 4·DET 3
3rd·16:27
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Luke Glendening
·
PHI 4·DET 3
3rd·16:27
Icing
PHI 4·DET 3
3rd·16:14
J.T. Compher faceoff won against Sean Couturier
·
PHI 4·DET 3
3rd·16:14
Lucas Raymond Goal (24) Snap Shot, assists: Moritz Seider (44), Patrick Kane (33)
· ·
PHI 4·DET 3
3rd·15:51
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Trevor Zegras
·
PHI 4·DET 2
3rd·15:48
Dylan Larkin Snap Shot saved by Dan Vladar
·
PHI 4·DET 2
3rd·15:36
Dylan Larkin Snap Shot saved by Dan Vladar
·
PHI 4·DET 2
3rd·15:24
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Trevor Zegras
·
PHI 4·DET 2
3rd·15:24
Icing
PHI 4·DET 2
3rd·15:10
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Trevor Zegras
·
PHI 4·DET 2
3rd·15:10
Alex DeBrincat Goal (37) Wrist Shot, assists: Patrick Kane (32), Moritz Seider (43)
· ·
PHI 4·DET 2
3rd·15:04
Moritz Seider shot blocked by Travis Konecny
·
PHI 4·DET 1
3rd·14:46
Alex DeBrincat Wrist Shot saved by Dan Vladar
·
PHI 4·DET 1

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

DET

Home

Shots

100.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

DET -1.5·O/U 5.5·PHI +110/DET -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Moritz SeiderDET · D
DIST MI299.899
Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
SKATE MPH23.098
Alex DeBrincatDET · RW
DIST MI252.196
Travis SanheimPHI · D
SKATE MPH22.794
Emmitt FinnieDET · C
BURSTS19394

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

56.4%

ensemble · DET favored

Elo Static
59.6%
P(DET win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
59.6%
P(DET win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
59.6%
P(DET win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-130

Close price

-130

Open no-vig

54.3%

Close no-vig

54.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss