NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+4NYR

NYR

25-30-8

PHI

29-23-11

NHLMon, Mar 9FinalSeriesNYR win series 3-1VegasPHI -142

Recap · NHL

ew York Rangers went into Philadelphia Flyers and beat them, 6–2.

NYR +1.5 cashed (PHI lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYR · top performer

Vincent Trocheck

C · #16

3Points

—

SOG

PHI · top performer

Sean Couturier

C · #14

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. BrodzinskiC · #22	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	13:22
J. ChmelarRW · #49	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	10:53
W. CuylleLW · #50	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	15:33
A. EdstromC · #84	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	13:30
T. KartyeLW · #24	1	1	2	2	4	1	0	15:25
N. LabaC · #42	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	15:00
A. LafreniereLW · #13	1	1	1	4	0	0	0	17:21
J. ParssinenC · #71	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	11:49
G. PerreaultRW · #94	1	1	1	2	1	1	0	15:36
C. ShearyLW · #43	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	15:10
V. TrocheckC · #16	0	3	0	3	2	1	0	17:18
M. ZibanejadC · #93	2	1	1	3	0	0	0	17:50

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
W. BorgenD · #17	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	16:18
A. FoxD · #23	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	22:19
V. GavrikovD · #44	0	2	1	1	0	1	2	19:54
M. RobertsonD · #29	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	19:27
B. SchneiderD · #4	0	0	1	1	2	2	2	23:18
U. VaakanainenD · #18	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	15:18

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
I. ShesterkinG · #31	34	2	32	.941	59:48

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
D. BarkeyC · #52	0	0	-3	1	2	1	0	13:33
A. BumpLW · #20	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	13:53
N. CatesLW · #27	0	0	-3	0	3	1	0	12:48
S. CouturierC · #14	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	13:43
C. DvorakC · #22	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	18:00
L. GlendeningC · #41	0	1	1	2	4	0	0	10:47
N. GrebenkinRW · #29	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	11:40
C. GrundstromRW · #91	0	0	0	1	8	1	0	13:19
T. KonecnyRW · #11	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	19:04
M. MichkovRW · #39	1	0	-3	2	0	0	0	16:13
O. TippettRW · #74	0	0	0	3	8	1	0	16:52
T. ZegrasC · #46	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	19:27

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. DrysdaleD · #9	0	1	-1	3	0	0	0	21:42
N. JuulsenD · #47	0	0	-1	3	2	1	0	16:26
R. RistolainenD · #55	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	17:14
T. SanheimD · #6	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	21:08
N. SeelerD · #24	0	0	-1	4	3	1	0	18:02
C. YorkD · #8	0	0	-1	2	0	1	2	21:29

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
S. ErssonG · #33	3	0	3	1.000	19:47
D. VladarG · #80	24	6	18	.750	40:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

NYR win series 3-1

Dec 20

PHI4@

NYR5

Jan 17

NYR6@

PHI3

Feb 27

PHI3@

NYR2

Mar 9

NYR6@

PHI2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PHI -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYR+12045%

PHI-14259%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYR beat PHI 6-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYR	3	3	0	6
PHI	0	1	1	2

Period scoring

NYR won 2 · PHI won 1

NYR

PHI

Play-by-play · 290 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·19:56
Travis Konecny Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·17:41
Giveaway by Adam Edstrom
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·17:37
Trevor Zegras hit Adam Edstrom
·
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·17:35
Owen Tippett hit Juuso Parssinen
·
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·17:30
Nick Seeler Snap Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·17:21
Trevor Zegras faceoff won against Juuso Parssinen
·
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·17:21
Puck in Netting
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·17:11
Takeaway by Jonny Brodzinski
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·16:37
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Christian Dvorak
·
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·16:37
Off-side
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·16:21
Takeaway by Denver Barkey
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·16:18
Noah Cates shot blocked by Will Borgen
·
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·15:53
Denver Barkey Snap Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·15:51
Noah Cates faceoff won against Noah Laba
·
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·15:51
Goalie Stopped
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·15:49
Jamie Drysdale Snap Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·15:46
Noah Cates faceoff won against Noah Laba
·
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·15:46
Puck Frozen - Goalie
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·15:28
Mika Zibanejad faceoff won against Noah Cates
·
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·15:28
Sean Couturier Goal (7) Snap Shot, assists: Nikita Grebenkin (10), Luke Glendening (5)
· ·
NYR 6·PHI 2
3rd·15:09
Will Borgen hit Luke Glendening
·
NYR 6·PHI 1
3rd·15:05
Cam York Snap Shot Wide Left
·
NYR 6·PHI 1
3rd·15:04
Giveaway by Adam Edstrom
NYR 6·PHI 1
3rd·13:00
Giveaway by Mika Zibanejad
NYR 6·PHI 1
3rd·12:53
Noah Cates hit Urho Vaakanainen
·
NYR 6·PHI 1
3rd·12:35
Noah Juulsen Slap Shot High and Wide Right
·
NYR 6·PHI 1
3rd·12:31
Noah Cates faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad
·
NYR 6·PHI 1
3rd·12:31
Goalie Stopped
NYR 6·PHI 1

Team stats

NYR

Away

Stat

PHI

Home

Shots

75.0

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

PHI -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYR +120/PHI -142

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Adam EdstromNYR · C
SKATE MPH23.898
Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
SKATE MPH23.098
Travis SanheimPHI · D
SKATE MPH22.794
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
DIST MI263.494
Cam YorkPHI · D
SKATE MPH22.693

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

57.3%

ensemble · PHI favored

Elo Static
61.0%
P(PHI win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
61.0%
P(PHI win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
61.0%
P(PHI win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-142

Close price

-142

Open no-vig

56.3%

Close no-vig

56.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss