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FINAL+1CBJ
CBJ

CBJ

38-22-11

32
PHI

PHI

34-24-12

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Mar 24FinalSeriesCBJ win series 3-0VegasCBJ -135

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets went into Philadelphia Flyers and beat them, 3–2.

PHI +1.5 cashed (CBJ won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CBJ · top performer

CBJ
Mason Marchment

Mason Marchment

LW · #17

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

PHI · top performer

PHI
Sean Couturier

Sean Couturier

C · #14

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
3
2
CBJ38-22-11PHI34-24-12
CBJ

CBJ

38-22-11

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
PHI

PHI

34-24-12

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

9

PIM

11

Season series

CBJ win series 3-0

Jan 29PHIPHI3@CBJCBJ5
Mar 14CBJCBJ2@PHIPHI1
Mar 24CBJCBJ3@PHIPHI2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJCBJ-13557%
PHIPHI+11447%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat PHI 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CBJ0213
PHI1012

Period scoring

CBJ won 1 · PHI won 1

0
1

1

2
0

2

1
1

3

CBJ
PHI

Play-by-play · 286 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CBJ 3·PHI 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CBJ 3·PHI 2

  3. 3rd·19:58

    Noah Cates Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 2

  4. 3rd·19:56

    Travis Konecny shot blocked by Erik Gudbranson

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 2

  5. 3rd·19:49

    Takeaway by Damon Severson

    CBJ 3·PHI 2

  6. 3rd·19:43

    Denver Barkey Deflected Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 2

  7. 3rd·19:31

    Giveaway by Rasmus Ristolainen

    CBJ 3·PHI 2

  8. 3rd·18:51

    Owen Tippett Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 2

  9. 3rd·18:33

    Trevor Zegras Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 2

  10. 3rd·18:02

    Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Boone Jenner

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 2

  11. 3rd·18:02

    Icing

    CBJ 3·PHI 2

  12. 3rd·17:56

    Boone Jenner faceoff won against Sean Couturier

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 2

  13. 3rd·17:56

    Jamie Drysdale Goal (8) Slap Shot, assists: Trevor Zegras (34), Christian Dvorak (28)

    · ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 2

  14. 3rd·17:50

    Owen Tippett Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  15. 3rd·17:05

    Sean Monahan faceoff won against Christian Dvorak

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  16. 3rd·17:05

    Icing

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  17. 3rd·17:00

    Zach Werenski Wrist Shot Wide Right

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  18. 3rd·16:59

    Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Sean Monahan

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  19. 3rd·16:59

    Goalie Stopped

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  20. 3rd·16:57

    Sean Couturier Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  21. 3rd·16:25

    Charlie Coyle Wrist Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  22. 3rd·16:20

    Takeaway by Cole Sillinger

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  23. 3rd·15:55

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Christian Dvorak

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  24. 3rd·15:55

    Puck in Netting

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  25. 3rd·15:39

    Takeaway by Mathieu Olivier

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  26. 3rd·14:41

    Ivan Provorov shot blocked by Cam York

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  27. 3rd·13:57

    Christian Dvorak Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  28. 3rd·13:29

    Takeaway by Sean Couturier

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  29. 3rd·13:02

    Sean Couturier faceoff won against Adam Fantilli

    ·

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

  30. 3rd·13:02

    TV Timeout

    CBJ 3·PHI 1

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

PHI

Home

19

Shots

26

0.0

PCT

0.0

9

PIM

11

24

Faceoffs W

26

10

Blocks

11

15

Giveaways

14

8

Takeaways

3

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·CBJ -135/PHI +114

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
    SKATE MPH23.098
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
    DIST MI289.198
  • Adam FantilliCBJ · C
    DIST MI256.696

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · PHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PHI win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PHI win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PHI win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+114

Close price

+114

Open no-vig

44.9%

Close no-vig

44.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR