NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3CAR

PHI

43-27-12

CAR

53-22-7

NHLSat, May 2FinalSeriesCAR wins series 3-1VegasCAR -250

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off Philadelphia Flyers, 3–0.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

PHI · top performer

Sean Couturier

C · #14

0Points

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

Logan Stankoven

C · #22

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. BarkeyC · #52	0	0	-1	1	2	0	0	15:13
A. BumpLW · #20	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	12:43
N. CatesLW · #27	0	0	-2	1	6	0	0	15:51
S. CouturierC · #14	0	0	0	5	3	0	0	15:42
C. DvorakC · #22	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	18:37
T. FoersterRW · #71	0	0	-2	1	3	1	2	16:29
L. GlendeningC · #41	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	13:37
G. HathawayRW · #19	0	0	0	2	3	1	2	9:31
T. KonecnyRW · #11	0	0	0	2	6	1	2	19:48
P. MartoneRW · #94	0	0	0	0	6	0	2	16:03
M. MichkovRW · #39	0	0	-3	0	0	1	0	12:08
T. ZegrasC · #46	0	0	0	0	3	0	14	16:31

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. DrysdaleD · #9	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	21:13
N. JuulsenD · #47	0	0	-1	0	3	0	0	10:42
R. RistolainenD · #55	0	0	-2	3	3	2	0	23:57
T. SanheimD · #6	0	0	-2	2	4	2	0	23:29
N. SeelerD · #24	0	0	-1	0	2	2	12	13:15
C. YorkD · #8	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	19:59

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. VladarG · #80	23	3	20	.870	55:12

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. AhoC · #20	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	19:59
J. BlakeRW · #53	1	1	2	2	3	0	12	14:36
W. CarrierLW · #28	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	8:51
N. EhlersLW · #27	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	18:17
T. HallLW · #71	0	1	2	0	2	0	4	11:43
M. JankowskiLW · #77	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	11:56
S. JarvisC · #24	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	19:24
J. MartinookLW · #48	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	13:48
E. RobinsonLW · #50	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	10:46
J. StaalC · #11	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	17:19
L. StankovenC · #22	2	0	3	5	0	0	0	13:17
A. SvechnikovRW · #37	0	1	1	1	2	0	2	17:52

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ChatfieldD · #5	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	20:30
S. GostisbehereD · #4	0	0	3	3	0	1	10	17:58
K. MillerD · #19	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	20:56
M. ReillyD · #6	0	2	3	0	0	0	2	11:28
J. SlavinD · #74	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	21:44
S. WalkerD · #26	0	0	0	1	3	4	0	19:36

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
F. AndersenG · #31	19	0	19	1.000	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Playoff series

CAR leads series 1-0

May 3

PHI0@

CAR3today

May 4

PHI2@

CAR3

May 8

CAR4@

PHI1

May 9

CAR3@

PHI2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PHI+20533%

CAR-25071%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 61 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

PHI

S. Couturier

Top skater

5 SOG

D. Vladar

Goaltender

20 SV · 3 GA · .870

CAR

L. Stankoven

Top skater

2 G · 5 SOG

F. Andersen

Goaltender

19 SV · 0 GA · 1.000

How it ended

CAR beat PHI 3-0. L. Stankoven led the way — 2 G · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
PHI	0	0	0	0
CAR	2	1	0	3

Period scoring

PHI won 0 · CAR won 2

PHI

CAR

Play-by-play · 358 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·19:33
Travis Konecny hit Sean Walker
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·19:30
Giveaway by Frederik Andersen
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·19:05
William Carrier hit Travis Sanheim
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·18:58
Travis Sanheim shot blocked by William Carrier
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·18:49
Garnet Hathaway Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·18:46
Alex Bump Tip-In saved by Frederik Andersen
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·18:44
Christian Dvorak Snap Shot Wide Right
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·18:43
Garnet Hathaway hit Jalen Chatfield
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·18:28
Eric Robinson shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·18:18
Travis Konecny Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·18:13
Eric Robinson Snap Shot Above Crossbar
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·18:07
Tyson Foerster hit Jalen Chatfield
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·17:50
Noah Cates shot blocked by K'Andre Miller
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·17:33
Sean Walker hit Noah Cates
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·17:26
Giveaway by Porter Martone
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·17:07
Denver Barkey Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·16:54
Jamie Drysdale Snap Shot Above Crossbar
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·16:50
Noah Cates faceoff won against Sebastian Aho
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·16:50
Puck in Crowd
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·16:35
Matvei Michkov shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·16:17
Rasmus Ristolainen Slap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·15:58
Sean Couturier faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·15:58
Puck Frozen - Goalie
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·15:20
Giveaway by Porter Martone
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·15:17
Giveaway by Jordan Martinook
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·15:12
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Noah Cates
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·15:12
Andrei Svechnikov Cross-checking against Porter Martone
·
PHI 0·CAR 3
3rd·15:05
Noah Cates faceoff won against Sebastian Aho
·
PHI 0·CAR 3

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 5.5·PHI +205/CAR -250

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LW
CORSI%6699+
Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D
CORSI%6599+
Sebastian AhoCAR · C
CORSI%6499
Jackson BlakeCAR · RW
CORSI%6499
Seth JarvisCAR · C
CORSI%6499

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Logan Stankoven · CAR13:240.5260.9%70.6%13:24 TOI · 0.52 iXG · 60.9% CF · 70.6% xGF
Jackson Blake · CAR14:420.2760.0%59.5%14:42 TOI · 0.27 iXG · 60.0% CF · 59.5% xGF
Sean Couturier · PHI16:120.2553.1%60.0%16:12 TOI · 0.25 iXG · 53.1% CF · 60.0% xGF
Seth Jarvis · CAR19:300.2157.1%70.9%19:30 TOI · 0.21 iXG · 57.1% CF · 70.9% xGF
Alex Bump · PHI12:420.2157.9%41.7%12:42 TOI · 0.21 iXG · 57.9% CF · 41.7% xGF
Denver Barkey · PHI15:300.2042.9%33.9%15:30 TOI · 0.20 iXG · 42.9% CF · 33.9% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Frederik Andersen · CAR19–01.000+1.0219–0 · 1.000 SV% · +1.02 GSAx
Dan Vladar · PHI20–3.870-1.8220–3 · .870 SV% · -1.82 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

61.6%

ensemble · CAR favored

Elo Static
66.6%
P(CAR win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
66.6%
P(CAR win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
66.6%
P(CAR win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+205

Close price

+205

Open no-vig

31.5%

Close no-vig

31.5%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss