HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
TRANSACTION · MLBNationals: Sent LHP DJ Herz on a rehab assignment to Fredericksburg (CRL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Kurtz (ATH): 3 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over PIT — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBMarlins: Optioned RHP William Kempner to Jacksonville (IL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAJ. Shepard (DAL): 15 PTS · 15 REB · 9 AST in a win over LV
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Ogunbowale (DAL): 22 PTS · 4 REB · 7 AST in a win over LV
TRANSACTION · MLBBraves: Selected the contract of CF Brewer Hicklen from Gwinnett (IL) (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NFLTitans: Signed C Andre James and DL Jalyn Holmes to contracts (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLJets: Signed F Walker Duehr to a two-year contract (Jun 15)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Signed C Tins Luc Koblar to a three-year contract (Jun 15)
TONIGHT · WNBATOR @ IND, 6/16 - 7:00 PM EDT — IND -8.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
TRANSACTION · MLBNationals: Sent LHP DJ Herz on a rehab assignment to Fredericksburg (CRL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Kurtz (ATH): 3 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over PIT — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBMarlins: Optioned RHP William Kempner to Jacksonville (IL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAJ. Shepard (DAL): 15 PTS · 15 REB · 9 AST in a win over LV
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Ogunbowale (DAL): 22 PTS · 4 REB · 7 AST in a win over LV
TRANSACTION · MLBBraves: Selected the contract of CF Brewer Hicklen from Gwinnett (IL) (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NFLTitans: Signed C Andre James and DL Jalyn Holmes to contracts (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLJets: Signed F Walker Duehr to a two-year contract (Jun 15)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Signed C Tins Luc Koblar to a three-year contract (Jun 15)
TONIGHT · WNBATOR @ IND, 6/16 - 7:00 PM EDT — IND -8.5
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New York Mets
NYM#13 · National League

New York Mets

32-40 (44.4%) · L1 · L10 5-5

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#21 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .465 · exp 33.5-38.5 vs act 32-40 · n=72 · luck -1.5W · thru 2026-06-15 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-11 → 2026-06-15 · Full ATS profile →

WWon by 1 vs STL, 5-4, 2026-06-11. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 2 vs ATL, 7-5, 2026-06-12. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 2 vs ATL, 1-3, 2026-06-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 7 vs ATL, 8-1, 2026-06-14. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 12 at CIN, 0-12, 2026-06-15. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Juan Soto55 G.944
  2. 2Carson Benge69 G.703
  3. 3Bo Bichette72 G.662
  4. 4Marcus Semien72 G.621
  5. 5Brett Baty68 G.615

Home runs

  1. 1Juan Soto55 G15
  2. 2Marcus Semien72 G9
  3. 3Bo Bichette72 G8
  4. 4Carson Benge69 G7
  5. 5Brett Baty68 G3

RBI

  1. 1Bo Bichette72 G40
  2. 2Juan Soto55 G34
  3. 3Carson Benge69 G26
  4. 4Brett Baty68 G26
  5. 5Marcus Semien72 G26

Batting average

  1. 1Juan Soto55 G.290
  2. 2Carson Benge69 G.256
  3. 3Bo Bichette72 G.245
  4. 4Brett Baty68 G.227
  5. 5Marcus Semien72 G.215

Stolen bases

  1. 1Carson Benge69 G10
  2. 2Juan Soto55 G6
  3. 3Marcus Semien72 G6
  4. 4Brett Baty68 G3
  5. 5Bo Bichette72 G1

ERA

  1. 1Freddy Peralta83.0 IP3.90
  2. 2Nolan McLean76.3 IP4.01

WHIP

  1. 1Nolan McLean76.3 IP1.14
  2. 2Freddy Peralta83.0 IP1.30

Strikeouts

  1. 1Nolan McLean76.3 IP88
  2. 2Freddy Peralta83.0 IP81

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.229vs .243Below avg

OBP

.295vs .319Below avg

SLG

.369vs .398Below avg

OPS

.664vs .717Below avg

HR

76

R / G

4.0

K / G

8.2

Pitching

ERA

3.96vs 4.18Above avg

FIP (approx)

3.85vs 4.18Above avg

WHIP

1.27vs 1.31Slight edge

K / 9

9.1vs 8.5Above avg

BB / 9

3.6vs 3.5Slight gap

BAA

.231

HR / 9

1.0

GP

72

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.40.81.11.51st · 0.92 for / 0.67 against · margin +0.25PEAK1st2nd · 0.58 for / 1.17 against · margin -0.582nd3rd · 0.25 for / 0.67 against · margin -0.423rd4th · 0.58 for / 0.42 against · margin +0.174th5th · 0.67 for / 0.75 against · margin -0.085th6th · 0.33 for / 0.08 against · margin +0.256th7th · 0.17 for / 0.25 against · margin -0.087th8th · 0.33 for / 0.50 against · margin -0.178th9th · 0.08 for / 0.17 against · margin -0.089thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

3.9 avg / 4.7 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

4.53

Blowout wins (4+)

8

Shutout games

3

Form last 30

15-15

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 4.5 runs

2457AVG 4.53031723453647891011RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-05-14 → 2026-06-15

Record

15-15

Win pct

50.0%

Avg margin

-0.0

Longest W

4

Longest L

5

Upset wins

13

2026-05-14 · vs DET · W 9-4 · model gave 53%DET2026-05-15 · vs NYY · L 2-5 · model gave 40%NYY2026-05-16 · vs NYY · W 6-3 · model gave 40%NYY2026-05-17 · vs NYY · W 7-6 · model gave 39%NYY2026-05-18 · @ WSH · W 16-7 · model gave 44%WSH2026-05-19 · @ WSH · L 6-9 · model gave 45%WSH2026-05-20 · @ WSH · L 4-8 · model gave 45%WSH2026-05-21 · @ WSH · W 2-1 · model gave 42%WSH2026-05-22 · @ MIA · L 1-2 · model gave 39%MIA2026-05-23 · @ MIA · L 1-4 · model gave 39%MIA2026-05-24 · @ MIA · L 0-4 · model gave 41%MIA2026-05-25 · vs CIN · L 2-7 · model gave 45%CIN2026-05-26 · vs CIN · L 2-7 · model gave 45%CIN2026-05-27 · vs CIN · W 4-2 · model gave 48%CIN2026-05-29 · vs MIA · W 9-7 · model gave 52%MIA2026-05-30 · vs MIA · W 6-1 · model gave 50%MIA2026-05-31 · vs MIA · W 10-1 · model gave 50%MIA2026-06-01 · @ SEA · L 2-3 · model gave 40%SEA2026-06-02 · @ SEA · L 3-8 · model gave 41%SEA2026-06-03 · @ SEA · W 7-1 · model gave 41%SEA2026-06-05 · @ SD · W 5-0 · model gave 44%SD2026-06-06 · @ SD · L 2-3 · model gave 43%SD2026-06-07 · @ SD · W 7-3 · model gave 42%SD2026-06-09 · vs STL · L 0-7 · model gave 47%STL2026-06-10 · vs STL · L 2-9 · model gave 48%STL2026-06-11 · vs STL · W 5-4 · model gave 49%STL2026-06-12 · vs ATL · W 7-5 · model gave 41%ATL2026-06-13 · vs ATL · L 1-3 · model gave 41%ATL2026-06-14 · vs ATL · W 8-1 · model gave 41%ATL2026-06-15 · @ CIN · L 0-12 · model gave 47%CIN

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

162 games · 2025-06-17 → 2026-06-15

Peak 1546 · Now 1481 · Trough 1441

Next 5 games

The road ahead

@CINpwr —
@CINpwr —
@PHIpwr 61
@PHIpwr 61
@PHIpwr 61

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

3 moves
  1. Jun 11

    Recalled RHP Daniel Duarte from Syracuse (IL). Optioned RHP Jonathan Pintaro to Syracuse. Sent RHP Kodai Senga on a rehab assignment to Binghamton (EL).

  2. Jun 10

    Optioned RHP Joey Gerber to Syracuse (IL). Recalled RHP Jonathan Pintaro from Syracuse.

  3. Jun 9

    Optioned C Hayden Senger to Syracuse (IL). Agreed to terms with C Jack Scanlon on a minor league contract.

Source · ESPN

Position players · 25

Hitters & fielders

A.J. Ewing

A.J. Ewing

CF · #9

A.J. Minter

A.J. Minter

RP · #33

Austin Warren

A. Warren

RP · #44

Bo Bichette

B. Bichette

3B · #19

Brett Baty

B. Baty

3B · #7

Brooks Raley

B. Raley

RP · #25

Carson Benge

C. Benge

RF · #3

Cionel Perez

C. Perez

RP · #52

David Peterson

D. Peterson

SP · #23

Devin Williams

D. Williams

RP · #38

Eric Wagaman

E. Wagaman

1B · #39

Francisco Alvarez

F. Alvarez

C · #4

Freddy Peralta

F. Peralta

SP · #51

Huascar Brazoban

H. Brazoban

RP · #43

Jared Young

J. Young

1B · #29

Juan Soto

J. Soto

LF · #22

Kodai Senga

K. Senga

SP · #34

Luis Torrens

L. Torrens

C · #13

Luke Weaver

L. Weaver

RP · #30

Marcus Semien

M. Semien

2B · #10

Mark Vientos

M. Vientos

1B · #27

MJ Melendez

M. Melendez

DH · #1

Nolan McLean

N. McLean

SP · #26

Sean Manaea

S. Manaea

RP · #59

Tobias Myers

T. Myers

RP · #32

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
Receipts →

Model picks on NYM

Below the 30-pick gate (n=24)