May 12, 26sim 97
62
21(H)10
EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
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FINAL+5NYM
DET
19-25
49
NYM
18-25
Citi Field · Queens, New York
34,642 attended
Line movement
200 snapshots
NYM spread
-1.5
open PK · -1.5
Total
O/U 7.5
open O/U 7.5
NYM no-vig %
60.8%
open 59.3% · +1.5
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = NYM favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
NYM wins
DET 4 · NYM 9 (by 5)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked NYM +3pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant