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DET#13 · American League
Detroit Tigers
31-44 (41.3%) · W1 · L10 5-5
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)
#13 of 30
Pyth(1.83) .487 · exp 36.5-38.5 vs act 31-44 · n=75 · luck -5.5W · thru 2026-06-19 · mlb_game_results
Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Last 5 form
2026-06-13 → 2026-06-19 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 2 at CLE, 1-3, 2026-06-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 6 at HOU, 9-3, 2026-06-15. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 2 at HOU, 2-4, 2026-06-16. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 2 at HOU, 2-4, 2026-06-17. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 1 vs CHW, 4-3, 2026-06-19. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Stat leaders
Who carries them
OPS
- 1Dillon Dingler68 G.861
- 2Riley Greene75 G.821
- 3Kevin McGonigle72 G.818
- 4Spencer Torkelson74 G.704
Home runs
- 1Dillon Dingler68 G16
- 2Spencer Torkelson74 G12
- 3Riley Greene75 G8
- 4Kevin McGonigle72 G6
RBI
- 1Dillon Dingler68 G51
- 2Riley Greene75 G33
- 3Spencer Torkelson74 G29
- 4Kevin McGonigle72 G26
Batting average
- 1Riley Greene75 G.292
- 2Kevin McGonigle72 G.281
- 3Dillon Dingler68 G.263
- 4Spencer Torkelson74 G.202
Stolen bases
- 1Kevin McGonigle72 G9
- 2Riley Greene75 G1
- 3Dillon Dingler68 G0
- 4Spencer Torkelson74 G0
ERA
- 1Framber Valdez83.7 IP4.09
WHIP
- 1Framber Valdez83.7 IP1.35
Strikeouts
- 1Framber Valdez83.7 IP67
2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool
Team rate stats · 2026
Hitting + pitching vs league
MLB Stats API
Hitting
AVG
.233vs .243Slight gap
OBP
.313vs .319Slight gap
SLG
.393vs .400Slight gap
OPS
.706vs .719Slight gap
HR
84
R / G
4.1
K / G
8.7
Pitching
ERA
3.89vs 4.19Above avg
FIP (approx)
3.95vs 4.20Above avg
WHIP
1.28vs 1.31Slight edge
K / 9
8.3vs 8.5Slight gap
BB / 9
3.3vs 3.5Above avg
BAA
.242
HR / 9
1.0
GP
75
Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.
Inning identity
When they score
Pattern by inning
12 games · for vs against
ForAgainst
4.8 avg / 3.4 allowed
Plate signature
The strike zone
Plate identity
From the catcher's view · last 30 games
Avg runs / game
3.97
Blowout wins (4+)
7
Shutout games
1
Form last 30
11-19
Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.
Run-scoring identity
How they score
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 4.0 runs
Form heatmap
The margin trail
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-05-16 → 2026-06-19
Record
11-19
Win pct
36.7%
Avg margin
+0.0
Longest W
4
Longest L
7
Upset wins
8
Favorite losses
5
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
The Elo timeline
169 games · 2025-06-20 → 2026-06-19
Peak 1558 · Now 1467 · Trough 1438
Next 5 games
The road ahead
vsCHWpwr —
vsCHWpwr —
vsNYYpwr 69
vsNYYpwr 69
vsNYYpwr 69
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 12
Activated CF James Outman. Reinstated RHP Kenley Jansen from the 15-day IL. Designated SS Zack Short for assignment. Optioned RHPs Brenan Hanifee and Beau Brieske to Toledo (IL). Selected the contract of RHP Jacob Waguespack from Toledo.
- Jun 11
Transferred SS Javier Báez to the 60-day IL. Claimed OF James Outman off waivers from Minnesota.
- Jun 10
Sent RHP Kenley Jansen on a rehab assignment to Toledo (IL). Acquired RHP Jacob Waguespack from Milwaukee for cash considerations or a player to be named later.
- Jun 9
Sent RHP Casey Mize on a rehab assignment to Lakeland (FSL).
Source · ESPN
Position players · 26
Hitters & fielders
C. Mize
SP · #12
C. Keith
3B · #33
D. Dingler
C · #13
D. Anderson
RP · #38
D. Sommers
RP · #51
E. De Jesus
RP · #37
F. Valdez
SP · #59
H. Lee
2B · #50
J. Waguespack
RP · #58
J. Jones
DH · #18
J. Rogers
C · #34
J. Outman
CF · #43
K. Montero
SP · #54
K. Jansen
RP · #74
K. Carpenter
RF · #30
K. McGonigle
SS · #7
K. Finnegan
RP · #67
M. Vierling
CF · #8
R. Greene
LF · #31
S. Torkelson
1B · #20
T. Skubal
SP · #29
T. Cruz
CF · #40
T. Melton
SP · #52
T. Holton
RP · #87
W. Vest
RP · #19
Z. McKinstry
2B · #39