Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Box Score — May 27, 2026

FINAL+4DET

LAA

21-35

DET

22-34

Comerica Park · Detroit, Michigan

27,692 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

DET spread

-1.5

open PK · -1.5

Total

O/U 7.5

open O/U 7.5

DET no-vig %

53.2%

open 53.2%

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = DET favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Logged before first pitch · graded in public

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

56.7%

ensemble · DET favored

Elo Static
54.5%
P(DET win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
55.2%
P(DET win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
57.4%
P(DET win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.24 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

92% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

+5.3pp

best edge · DET · DraftKings

LAA

no live price

DET

★ best

-112DraftKings

edge +5.3pp · implied 50.4%

Book	LAA	DET	Best edge
DraftKings	-108	-112★	+5.3

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

DET vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

122

projections · 94 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.4± 2.0high
Troy MeltonDET
5.7± 2.4low
Walbert UrenaLAA
5.1± 1.5high

Hits

Max ClarkDET
1.5± 1.7low
Eduardo ValenciaDET
1.3± 1.8low
Colt KeithDET
1.2± 1.0high

Total bases

Max ClarkDET
2.7± 3.5low
Eduardo ValenciaDET
2.6± 4.3low
Dillon DinglerDET
1.8± 1.9high

RBIs

Eduardo ValenciaDET
1.0± 2.2low
Gleyber TorresDET
0.9± 1.7high
Hao-Yu LeeDET
0.8± 1.1high

Earned runs

Grayson RodriguezLAA
3.5± 2.7low
Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.3± 3.3low
Framber ValdezDET
2.6± 2.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

DET

.695

OPS

.720

▶

.731

.313

OBP

.318

▶

.319

4.17

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.54

4.48

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.56

1.36

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.21

9.1

K / 9

◀

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

DET wins

LAA 0 · DET 4 (by 4)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked DET +4pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
DET	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	4

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.228	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. TroutCF	.232	2	0	0	0	0	2	1
V. Grissom2B	.226	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. SolerDH	.215	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
W. MecklerLF	.429	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. AdellRF	.242	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
O. Peraza2B	.271	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. Walton2B	.133	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
L. O'HoppeC	.202	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		28	0	2	0	0	3	9

Player

.228

.232

.226

.215

.429

.242

.271

.133

.202

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SorianoSP	5.0	7	3	3	4	4	105
B. SuterRP	3.0	3	1	0	0	2	40
Team	8.0	10	4	3	4	6	145

Player

J. SorianoSP

5.0

105

B. SuterRP

3.0

Team

8.0

145

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Keith3B	.296	3	1	2	0	0	0	1
K. McGonigleSS	.297	3	2	2	0	0	1	0
D. DinglerC	.235	3	0	2	1	0	1	0
R. GreeneLF	.305	4	0	1	1	0	0	2
Z. McKinstry2B	.168	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
S. Torkelson1B	.210	4	1	3	1	1	0	1
W. PerezRF	.163	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
G. Workman3B	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. Lee2B	.194	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. VierlingCF	.216	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. JonesDH	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		32	4	10	3	1	4	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. MizeSP	4.0	2	0	0	1	6	58
D. AndersonRP	3.0	0	0	0	0	3	35
K. FinneganRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	16
K. JansenRP	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	9
B. HanifeeRP	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	6
Team	9.0	2	0	0	3	9	124

Team

LAA

DET

—

3 sub-models, blended.

Where to bet this game.

DET vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Where to bet this game.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

DET vs LAA.

3 sub-models, blended.