MLBTop 2
LAA 0@BAL 0
-0.8pphigh
MLBBot 1
NYM 0@CLE 0
-0.9ppmedium
MLBTop 1
STL 0@NYY 0
-2.8ppmedium
MLBTop 1
WSH 0@PHI 0
-2.9ppmedium
MLBBot 1
ATH 1@CIN 0
-21.7ppmedium
TONIGHTGraded picks 3-1 so far (MLB 3-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 8.0 IP · 7 K in a win over WSH
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Povich (BAL): 6.0 IP · 7 K in a win over LAA
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Torrens (NYM): 3 H · 1 HR · 4 RBI in a win over CLE
TRANSACTION · MLBNationals: Reinstated RHP Brad Lord from the 15-day IL (Aug 5)
TRANSACTION · MLBPadres: Reinstated LHP Robbie Ray from the IL (Aug 5)
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Reinstated RHP Chris Devenski from the 60-day IL and LHP Evan Sisk from the 15-d…
MLBTop 2
LAA 0@BAL 0
-0.8pphigh
MLBBot 1
NYM 0@CLE 0
-0.9ppmedium
MLBTop 1
STL 0@NYY 0
-2.8ppmedium
MLBTop 1
WSH 0@PHI 0
-2.9ppmedium
MLBBot 1
ATH 1@CIN 0
-21.7ppmedium
TONIGHTGraded picks 3-1 so far (MLB 3-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 8.0 IP · 7 K in a win over WSH
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Povich (BAL): 6.0 IP · 7 K in a win over LAA
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Torrens (NYM): 3 H · 1 HR · 4 RBI in a win over CLE
TRANSACTION · MLBNationals: Reinstated RHP Brad Lord from the 15-day IL (Aug 5)
TRANSACTION · MLBPadres: Reinstated LHP Robbie Ray from the IL (Aug 5)
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Reinstated RHP Chris Devenski from the 60-day IL and LHP Evan Sisk from the 15-d…
HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
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THE ONE Analytics
Beta
MLB logoMLBHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersLeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
FINAL+4DET
LAA

LAA

21-35

0
4
DET

DET

22-34

Comerica Park · Detroit, Michigan
27,692 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

DET spread

-1.5

open PK · -1.5

Total

O/U 7.5

open O/U 7.5

DET no-vig %

53.2%

open 53.2%

+0.5-2.0DET SPREADO/U 8.0O/U 7.0TOTAL57.2%49.2%DET NO-VIG %MODEL 55.7%May 26, 6 PMMay 27, 1 AM

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = DET favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Logged before first pitch · graded in public

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

LAA

league avg

DET

DET

.695

OPS

.720

▶

.731

.313

OBP

.318

▶

.319

4.17

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.54

4.48

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.56

1.36

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.21

9.1

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

DET wins

LAA 0 · DET 4 (by 4)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked DET +4pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
LAA0000000000
DET110010104

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →
Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

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Team pages

Los Angeles AngelsatDetroit Tigers

Elsewhere in the MLB

  • Marlins1@Blue Jays2Final
  • Nationals2@Guardians3Final
  • Cardinals1@Brewers2Final
  • Mariners9@Athletics1Final
  • Diamondbacks3@Giants2Final
  • Phillies3@Padres0Final
  • Rays2@Orioles11Final
  • Cubs10@Pirates4Final
  • Braves0@Red Sox8Final
  • Reds2@Mets4Final
  • Twins2@White Sox15Final
  • Yankees7@Royals0Final
  • Astros4@Rangers3Final
  • Rockies1@Dodgers4Final

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

65%Last 7 · 64-34
63%Last 30 · 265-158
Receipts →

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

+5.3pp

best edge · DET · DraftKings

LAA

no live price

DET

★ best
-112DraftKings

edge +5.3pp · implied 50.4%

BookLAADETBest edge
DraftKings-108-112★+5.3

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

MLB·Wed, May 27·Final/SeriesLAA win series 2-1/VegasDET -112
Win-probability impactWPA · win prob added
  1. 1J. SorianoLAA−23.3pp
  2. 2C. KeithDET+17.7pp
  3. 3D. DinglerDET+11.5pp

LAA · top performer

LAA
Donovan Walton

Donovan Walton

2B

0.667OPS

3-1

AB-H

0

R

0

RBI

DET · top performer

DET
Spencer Torkelson

Spencer Torkelson

1B

2.250OPS

4-3

AB-H

1

R

1

RBI

Game flowLAA ↔ DET

Biggest swing: 9pp · Bottom 1st Inning

MLB · Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers · final

MLB · Box scoreSTATCAST

Final

Batters

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS
.2284000002
M. TroutCF
.2322000021
V. Grissom2B
.2263000011
J. SolerDH
.2154010002
W. MecklerLF
.4293000000
J. AdellRF
.2423000001
O. Peraza2B
.2713000001
D. Walton2B
.1333010001
L. O'HoppeC
.2023000000
Team28020039

Pitchers

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SorianoSP
5.073344105
B. SuterRP
3.03100240
Team8.0104346145

Batters

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Keith3B
.2963120001
K. McGonigleSS
.2973220010
D. DinglerC
.2353021010
R. GreeneLF
.3054011002
Z. McKinstry2B
.1683000011
S. Torkelson1B
.2104131101
W. PerezRF
.1633000010
G. Workman3B
.1672000000
H. Lee2B
.1944000000
- M. VierlingCF
.2161000000
- J. JonesDH
.1672000001
Team324103146

Pitchers

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. MizeSP
4.02001658
D. AndersonRP
3.00000335
K. FinneganRP
1.00000016
K. JansenRP
0.2000109
B. HanifeeRP
0.1000106
Team9.020039124

Pitcher arsenals · per-pitch detail

Statcast · via Baseball Savant

LAA

  • J. Soriano
    105 pitches·26% CSW
    • KC
      37%·84.8 mph·27% whiff
    • FS
      28%·92.5 mph·62% whiff
    • FF
      18%·97.4 mph·13% whiff
    • SI
      17%·96.0 mph·0% whiff
  • B. Suter
    40 pitches·28% CSW
    • CH
      30%·77.6 mph·11% whiff
    • FF
      30%·87.5 mph·0% whiff
    • SI
      25%·89.0 mph·0% whiff
    • SL
      15%·79.7 mph·0% whiff

DET

  • C. Mize
    58 pitches·38% CSW
    • FF
      28%·94.3 mph·60% whiff
    • SL
      24%·88.9 mph·43% whiff
    • FS
      22%·89.2 mph·14% whiff
    • SI
      16%·94.1 mph·50% whiff
    • SV
      10%·82.1 mph·60% whiff
  • D. Anderson
    35 pitches·34% CSW
    • FF
      49%·95.3 mph·9% whiff
    • CU
      26%·79.1 mph·50% whiff
    • CH
      23%·88.9 mph·25% whiff
    • SL
      3%·88.9 mph·— whiff
  • K. Finnegan
    16 pitches·13% CSW
    • FF
      56%·96.5 mph·14% whiff
    • FS
      38%·87.2 mph·33% whiff
    • SL
      6%·85.7 mph·— whiff
  • K. Jansen
    9 pitches·11% CSW
    • FC
      100%·91.7 mph·25% whiff
  • B. Hanifee
    6 pitches·17% CSW
    • SI
      67%·93.6 mph·0% whiff
    • SL
      33%·86.9 mph·— whiff

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

2

Hits

10

0

Runs

4

1

Errors

0

Team stats

LAA

Away

Stat

DET

Home

0

Runs

4

2

Hits

10

1

Errors

0

2

TB

16

0

HR

1

3

BB

4

9

K

6

9

LOB

13

Current series

LAA win series 2-1

May 26LAALAA10@DETDET6
May 27LAALAA0@DETDET4today
May 28LAALAA7@DETDET1

Season series

Series tied 1-1

May 26LAALAA10@DETDET6
May 27LAALAA0@DETDET4today
May 28LAALAA7@DETDET1
Jul 18DETDET2@LAALAA1
Jul 19DETDET7@LAALAA0
Jul 19DETDET2@LAALAA3

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LAA -1.5

Total

7.5

Defensive · -1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

LAALAA-10852%
DETDET-11253%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LAA -1.5↗SpreadBet LAA -1.5↗

Line movement · 200 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

+1.5 since open

Total

7.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DET beat LAA 4-0. S. Torkelson led the way — 3-for-4 · 1 HR · 2.250 OPS.

Win probability

DET vs LAA

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
DETBottom 1st Inning · 0-0
+9pp→ 63% WP

Keith · singled to center.

LAATop 2nd Inning · 0-1
+6pp→ 37% WP

Soler · singled to left.

DETBottom 2nd Inning · 0-2
+9pp→ 79% WP

Torkelson · homered to left (373 feet).

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
LAA0000000000
DET11001010—4

Period scoring

LAA won 0 · DET won 4

0
1

Inn 1

Dingler 1

0
1

Inn 2

Torkelson 1

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

0
1

Inn 5

Greene 1

0
0

Inn 6

0
1

Inn 7

Greene 1

0
0

Inn 8

0

Inn 9

LAA
DET

Play-by-play · 521 plays

period
event
player
  1. T9

    · ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  2. T9

    Soler grounded out to first.

    · ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

    +1pp

  3. T9

    Pitch 1 : Ball In Play

    · ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  4. T9

    Brenan Hanifee pitches to Jorge Soler

    · ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  5. T9

    · ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  6. T9

    Grissom walked, Trout to second.

    · ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

    −0.7pp

  7. T9

    Pitch 5 : Ball 4

    · ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  8. T9

    Pitch 4 : Ball 3

    · ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  9. T9

    Pitch 3 : Ball 2

    · ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  10. T9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Looking

    · ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  11. T9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    · ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  12. T9

    Brenan Hanifee pitches to Vaughn Grissom

    · ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  13. T9

    Hanifee relieved Jansen

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  14. T9

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  15. T9

    Trout walked.

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  16. T9

    Pitch 4 : Ball 4

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  17. T9

    Pitch 3 : Ball 3

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  18. T9

    Pitch 2 : Ball 2

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  19. T9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  20. T9

    Kenley Jansen pitches to Mike Trout

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  21. T9

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  22. T9

    Neto lined out to second.

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  23. T9

    Pitch 3 : Ball In Play

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  24. T9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Foul

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  25. T9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  26. T9

    Kenley Jansen pitches to Zach Neto

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  27. T9

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  28. T9

    O'Hoppe grounded out to first.

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

    +0.7pp

  29. T9

    Pitch 2 : Ball In Play

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

  30. T9

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Swinging

    ·

    LAA 0·DET 4

Betting line

LAA -1.5·O/U 7.5·LAA -108/DET -112

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · MLB

Detroit Tigers held off Los Angeles Angels, 4–0.

DET +1.5 cashed (LAA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page