Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — Jun 19, 2026

FINAL+5NYY

CIN

35-39

NYY

46-28

Yankee Stadium · Bronx, New York

42,420 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

NYY spread

-1.5

open -1.5

Total

O/U 8.5

open O/U 9.0 · -0.5

NYY no-vig %

70.4%

open 69.0% · +1.3

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = NYY favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

72.5%

ensemble · NYY favored

Elo Static
69.2%
P(NYY win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
72.9%
P(NYY win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
69.3%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.70 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

89% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

CIN

no live price

NYY

no live price

Book	CIN	NYY	Best edge
DraftKings	+233	-292	+0.2

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

NYY vs CIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 78 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chase BurnsCIN
7.1± 2.8low
Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.8± 3.2medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
6.2± 3.6low

Hits

Paul GoldschmidtNYY
1.3± 0.8high
Blake DunnCIN
1.2± 0.9high
Cody BellingerNYY
1.1± 1.2high

Total bases

Paul GoldschmidtNYY
2.4± 1.8high
Ben RiceNYY
2.0± 2.0high
JJ BledayCIN
1.9± 1.9high

RBIs

Sal StewartCIN
1.1± 2.1high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
0.9± 1.1high
Jose CaballeroNYY
0.8± 1.1high

Earned runs

Nick LodoloCIN
3.6± 2.5low
Chris PaddackCIN
3.1± 2.4low
Brady SingerCIN
2.8± 1.8low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CIN

league avg

NYY

.707

OPS

.719

▶

.772

.312

OBP

.319

▶

.332

4.28

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.17

4.63

Team ERA

4.19

▶

3.34

1.47

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.18

7.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

CIN 0 · NYY 5 (by 5)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked NYY +19pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
NYY	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. DunnRF	.277	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
J. BledayLF	.260	3	0	0	0	0	1	3
S. Stewart1B	.248	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. LoweDH	.255	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
S. SteerLF	.241	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
E. SuarezDH	.213	4	0	1	0	0	0	3
T. StephensonC	.210	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. McLain2B	.204	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
E. Arroyo2B	.190	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team		31	0	4	0	0	1	17

Player

.277

.260

.248

.255

.241

.213

.210

.204

.190

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. LowderSP	5.1	6	4	4	3	5	95
C. FergusonRP	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	21
Z. MaxwellRP	1.0	1	1	1	2	1	21
Team	8.0	8	5	5	5	6	137

Player

R. LowderSP

5.1

C. FergusonRP

1.2

Z. MaxwellRP

1.0

Team

8.0

137

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Rice1B	.294	4	1	2	3	1	0	0
J. DominguezDH	.216	4	0	2	0	0	0	1
C. BellingerLF	.272	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
P. Goldschmidt1B	.293	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.229	3	2	1	1	1	1	0
S. JonesRF	.235	2	1	0	0	0	2	1
A. VolpeSS	.265	3	1	2	1	0	1	1
R. McMahon3B	.212	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
J.C. EscarraC	.179	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		31	5	8	5	2	5	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. SchlittlerSP	6.0	4	0	0	0	13	96
J. BirdRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	21
B. HeadrickRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17
D. BednarRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	10
Team	9.0	4	0	0	1	17	144

Team

CIN

NYY

—

3 sub-models, blended.

Where to bet this game.

NYY vs CIN.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Where to bet this game.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYY vs CIN.

3 sub-models, blended.