Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Box Score — May 26, 2026

FINAL+4LAA

LAA

21-34

106

DET

21-34

Comerica Park · Detroit, Michigan

21,954 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

DET spread

-1.5

open PK · -1.5

Total

O/U 8.5

open O/U 8.5

DET no-vig %

55.1%

open 55.1%

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = DET favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

59.2%

ensemble · DET favored

Elo Static
56.4%
P(DET win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
60.0%
P(DET win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
59.3%
P(DET win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.55 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

90% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

+1.9pp

best edge · DET · DraftKings

LAA

no live price

DET

★ best

-137DraftKings

edge +1.9pp · implied 55.3%

Book	LAA	DET	Best edge
DraftKings	+114	-137★	+1.9

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

DET vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

122

projections · 96 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.4± 2.0high
Troy MeltonDET
5.7± 2.4low
Walbert UrenaLAA
5.1± 1.5high

Hits

Max ClarkDET
1.5± 1.7low
Eduardo ValenciaDET
1.3± 1.8low
Colt KeithDET
1.2± 1.0high

Total bases

Max ClarkDET
2.7± 3.5low
Eduardo ValenciaDET
2.6± 4.3low
Dillon DinglerDET
1.8± 1.9high

RBIs

Eduardo ValenciaDET
1.0± 2.2low
Gleyber TorresDET
0.9± 1.7high
Hao-Yu LeeDET
0.8± 1.1high

Earned runs

Grayson RodriguezLAA
3.5± 2.7low
Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.3± 3.3low
Framber ValdezDET
2.6± 2.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

DET

.695

OPS

.720

▶

.731

.313

OBP

.318

▶

.319

4.17

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.54

4.48

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.56

1.36

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.21

9.1

K / 9

◀

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

LAA 10 · DET 6 (by 4)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked DET +6pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	5	1	10
DET	0	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	6

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.233	4	2	3	1	0	1	0
M. TroutCF	.234	4	1	0	0	0	1	2
V. Grissom2B	.233	5	1	3	6	1	0	0
J. SolerDH	.214	5	0	1	0	0	0	1
W. MecklerLF	.545	4	0	2	0	0	0	0
J. AdellRF	.245	5	1	1	1	1	0	3
O. Peraza2B	.277	4	1	1	0	0	0	3
D. Walton2B	.083	5	1	1	0	0	0	2
L. O'HoppeC	.208	4	2	2	1	0	0	0
J. SiriCF	.273	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
Team		41	10	15	10	3	2	11

Player

.233

.234

.233

.214

.545

.245

.277

.083

.208

.273

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. KochanowiczSP	4.0	6	5	5	2	4	66
M. FarrisRP	1.2	2	1	1	3	3	43
J. FerminRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	15
C. SilsethRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15
K. YatesRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	16
Team	9.0	8	6	6	6	12	155

Player

4.0

1.2

1.1

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

155

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. McGonigleSS	.291	4	1	3	2	0	1	0
D. DinglerC	.227	3	0	0	0	0	2	2
R. GreeneLF	.306	3	0	0	0	0	2	2
C. Keith3B	.289	2	2	2	0	0	0	0
S. Torkelson1B	.198	4	0	0	0	0	0	4
Z. McKinstry2B	.173	2	0	0	2	0	0	1
G. Workman3B	.176	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. VierlingCF	.217	4	1	1	0	0	0	1
W. PerezRF	.167	3	2	1	1	1	1	0
J. JonesDH	.172	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
H. Lee2B	.206	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		32	6	8	6	1	6	12

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. MonteroSP	5.2	8	4	4	1	7	89
B. HanifeeRP	0.2	2	0	0	0	0	12
W. VestRP	1.1	4	5	5	1	1	34
T. HoltonRP	1.1	1	1	1	0	3	25
Team	9.0	15	10	10	2	11	160

Team

LAA

DET

3 sub-models, blended.

Where to bet this game.

DET vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Where to bet this game.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

DET vs LAA.

3 sub-models, blended.