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LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
TRANSACTION · MLBNationals: Sent LHP DJ Herz on a rehab assignment to Fredericksburg (CRL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Kurtz (ATH): 3 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over PIT — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBMarlins: Optioned RHP William Kempner to Jacksonville (IL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAJ. Shepard (DAL): 15 PTS · 15 REB · 9 AST in a win over LV
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Ogunbowale (DAL): 22 PTS · 4 REB · 7 AST in a win over LV
TRANSACTION · MLBBraves: Selected the contract of CF Brewer Hicklen from Gwinnett (IL) (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NFLTitans: Signed C Andre James and DL Jalyn Holmes to contracts (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLJets: Signed F Walker Duehr to a two-year contract (Jun 15)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Signed C Tins Luc Koblar to a three-year contract (Jun 15)
TONIGHT · WNBATOR @ IND, 6/16 - 7:00 PM EDT — IND -8.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
TRANSACTION · MLBNationals: Sent LHP DJ Herz on a rehab assignment to Fredericksburg (CRL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Kurtz (ATH): 3 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over PIT — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBMarlins: Optioned RHP William Kempner to Jacksonville (IL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAJ. Shepard (DAL): 15 PTS · 15 REB · 9 AST in a win over LV
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Ogunbowale (DAL): 22 PTS · 4 REB · 7 AST in a win over LV
TRANSACTION · MLBBraves: Selected the contract of CF Brewer Hicklen from Gwinnett (IL) (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NFLTitans: Signed C Andre James and DL Jalyn Holmes to contracts (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLJets: Signed F Walker Duehr to a two-year contract (Jun 15)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Signed C Tins Luc Koblar to a three-year contract (Jun 15)
TONIGHT · WNBATOR @ IND, 6/16 - 7:00 PM EDT — IND -8.5
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Phoenix Mercury
PHX#7 · Western Conference

Phoenix Mercury

4-11 (26.7%) · L3 · L10 2-8

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#11 of 15

Elo rating 1448.9 · as of 2026-06-16 · wnba_team_ratings

Rank within the full 15-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-03 → 2026-06-13

WWon by 4 at SEA, 72-68, 2026-06-03. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 6 at POR, 78-72, 2026-06-05. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 6 at GS, 81-87, 2026-06-09. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 15 at DAL, 70-85, 2026-06-11. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 9 vs LA, 102-111, 2026-06-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points per game

  1. 1Kahleah Copper14 G18.8
  2. 2Alyssa Thomas14 G14.5
  3. 3Monique Akoa Makani8 G11.1
  4. 4Jovana Nogic15 G10.3
  5. 5Natasha Mack15 G10.1

Rebounds per game

  1. 1Natasha Mack15 G8.3
  2. 2Alyssa Thomas14 G7.2
  3. 3DeWanna Bonner15 G4.6
  4. 4Kahleah Copper14 G3.4
  5. 5Monique Akoa Makani8 G2.5

Assists per game

  1. 1Alyssa Thomas14 G8.1
  2. 2Monique Akoa Makani8 G3.1
  3. 3Kahleah Copper14 G1.9
  4. 4Jovana Nogic15 G1.7
  5. 5Natasha Mack15 G1.6

Field goal %

  1. 1Natasha Mack15 G67.4%
  2. 2Alyssa Thomas14 G49.0%
  3. 3Monique Akoa Makani8 G46.4%
  4. 4Noemie Brochant15 G42.7%
  5. 5Jovana Nogic15 G41.1%

min 4 FGA per game

Three-point %

  1. 1Monique Akoa Makani8 G47.8%
  2. 2Jovana Nogic15 G40.0%
  3. 3Noemie Brochant15 G39.5%
  4. 4Kahleah Copper14 G25.0%
  5. 5DeWanna Bonner15 G20.6%

min 2 3PA per game

2026 season · ESPN season averages (wnba_player_season_stats, same table as the player pages) · min 8 GP all boards · FG% / 3P% additionally min 15.0 MPG + the stated attempt floors

Shooting profile · 2026

How the team scores

15 games sampled

Field goal %

42.0vs 44.3Slight gap

3-point %

31.5vs 33.0League avg

Free throw %

78.9vs 77.9League avg

Points / game

82.2vs 85.2Slight gap

Tick mark on each bar shows the league average for the 2026 season. Per-shot location data (the heatmap-style chart NBA player pages render) lives behind the WNBA Stats API and is on the ingest roadmap.

Quarter identity

When they score

Pattern by quarter

12 games · for vs against

5.811.517.323.0Q1 · 21.42 for / 21.50 against · margin -0.08Q1Q2 · 19.08 for / 22.83 against · margin -3.75Q2Q3 · 19.92 for / 22.58 against · margin -2.67Q3Q4 · 20.17 for / 19.75 against · margin +0.42PEAKQ4QUARTERS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

80.6 avg / 86.7 allowed

Shot profile

Where they shoot from

Attempt mix · share of FGA

bar = team · tick = league

Rim

1,314 att

league 35.9% of FGA

34.7% of FGA · makes 57.9% (lg 57.4%)

34.7%makes 57.9%lg 57.4%

Mid-range

895 att

league 26.4% of FGA

23.6% of FGA · makes 38.0% (lg 39.3%)

23.6%makes 38.0%lg 39.3%

Three

1,496 att

league 35.8% of FGA

39.5% of FGA · makes 33.5% (lg 33.7%)

39.5%makes 33.5%lg 33.7%

Other

87 att

league 1.9% of FGA

2.3% of FGA · makes 40.2% (lg 42.6%)

2.3%makes 40.2%lg 42.6%

Free throws (not in the mix): 975 FTA · 78.9% made (league 78.7%)

2025 season · wnba_shots (team-level play-by-play) · 3,792 team FGA vs 13-club league baseline (41,982 FGA, All-Star squads excluded) · free throws excluded from the mix, shown separately · every play-text type is bucketed (unmatched types land in Other, currently the hook family) · 3PT split derived from shot coordinates (hoop at (25,0) ft, 22'1.75" arc, corner lines 3 ft off the sidelines; integer-foot grid — shots within ~0.5 ft of the arc can fall either side)

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 81.7 points

2457AVG 81.760+365+370+775+680+785+90+95+100+105+POINTS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2025-09-04 → 2026-06-13

Record

10-20

Win pct

33.3%

Avg margin

-3.0

Longest W

3

Longest L

6

Upset wins

6

Favorite losses

8

2025-09-04 · @ WSH · W 75-69 · model gave 62%WSH2025-09-06 · @ CON · L 84-87 · model gave 69%CON2025-09-10 · vs LA · L 83-88 · model gave 71%LA2025-09-12 · @ DAL · L 76-97 · model gave 70%DAL2025-09-14 · vs NY · L 69-76 · model gave 60%NY2025-09-18 · @ NY · W 86-60 · model gave 37%NY2025-09-20 · vs NY · W 79-73 · model gave 61%NY2025-09-21 · @ MIN · L 69-82 · model gave 29%MIN2025-09-23 · @ MIN · W 89-83 · model gave 28%MIN2025-09-27 · vs MIN · W 84-76 · model gave 50%MIN2025-09-29 · vs MIN · W 86-81 · model gave 53%MIN2025-10-04 · @ LV · L 86-89 · model gave 34%LV2025-10-05 · @ LV · L 78-91 · model gave 33%LV2025-10-09 · vs LV · L 88-90 · model gave 50%LV2025-10-11 · vs LV · L 86-97 · model gave 48%LV2026-05-09 · @ LV · W 99-66 · model gave 27%LV2026-05-10 · @ GS · L 79-95 · model gave 46%GS2026-05-12 · vs MIN · L 84-88 · model gave 51%MIN2026-05-15 · vs CHI · W 91-83 · model gave 77%CHI2026-05-19 · vs TOR · L 90-98 · model gave 69%TOR2026-05-21 · vs LA · L 88-97 · model gave 57%LA2026-05-24 · @ ATL · L 80-82 · model gave 28%ATL2026-05-27 · @ NY · L 74-84 · model gave 36%NY2026-05-29 · @ NY · L 68-75 · model gave 35%NY2026-06-01 · vs MIN · L 77-111 · model gave 37%MIN2026-06-03 · @ SEA · W 72-68 · model gave 48%SEA2026-06-05 · @ POR · W 78-72 · model gave 36%POR2026-06-09 · @ GS · L 81-87 · model gave 24%GS2026-06-11 · @ DAL · L 70-85 · model gave 35%DAL2026-06-13 · vs LA · L 102-111 · model gave 47%LA

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

58 games · 2025-06-18 → 2026-06-13

Peak 1585 · Now 1449 · Trough 1449

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

5 moves
  1. Jun 4

    Released G Shay Ciezki. Signed G Kiani Williams to a player development contract.

  2. Jun 1

    Signed G Lexi Held to a rest-of-season contract.

  3. May 16

    Waived F Anneli Maley.

  4. May 12

    Activated F Valeriane Ayayi.

  5. May 11

    Waived F Peyton Williams.

Source · ESPN

Roster · 14 players

The active roster

Guards

PG · SG

7 players

Kahleah Copper

K. Copper

G · #2

Monique Akoa Makani

M. Akoa Makani

G · #8

Lexi Held

L. Held

G · #12

Q

Q. Carter

G · #20

Kiana Williams

K. Williams

G · #23

J

J. Nogic

G · #29

Sami Whitcomb

S. Whitcomb

G · #33

Forwards

SF · PF

6 players

Noemie Brochant

N. Brochant

F · #1

Natasha Mack

N. Mack

F · #4

V

V. Ayayi

F · #11

DeWanna Bonner

D. Bonner

F · #24

Alyssa Thomas

A. Thomas

F · #25

Marta Suarez

M. Suarez

F · #77

Centers

1 player

Kyara Linskens

K. Linskens

C · #31

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
Receipts →

Model picks on PHX

Below the 30-pick gate (n=1)