HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBBot 3
PIT 3@CIN 3
-3.1pphigh
MLBMid 1
STL 0@TOR 0
-2.1ppmedium
MLBTop 1
ARI 0@CLE 0
-0.3ppmedium
MLBMid 1
MIA 0@NYM 0
-2.5ppmedium
MLBMid 1
CHW 1@TB 0
-23.9ppmedium
MLBTop 1
PHI 1@BAL 0
-18.9ppmedium
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-1 so far (MLB 0-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Recalled RHP Antwone Kelly from Indianapolis (IL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Recalled RHP Andrew Painter from Lehigh Valley (IL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBRockies: Reinstated CF Brenton Doyle from the 10-day IL (Jul 31)
MLBBot 3
PIT 3@CIN 3
-3.1pphigh
MLBMid 1
STL 0@TOR 0
-2.1ppmedium
MLBTop 1
ARI 0@CLE 0
-0.3ppmedium
MLBMid 1
MIA 0@NYM 0
-2.5ppmedium
MLBMid 1
CHW 1@TB 0
-23.9ppmedium
MLBTop 1
PHI 1@BAL 0
-18.9ppmedium
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-1 so far (MLB 0-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Recalled RHP Antwone Kelly from Indianapolis (IL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Recalled RHP Andrew Painter from Lehigh Valley (IL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBRockies: Reinstated CF Brenton Doyle from the 10-day IL (Jul 31)
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Phoenix Mercury
PHX#6 · Western Conference

Phoenix Mercury

11-18 (37.9%) · W3 · L10 5-5

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#10 of 15

Elo rating 1462.1 · as of 2026-07-31 · wnba_team_ratings

Rank within the full 15-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-07-13 → 2026-07-29

LLost by 4 at MIN, 100-104, 2026-07-13. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 13 vs CON, 83-96, 2026-07-17. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 9 vs CON, 72-63, 2026-07-19. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 4 at LA, 86-82, 2026-07-22. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 2 vs GS, 91-89, 2026-07-29. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points per game

  1. 1Kahleah Copper28 G20.7
  2. 2Alyssa Thomas27 G14.8
  3. 3Jovana Nogic16 G10.4
  4. 4DeWanna Bonner29 G9.7
  5. 5Monique Akoa Makani18 G9.7

Rebounds per game

  1. 1Natasha Mack21 G7.6
  2. 2Alyssa Thomas27 G7.1
  3. 3DeWanna Bonner29 G5.7
  4. 4Kahleah Copper28 G3.8
  5. 5Valeriane Ayayi23 G3.1

Assists per game

  1. 1Alyssa Thomas27 G8.3
  2. 2Monique Akoa Makani18 G2.5
  3. 3Kahleah Copper28 G1.9
  4. 4Noemie Brochant28 G1.8
  5. 5Jovana Nogic16 G1.6

Field goal %

  1. 1Natasha Mack21 G61.1%
  2. 2Alyssa Thomas27 G51.9%
  3. 3Noemie Brochant28 G44.3%
  4. 4Monique Akoa Makani18 G43.8%
  5. 5Kahleah Copper28 G43.5%

min 4 FGA per game

Three-point %

  1. 1Monique Akoa Makani18 G43.6%
  2. 2Jovana Nogic16 G42.1%
  3. 3Noemie Brochant28 G39.1%
  4. 4Valeriane Ayayi23 G30.0%
  5. 5Kahleah Copper28 G28.7%

min 2 3PA per game

2026 season · ESPN season averages (wnba_player_season_stats, same table as the player pages) · min 8 GP all boards · FG% / 3P% additionally min 15.0 MPG + the stated attempt floors

Quarter identity

When they score

Pattern by quarter

12 games · for vs against

6.012.018.024.0Q1 · 21.08 for / 21.58 against · margin -0.50Q1Q2 · 20.83 for / 23.50 against · margin -2.67Q2Q3 · 18.75 for / 21.67 against · margin -2.92Q3Q4 · 23.67 for / 20.83 against · margin +2.83PEAKQ4QUARTERS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

84.3 avg / 87.6 allowed

Shot profile

Where they shoot from

Attempt mix · share of FGA

bar = team · tick = league

Rim

1,314 att

league 35.9% of FGA

34.7% of FGA · makes 57.9% (lg 57.4%)

34.7%makes 57.9%lg 57.4%

Mid-range

895 att

league 26.4% of FGA

23.6% of FGA · makes 38.0% (lg 39.3%)

23.6%makes 38.0%lg 39.3%

Three

1,496 att

league 35.8% of FGA

39.5% of FGA · makes 33.5% (lg 33.7%)

39.5%makes 33.5%lg 33.7%

Other

87 att

league 1.9% of FGA

2.3% of FGA · makes 40.2% (lg 42.6%)

2.3%makes 40.2%lg 42.6%

Free throws (not in the mix): 975 FTA · 78.9% made (league 78.7%)

2025 season · wnba_shots (team-level play-by-play) · 3,792 team FGA vs 13-club league baseline (41,982 FGA, All-Star squads excluded) · free throws excluded from the mix, shown separately · every play-text type is bucketed (unmatched types land in Other, currently the hook family) · 3PT split derived from shot coordinates (hoop at (25,0) ft, 22'1.75" arc, corner lines 3 ft off the sidelines; integer-foot grid — shots within ~0.5 ft of the arc can fall either side)

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 83.3 points

1345AVG 83.360+265+470+575+480+585+590+95+2100+105+110+POINTS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2025-10-11 → 2026-07-29

Record

11-19

Win pct

36.7%

Avg margin

-3.6

Longest W

3

Longest L

6

Upset wins

7

Favorite losses

5

2025-10-11 · vs LV · L 86-97 · model gave 48%LV2026-05-09 · @ LV · W 99-66 · model gave 27%LV2026-05-10 · @ GS · L 79-95 · model gave 46%GS2026-05-12 · vs MIN · L 84-88 · model gave 51%MIN2026-05-15 · vs CHI · W 91-83 · model gave 77%CHI2026-05-19 · vs TOR · L 90-98 · model gave 69%TOR2026-05-21 · vs LA · L 88-97 · model gave 57%LA2026-05-24 · @ ATL · L 80-82 · model gave 28%ATL2026-05-27 · @ NY · L 74-84 · model gave 36%NY2026-05-29 · @ NY · L 68-75 · model gave 35%NY2026-06-01 · vs MIN · L 77-111 · model gave 37%MIN2026-06-03 · @ SEA · W 72-68 · model gave 48%SEA2026-06-05 · @ POR · W 78-72 · model gave 36%POR2026-06-09 · @ GS · L 81-87 · model gave 24%GS2026-06-11 · @ DAL · L 70-85 · model gave 35%DAL2026-06-13 · vs LA · L 102-111 · model gave 49%LA2026-06-17 · vs LV · L 76-86 · model gave 30%LV2026-06-20 · vs SEA · W 93-73 · model gave 72%SEA2026-06-22 · @ IND · L 77-86 · model gave 32%IND2026-06-24 · @ IND · W 111-109 · model gave 32%IND2026-06-27 · @ TOR · W 89-80 · model gave 41%TOR2026-07-02 · vs SEA · W 90-67 · model gave 73%SEA2026-07-07 · vs CHI · L 66-77 · model gave 74%CHI2026-07-09 · vs IND · L 89-92 · model gave 44%IND2026-07-11 · @ LV · L 58-106 · model gave 19%LV2026-07-13 · @ MIN · L 100-104 · model gave 13%MIN2026-07-17 · vs CON · L 83-96 · model gave 76%CON2026-07-19 · vs CON · W 72-63 · model gave 77%CON2026-07-22 · @ LA · W 86-82 · model gave 38%LA2026-07-29 · vs GS · W 91-89 · model gave 40%GS

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

58 games · 2025-08-01 → 2026-07-29

Peak 1585 · Now 1462 · Trough 1437

Franchise spine

Every season on file

Scoring margin is points scored minus points allowed, per game — zero is exactly league average. The pill on each row is where that margin finished among the league's clubs that season, so a +5 in 2004 and a +5 in 2025 are not treated as the same thing.

Widest margin on file

+9.4per game

2014 · Phoenix Mercury

29–5 on file · 34 G · 83.5 for · 74.1 against1st/12

2 seasons apart

Worst margin on file

−12.2per game

2012 · Phoenix Mercury

7–27 on file · 34 G · 74.5 for · 86.7 against12th/12

Per-game scoring margin · by season

−15 ← 0 = league average → +15 · pill = rank that season

SeasonGW–L on fileMargin vs league averagePer GRank

2025

27–17 on file · 44 G

4427–17
+2.7
+2.76th/132025 Phoenix Mercury: 27–17 on file over 44 games, +2.7 points per game, 6th of 13 in the league that season.

2024

19–21 on file · 40 G

4019–21
−3.3
−3.39th/122024 Phoenix Mercury: 19–21 on file over 40 games, −3.3 points per game, 9th of 12 in the league that season.

2023

9–31 on file · 40 G

409–31
−8.3
−8.312th/122023 Phoenix Mercury: 9–31 on file over 40 games, −8.3 points per game, 12th of 12 in the league that season.

2022

15–21 on file · 36 G

3615–21
−3.0
−3.09th/122022 Phoenix Mercury: 15–21 on file over 36 games, −3.0 points per game, 9th of 12 in the league that season.

2021

19–13 on file · 32 G

3219–13
+2.6
+2.65th/122021 Phoenix Mercury: 19–13 on file over 32 games, +2.6 points per game, 5th of 12 in the league that season.

2020

13–9 on file · 22 G

2213–9
+2.0
+2.06th/122020 Phoenix Mercury: 13–9 on file over 22 games, +2.0 points per game, 6th of 12 in the league that season.

2019

15–19 on file · 34 G

3415–19
−1.1
−1.18th/122019 Phoenix Mercury: 15–19 on file over 34 games, −1.1 points per game, 8th of 12 in the league that season.

2018

20–14 on file · 34 G

3420–14
+2.5
+2.54th/122018 Phoenix Mercury: 20–14 on file over 34 games, +2.5 points per game, 4th of 12 in the league that season.

2017

18–16 on file · 34 G

3418–16
0.0
0.06th/122017 Phoenix Mercury: 18–16 on file over 34 games, 0.0 points per game, 6th of 12 in the league that season.

2016

16–18 on file · 34 G

3416–18
+1.3
+1.33rd/122016 Phoenix Mercury: 16–18 on file over 34 games, +1.3 points per game, 3rd of 12 in the league that season.

2015

20–14 on file · 34 G

3420–14
+2.9
+2.94th/122015 Phoenix Mercury: 20–14 on file over 34 games, +2.9 points per game, 4th of 12 in the league that season.

★2014

29–5 on file · 34 G

3429–5
+9.4
+9.41st/122014 Phoenix Mercury: 29–5 on file over 34 games, +9.4 points per game, 1st of 12 in the league that season.

2013

19–15 on file · 34 G

3419–15
−0.6
−0.67th/122013 Phoenix Mercury: 19–15 on file over 34 games, −0.6 points per game, 7th of 12 in the league that season.

★2012

7–27 on file · 34 G

347–27
−12.2
−12.212th/122012 Phoenix Mercury: 7–27 on file over 34 games, −12.2 points per game, 12th of 12 in the league that season.

2011

19–15 on file · 34 G

3419–15
+3.0
+3.04th/122011 Phoenix Mercury: 19–15 on file over 34 games, +3.0 points per game, 4th of 12 in the league that season.

2010

15–19 on file · 34 G

3415–19
+0.1
+0.17th/122010 Phoenix Mercury: 15–19 on file over 34 games, +0.1 points per game, 7th of 12 in the league that season.

2009

23–11 on file · 34 G

3423–11
+3.7
+3.71st/132009 Phoenix Mercury: 23–11 on file over 34 games, +3.7 points per game, 1st of 13 in the league that season.

2008

16–18 on file · 34 G

3416–18
0.0
0.09th/142008 Phoenix Mercury: 16–18 on file over 34 games, 0.0 points per game, 9th of 14 in the league that season.

2007

23–11 on file · 34 G

3423–11
+3.6
+3.62nd/132007 Phoenix Mercury: 23–11 on file over 34 games, +3.6 points per game, 2nd of 13 in the league that season.

2006

18–16 on file · 34 G

3418–16
+2.4
+2.47th/142006 Phoenix Mercury: 18–16 on file over 34 games, +2.4 points per game, 7th of 14 in the league that season.

2005

16–17 on file · 33 G

3316–17
+0.8
+0.86th/132005 Phoenix Mercury: 16–17 on file over 33 games, +0.8 points per game, 6th of 13 in the league that season.

2004

15–16 on file · 31 G

3115–16
+1.7
+1.73rd/132004 Phoenix Mercury: 15–16 on file over 31 games, +1.7 points per game, 3rd of 13 in the league that season.

†2003

6–19 on file · 25 G

256–19
−3.7
−3.711th/142003 Phoenix Mercury: 6–19 on file over 25 games, −3.7 points per game, 11th of 14 in the league that season.

† fewer games on file than the rest of the league that season.

wnba_team_box (ESPN) · seasons 2003–2025, 779 team-games for this franchise across 1 name · regular season only (season_type 2) · W–L is the record ON FILE, not the official record — it counts exactly the games in this feed · † 2003 — fewer games on file than the rest of the league that season · 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006 are short league-wide (club totals range 21–30 in 2003), so those records cover the games in the feed, not the full schedule · rank is among the 12–14 clubs with 10+ games that season; All-Star squads excluded · last game Sep 11, 2025, ingested Jul 19, 2026

Next 5 games

The road ahead

vsNYpwr 46
@CHIpwr 46
@ATLpwr 74
@CONpwr —

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

5 moves
  1. Jun 4

    Released G Shay Ciezki. Signed G Kiani Williams to a player development contract.

  2. Jun 1

    Signed G Lexi Held to a rest-of-season contract.

  3. May 16

    Waived F Anneli Maley.

  4. May 12

    Activated F Valeriane Ayayi.

  5. May 11

    Waived F Peyton Williams.

Source · ESPN

Roster · 14 players

The active roster

Guards

PG · SG

7 players

Kahleah Copper

K. Copper

G · #2

S

S. Ciezki

G · #5

Monique Akoa Makani

M. Akoa Makani

G · #8

Lexi Held

L. Held

G · #10

K

K. Dunn

G · #12

J

J. Nogic

G · #29

Sami Whitcomb

S. Whitcomb

G · #33

Forwards

SF · PF

6 players

Noemie Brochant

N. Brochant

F · #1

Natasha Mack

N. Mack

F · #4

V

V. Ayayi

F · #11

DeWanna Bonner

D. Bonner

F · #24

Alyssa Thomas

A. Thomas

F · #25

Marta Suarez

M. Suarez

F · #77

Centers

1 player

Kyara Linskens

K. Linskens

C · #31

Home›WNBA›Phoenix Mercury (PHX)

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Model picks on PHX

Below the 30-pick gate (n=3)