
17-10 (63.0%) · W4 · L10 5-5
Model verdict
The verdict · Elo rating
#4 of 15
Elo rating 1600.6 · as of 2026-07-31 · wnba_team_ratings
Rank within the full 15-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Last 5 form
2026-07-11 → 2026-07-29
latest-line grading · capture began 2026-05-01
Stat leaders
Points per game
Rebounds per game
Assists per game
Field goal %
min 4 FGA per game
Three-point %
min 2 3PA per game
2026 season · ESPN season averages (wnba_player_season_stats, same table as the player pages) · min 8 GP all boards · FG% / 3P% additionally min 15.0 MPG + the stated attempt floors
Quarter identity
Pattern by quarter
12 games · for vs against
87.7 avg / 87.7 allowed
Shot profile
Attempt mix · share of FGA
bar = team · tick = league
Rim
1,230 att
38.5% of FGA · makes 57.2% (lg 57.4%)
Mid-range
571 att
17.9% of FGA · makes 39.6% (lg 39.3%)
Three
1,313 att
41.1% of FGA · makes 33.5% (lg 33.7%)
Other
80 att
2.5% of FGA · makes 52.5% (lg 42.6%)
Free throws (not in the mix): 863 FTA · 78.1% made (league 78.7%)
2025 season · wnba_shots (team-level play-by-play) · 3,194 team FGA vs 13-club league baseline (41,982 FGA, All-Star squads excluded) · free throws excluded from the mix, shown separately · every play-text type is bucketed (unmatched types land in Other, currently the hook family) · 3PT split derived from shot coordinates (hoop at (25,0) ft, 22'1.75" arc, corner lines 3 ft off the sidelines; integer-foot grid — shots within ~0.5 ft of the arc can fall either side)
Scoring identity
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 87.7 points
Form heatmap
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2025-09-14 → 2026-07-29
Record
18-12
Win pct
60.0%
Avg margin
+3.3
Longest W
4
Longest L
5
Upset wins
1
Favorite losses
8
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
47 games · 2025-08-01 → 2026-07-29
Peak 1640 · Now 1601 · Trough 1544
Franchise spine
Scoring margin is points scored minus points allowed, per game — zero is exactly league average. The pill on each row is where that margin finished among the league's clubs that season, so a +5 in 2004 and a +5 in 2025 are not treated as the same thing.
Widest margin on file
+7.6per game
2025 · Atlanta Dream
30–14 on file · 44 G · 84.4 for · 76.8 against2nd/13
Worst margin on file
−10.1per game
2008 · Atlanta Dream
4–29 on file · 33 G · 74.5 for · 84.6 against14th/14
Per-game scoring margin · by season
−15 ← 0 = league average → +15 · pill = rank that season
★2025
30–14 on file · 44 G
2024
15–25 on file · 40 G
2023
19–21 on file · 40 G
2022
14–22 on file · 36 G
2021
8–24 on file · 32 G
2020
7–15 on file · 22 G
2019
8–26 on file · 34 G
2018
23–11 on file · 34 G
2017
12–22 on file · 34 G
2016
17–17 on file · 34 G
2015
15–19 on file · 34 G
2014
19–15 on file · 34 G
2013
17–17 on file · 34 G
2012
19–15 on file · 34 G
2011
20–14 on file · 34 G
2010
19–15 on file · 34 G
2009
18–16 on file · 34 G
★2008
4–29 on file · 33 G
† fewer games on file than the rest of the league that season.
wnba_team_box (ESPN) · seasons 2008–2025, 621 team-games for this franchise across 1 name · regular season only (season_type 2) · W–L is the record ON FILE, not the official record — it counts exactly the games in this feed · † 2008 — fewer games on file than the rest of the league that season · rank is among the 12–14 clubs with 10+ games that season; All-Star squads excluded · last game Sep 10, 2025, ingested Jul 19, 2026
Next 5 games
Recent transactions
Signed F Bella Fontleroy, G Indya Nivar, C Madina Okot and F/C Sacha Washington to rookie scale contracts. Signed F Stephanie Jones and G Laila Phelia to training camp contracts.
Re-signed Fs Naz Hillmon and Brionna Jones and Gs Ryne Howard, Allisha Gray and Jordin Canada.
Source · ESPN
Roster · 14 players
Guards
PG · SG
9 players
Forwards
SF · PF
4 players
Centers
1 player
Model picks on ATL
Below the 30-pick gate (n=19)