HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBBot 7
PHI 4@BAL 4
-2.9pppeak
MLBTop 8
STL 1@TOR 1
+10.8pppeak
MLBTop 1
KC 0@COL 0
-2.0ppmedium
MLBTop 8
ARI 0@CLE 1
+32.1ppmedium
MLBBot 7
MIA 5@NYM 2
-48.5pplow
MLBEnd 3
TEX 0@HOU 3
+40.1pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 6@TB 1
-62.0pplow
MLBBot 7
WSH 1@ATL 6
+40.8pplow
WNBA3:53 - 4th
DAL 68@WSH 69
-0.4pppeak
WNBA8:35 - 4th
SEA 63@ATL 71
+2.9ppmedium
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-2 so far (MLB 0-2)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Placed SS J.P (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Selected the contract of RHP Luke Murphy from Rocket City (SL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBTigers: Recalled LHP Enmanuel De Jesus from Toledo (IL) (Jul 31)
MLBBot 7
PHI 4@BAL 4
-2.9pppeak
MLBTop 8
STL 1@TOR 1
+10.8pppeak
MLBTop 1
KC 0@COL 0
-2.0ppmedium
MLBTop 8
ARI 0@CLE 1
+32.1ppmedium
MLBBot 7
MIA 5@NYM 2
-48.5pplow
MLBEnd 3
TEX 0@HOU 3
+40.1pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 6@TB 1
-62.0pplow
MLBBot 7
WSH 1@ATL 6
+40.8pplow
WNBA3:53 - 4th
DAL 68@WSH 69
-0.4pppeak
WNBA8:35 - 4th
SEA 63@ATL 71
+2.9ppmedium
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-2 so far (MLB 0-2)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Placed SS J.P (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Selected the contract of RHP Luke Murphy from Rocket City (SL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBTigers: Recalled LHP Enmanuel De Jesus from Toledo (IL) (Jul 31)
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Las Vegas Aces
LV#2 · Western Conference

Las Vegas Aces

20-8 (71.4%) · W2 · L10 7-3

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#2 of 15

Elo rating 1639.6 · as of 2026-07-31 · wnba_team_ratings

Rank within the full 15-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-07-12 → 2026-07-30

LLost by 34 vs IND, 75-109, 2026-07-12. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 26 at TOR, 109-83, 2026-07-20. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at WSH, 99-100, 2026-07-22. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 15 vs POR, 98-83, 2026-07-28. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 5 vs NY, 104-99, 2026-07-30. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points per game

  1. 1A'ja Wilson26 G26.4
  2. 2Jackie Young28 G17.5
  3. 3Chelsea Gray28 G12.9
  4. 4Chennedy Carter13 G12.2
  5. 5NaLyssa Smith27 G11.7

Rebounds per game

  1. 1A'ja Wilson26 G9.7
  2. 2NaLyssa Smith27 G5.9
  3. 3Jackie Young28 G4.2
  4. 4Chelsea Gray28 G3.4
  5. 5Stephanie Talbot28 G2.9

Assists per game

  1. 1Chelsea Gray28 G7.1
  2. 2Jackie Young28 G6.7
  3. 3A'ja Wilson26 G3.2
  4. 4Jewell Loyd26 G1.4
  5. 5Chennedy Carter13 G1.3

Field goal %

  1. 1NaLyssa Smith27 G66.7%
  2. 2Chennedy Carter13 G60.0%
  3. 3A'ja Wilson26 G53.5%
  4. 4Jackie Young28 G48.4%
  5. 5Chelsea Gray28 G45.5%

min 4 FGA per game

Three-point %

  1. 1A'ja Wilson26 G42.9%
  2. 2Chelsea Gray28 G41.5%
  3. 3Jackie Young28 G36.9%
  4. 4Jewell Loyd26 G34.0%
  5. 5Stephanie Talbot28 G24.1%

min 2 3PA per game

2026 season · ESPN season averages (wnba_player_season_stats, same table as the player pages) · min 8 GP all boards · FG% / 3P% additionally min 15.0 MPG + the stated attempt floors

Quarter identity

When they score

Pattern by quarter

12 games · for vs against

6.613.319.926.5Q1 · 26.25 for / 22.25 against · margin +4.00PEAKQ1Q2 · 23.50 for / 19.75 against · margin +3.75Q2Q3 · 23.33 for / 22.33 against · margin +1.00Q3Q4 · 20.58 for / 23.83 against · margin -3.25Q4QUARTERS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

93.7 avg / 88.2 allowed

Shot profile

Where they shoot from

Attempt mix · share of FGA

bar = team · tick = league

Rim

1,064 att

league 35.9% of FGA

28.0% of FGA · makes 58.6% (lg 57.4%)

28.0%makes 58.6%lg 57.4%

Mid-range

1,316 att

league 26.4% of FGA

34.6% of FGA · makes 42.7% (lg 39.3%)

34.6%makes 42.7%lg 39.3%

Three

1,391 att

league 35.8% of FGA

36.6% of FGA · makes 35.7% (lg 33.7%)

36.6%makes 35.7%lg 33.7%

Other

27 att

league 1.9% of FGA

0.7% of FGA · makes 37.0% (lg 42.6%)

0.7%makes 37.0%lg 42.6%

Free throws (not in the mix): 1,056 FTA · 81.7% made (league 78.7%)

2025 season · wnba_shots (team-level play-by-play) · 3,798 team FGA vs 13-club league baseline (41,982 FGA, All-Star squads excluded) · free throws excluded from the mix, shown separately · every play-text type is bucketed (unmatched types land in Other, currently the hook family) · 3PT split derived from shot coordinates (hoop at (25,0) ft, 22'1.75" arc, corner lines 3 ft off the sidelines; integer-foot grid — shots within ~0.5 ft of the arc can fall either side)

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 91.7 points

2457AVG 91.760+365+70+375+80+585+90+795+4100+5105+110+POINTS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2025-10-11 → 2026-07-30

Record

21-9

Win pct

70.0%

Avg margin

+4.8

Longest W

6

Longest L

2

Favorite losses

9

2025-10-11 · @ PHX · W 97-86 · model gave 52%PHX2026-05-09 · vs PHX · L 66-99 · model gave 73%PHX2026-05-10 · @ LA · W 105-78 · model gave 65%LA2026-05-13 · @ CON · W 98-69 · model gave 83%CON2026-05-15 · @ CON · W 101-94 · model gave 83%CON2026-05-17 · @ ATL · W 85-84 · model gave 54%ATL2026-05-23 · vs LA · L 95-101 · model gave 74%LA2026-05-28 · @ DAL · L 87-95 · model gave 68%DAL2026-05-31 · @ GS · W 91-81 · model gave 52%GS2026-06-02 · @ LA · W 79-69 · model gave 60%LA2026-06-06 · vs GS · W 84-79 · model gave 72%GS2026-06-08 · vs SEA · W 101-91 · model gave 87%SEA2026-06-11 · @ POR · W 105-89 · model gave 62%POR2026-06-13 · vs MIN · W 100-97 · model gave 58%MIN2026-06-15 · @ DAL · L 66-96 · model gave 67%DAL2026-06-17 · @ PHX · W 86-76 · model gave 70%PHX2026-06-21 · vs GS · W 92-73 · model gave 72%GS2026-06-23 · vs NY · L 76-87 · model gave 79%NY2026-06-25 · vs DAL · W 99-84 · model gave 81%DAL2026-06-28 · @ CHI · W 107-99 · model gave 81%CHI2026-06-30 · @ NY · L 85-93 · model gave 60%NY2026-07-03 · vs CHI · W 98-90 · model gave 90%CHI2026-07-05 · vs IND · L 68-84 · model gave 73%IND2026-07-09 · @ POR · W 88-80 · model gave 60%POR2026-07-11 · vs PHX · W 106-58 · model gave 81%PHX2026-07-12 · vs IND · L 75-109 · model gave 70%IND2026-07-20 · @ TOR · W 109-83 · model gave 70%TOR2026-07-22 · @ WSH · L 99-100 · model gave 59%WSH2026-07-28 · vs POR · W 98-83 · model gave 79%POR2026-07-30 · vs NY · W 104-99 · model gave 76%NY

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

58 games · 2025-08-02 → 2026-07-30

Peak 1688 · Now 1640 · Trough 1506

Franchise spine

Every season on file

Scoring margin is points scored minus points allowed, per game — zero is exactly league average. The pill on each row is where that margin finished among the league's clubs that season, so a +5 in 2004 and a +5 in 2025 are not treated as the same thing.

Widest margin on file

+11.8per game

2023 · Las Vegas Aces

34–7 on file · 41 G · 92.1 for · 80.3 against1st/12

8 seasons apart

Worst margin on file

−8.6per game

2015 · San Antonio Stars

8–26 on file · 34 G · 68.1 for · 76.7 against12th/12

Per-game scoring margin · by season

−15 ← 0 = league average → +15 · pill = rank that season

SeasonGW–L on fileMargin vs league averagePer GRank

2025

30–14 on file · 44 G

4430–14
+2.9
+2.95th/132025 Las Vegas Aces: 30–14 on file over 44 games, +2.9 points per game, 5th of 13 in the league that season.

2024

27–13 on file · 40 G

4027–13
+5.5
+5.54th/122024 Las Vegas Aces: 27–13 on file over 40 games, +5.5 points per game, 4th of 12 in the league that season.

★‡2023

34–7 on file · 41 G

4134–7
+11.8
+11.81st/122023 Las Vegas Aces: 34–7 on file over 41 games, +11.8 points per game, 1st of 12 in the league that season.

‡2022

27–10 on file · 37 G

3727–10
+6.5
+6.52nd/122022 Las Vegas Aces: 27–10 on file over 37 games, +6.5 points per game, 2nd of 12 in the league that season.

2021

24–8 on file · 32 G

3224–8
+9.1
+9.11st/122021 Las Vegas Aces: 24–8 on file over 32 games, +9.1 points per game, 1st of 12 in the league that season.

2020

18–4 on file · 22 G

2218–4
+8.6
+8.62nd/122020 Las Vegas Aces: 18–4 on file over 22 games, +8.6 points per game, 2nd of 12 in the league that season.

2019

21–13 on file · 34 G

3421–13
+3.4
+3.42nd/122019 Las Vegas Aces: 21–13 on file over 34 games, +3.4 points per game, 2nd of 12 in the league that season.

†2018

14–19 on file · 33 G

3314–19
−2.6
−2.69th/122018 Las Vegas Aces: 14–19 on file over 33 games, −2.6 points per game, 9th of 12 in the league that season.

2017

San Antonio Stars

8–26 on file · 34 G

348–26
−7.0
−7.011th/122017 San Antonio Stars: 8–26 on file over 34 games, −7.0 points per game, 11th of 12 in the league that season.

2016

San Antonio Stars

7–27 on file · 34 G

347–27
−8.2
−8.212th/122016 San Antonio Stars: 7–27 on file over 34 games, −8.2 points per game, 12th of 12 in the league that season.

★2015

San Antonio Stars

8–26 on file · 34 G

348–26
−8.6
−8.612th/122015 San Antonio Stars: 8–26 on file over 34 games, −8.6 points per game, 12th of 12 in the league that season.

2014

San Antonio Stars

16–18 on file · 34 G

3416–18
−1.8
−1.87th/122014 San Antonio Stars: 16–18 on file over 34 games, −1.8 points per game, 7th of 12 in the league that season.

2013

San Antonio Silver Stars

12–22 on file · 34 G

3412–22
−5.8
−5.810th/122013 San Antonio Silver Stars: 12–22 on file over 34 games, −5.8 points per game, 10th of 12 in the league that season.

2012

San Antonio Silver Stars

21–13 on file · 34 G

3421–13
+5.1
+5.14th/122012 San Antonio Silver Stars: 21–13 on file over 34 games, +5.1 points per game, 4th of 12 in the league that season.

2011

San Antonio Silver Stars

18–16 on file · 34 G

3418–16
+2.1
+2.15th/122011 San Antonio Silver Stars: 18–16 on file over 34 games, +2.1 points per game, 5th of 12 in the league that season.

2010

San Antonio Silver Stars

14–20 on file · 34 G

3414–20
−3.3
−3.39th/122010 San Antonio Silver Stars: 14–20 on file over 34 games, −3.3 points per game, 9th of 12 in the league that season.

2009

San Antonio Silver Stars

15–19 on file · 34 G

3415–19
−1.4
−1.410th/132009 San Antonio Silver Stars: 15–19 on file over 34 games, −1.4 points per game, 10th of 13 in the league that season.

2008

San Antonio Silver Stars

24–10 on file · 34 G

3424–10
+3.8
+3.83rd/142008 San Antonio Silver Stars: 24–10 on file over 34 games, +3.8 points per game, 3rd of 14 in the league that season.

2007

San Antonio Silver Stars

20–14 on file · 34 G

3420–14
+1.0
+1.07th/132007 San Antonio Silver Stars: 20–14 on file over 34 games, +1.0 points per game, 7th of 13 in the league that season.

2006

San Antonio Silver Stars

13–21 on file · 34 G

3413–21
−2.4
−2.410th/142006 San Antonio Silver Stars: 13–21 on file over 34 games, −2.4 points per game, 10th of 14 in the league that season.

2005

San Antonio Silver Stars

7–26 on file · 33 G

337–26
−7.4
−7.413th/132005 San Antonio Silver Stars: 7–26 on file over 33 games, −7.4 points per game, 13th of 13 in the league that season.

2004

San Antonio Silver Stars

8–23 on file · 31 G

318–23
−5.2
−5.213th/132004 San Antonio Silver Stars: 8–23 on file over 31 games, −5.2 points per game, 13th of 13 in the league that season.

2003

San Antonio Silver Stars

11–17 on file · 28 G

2811–17
−6.1
−6.114th/142003 San Antonio Silver Stars: 11–17 on file over 28 games, −6.1 points per game, 14th of 14 in the league that season.

† fewer games on file than the rest of the league that season. ‡ more games on file than the rest of the league that season.

wnba_team_box (ESPN) · seasons 2003–2025, 783 team-games for this franchise across 3 names · regular season only (season_type 2) · W–L is the record ON FILE, not the official record: season_type 2 also carries the Commissioner's Cup final (from 2021), which the league keeps out of the standings, so a finalist shows one extra game (2022: 37 G here) · † 2018 — fewer games on file than the rest of the league that season · ‡ 2022, 2023 — more · 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006 are short league-wide (club totals range 21–30 in 2003), so those records cover the games in the feed, not the full schedule · rank is among the 12–14 clubs with 10+ games that season; All-Star squads excluded · last game Sep 11, 2025, ingested Jul 19, 2026

Next 5 games

The road ahead

@CHIpwr 46
@ATLpwr 74
@INDpwr 90

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

1 move
  1. Apr 10

    Signed C A'ja Wilson to a three-year supermax contract.

Source · ESPN

Roster · 14 players

The active roster

Guards

PG · SG

7 players

Jackie Young

J. Young

G · #0

Dana Evans

D. Evans

G · #11

Chelsea Gray

C. Gray

G · #12

Justine Pissott

J. Pissott

G · #13

Mai Yamamoto

M. Yamamoto

G · #23

Jewell Loyd

J. Loyd

G · #24

Ta'Niya Latson

T. Latson

G

Forwards

SF · PF

6 players

Kierstan Bell

K. Bell

F · #1

Janiah Barker

J. Barker

F · #2

NaLyssa Smith

N. Smith

F · #3

Stephanie Talbot

S. Talbot

F · #7

Brianna Turner

B. Turner

F · #21

Cheyenne Parker-Tyus

C. Parker-Tyus

F · #32

Centers

1 player

A'ja Wilson

A. Wilson

C · #22

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Model picks on LV

Below the 30-pick gate (n=21)