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LV#2 · Western Conference
Las Vegas Aces
10-4 (71.4%) · L1 · L10 7-3
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#2 of 15
Elo rating 1661.5 · as of 2026-06-16 · wnba_team_ratings
Rank within the full 15-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Last 5 form
2026-06-06 → 2026-06-15
Won by 5 vs GS, 84-79, 2026-06-06. Covered the spread (closing line).
Won by 10 vs SEA, 101-91, 2026-06-08. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 16 at POR, 105-89, 2026-06-11. Covered the spread (closing line).
Won by 3 vs MIN, 100-97, 2026-06-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 30 at DAL, 66-96, 2026-06-15. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Points per game
- 1A'ja Wilson14 G25.6
- 2Jackie Young14 G14.7
- 3Chennedy Carter10 G14.4
- 4Chelsea Gray14 G12.4
- 5NaLyssa Smith14 G11.2
Rebounds per game
- 1A'ja Wilson14 G9.0
- 2NaLyssa Smith14 G7.0
- 3Jackie Young14 G4.8
- 4Chelsea Gray14 G4.1
- 5Stephanie Talbot14 G3.6
Assists per game
- 1Chelsea Gray14 G7.0
- 2Jackie Young14 G6.7
- 3A'ja Wilson14 G3.1
- 4Stephanie Talbot14 G1.9
- 5Jewell Loyd12 G1.6
Field goal %
- 1NaLyssa Smith14 G68.1%
- 2Chennedy Carter10 G61.5%
- 3A'ja Wilson14 G52.4%
- 4Chelsea Gray14 G44.3%
- 5Jackie Young14 G40.9%
min 4 FGA per game
Three-point %
- 1A'ja Wilson14 G51.5%
- 2Chelsea Gray14 G44.0%
- 3Jackie Young14 G34.7%
- 4Jewell Loyd12 G31.3%
- 5Stephanie Talbot14 G27.3%
min 2 3PA per game
2026 season · ESPN season averages (wnba_player_season_stats, same table as the player pages) · min 8 GP all boards · FG% / 3P% additionally min 15.0 MPG + the stated attempt floors
Shooting profile · 2026
How the team scores
14 games sampled
Field goal %
48.4vs 44.3Elite
3-point %
36.4vs 33.0Above avg
Free throw %
72.9vs 77.9Below avg
Points / game
90.2vs 85.2Elite
Tick mark on each bar shows the league average for the 2026 season. Per-shot location data (the heatmap-style chart NBA player pages render) lives behind the WNBA Stats API and is on the ingest roadmap.
Quarter identity
When they score
Pattern by quarter
12 games · for vs against
ForAgainst
91.0 avg / 87.1 allowed
Shot profile
Where they shoot from
Attempt mix · share of FGA
bar = team · tick = league
Rim
1,064 att
league 35.9% of FGA
28.0% of FGA · makes 58.6% (lg 57.4%)
28.0%makes 58.6%lg 57.4%
Mid-range
1,316 att
league 26.4% of FGA
34.6% of FGA · makes 42.7% (lg 39.3%)
34.6%makes 42.7%lg 39.3%
Three
1,391 att
league 35.8% of FGA
36.6% of FGA · makes 35.7% (lg 33.7%)
36.6%makes 35.7%lg 33.7%
Other
27 att
league 1.9% of FGA
0.7% of FGA · makes 37.0% (lg 42.6%)
0.7%makes 37.0%lg 42.6%
Free throws (not in the mix): 1,056 FTA · 81.7% made (league 78.7%)
2025 season · wnba_shots (team-level play-by-play) · 3,798 team FGA vs 13-club league baseline (41,982 FGA, All-Star squads excluded) · free throws excluded from the mix, shown separately · every play-text type is bucketed (unmatched types land in Other, currently the hook family) · 3PT split derived from shot coordinates (hoop at (25,0) ft, 22'1.75" arc, corner lines 3 ft off the sidelines; integer-foot grid — shots within ~0.5 ft of the arc can fall either side)
Scoring identity
How they score
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 89.9 points
Form heatmap
The margin trail
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2025-09-05 → 2026-06-15
Record
23-7
Win pct
76.7%
Avg margin
+6.5
Longest W
6
Longest L
2
Upset wins
1
Favorite losses
7
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
The Elo timeline
60 games · 2025-06-18 → 2026-06-15
Peak 1688 · Now 1661 · Trough 1476
Next 5 games
The road ahead
@PHXpwr —
vsGSpwr 63
vsNYpwr 96
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Apr 10
Signed C A'ja Wilson to a three-year supermax contract.
Source · ESPN
Roster · 12 players
The active roster
Guards
PG · SG
5 players
Forwards
SF · PF
6 players
Centers
1 player
