Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
LV
78LiveEnd of 3rd
CON
53Updated 9:45 PM ET
END OF 3RD+25LV
LV
1-1
7853
CON
0-2
Live momentum · cumulative diff
Q3away leadsCON leads
LV
1-1
CON
0-2
Live momentum · cumulative diff
Q3Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.0%
ensemble · CON favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CON win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CON win)
33%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CON win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights are recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen
Player projections
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
5
projections · 5 high confidence
Points
Rebounds
Assists
Blocks
Steals
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
LV · top performer
Chennedy Carter
G · #23
18
Pts
4
Reb
2
Ast
CON · top performer
Aneesah Morrow
F · #24
16
Pts
10
Reb
0
Ast
WNBA · Box score
LV
1-1
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7 | |
| 14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +9 | |
| 19 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +26 | |
| 22 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +22 | |
| 27 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +14 | |
| 11 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +15 | |
| 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +18 | |
| 15 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +12 | |
| Team | 78 | 36 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 9 | ||
| DNP: J. Barker, D. Evans | ||||||||
CON
0-2
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 22 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -20 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -11 | |
| 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | |
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -22 | |
| 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9 | |
| 20 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -16 | |
| 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -8 | |
| 15 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -17 | |
| 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9 | |
| Team | 53 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 8 | ||
| DNP: A. Edwards, B. Griner, S. Peddy, A. Jackson | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
57
FG %
31
17
Ast
10
Season series
LV@CONtodayLV@CONupcomingCON@LVupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LV -14.5
Between 10 and —
1.0pt· 6.3h
Total
172.5
High-scoring · +7.5 vs avg
1.0pt· 6.3h
Moneyline
LV-110092%CON+70013%125· 6.3h
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 200 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
14.5
+1.0 since open
Total
172.5
-2.0 since open
Live · top performers so far
End of 3rdEnd of the 3rd Quarter
LVC. Carter
GLeading · End of 3rd · 15 min
18 PTS · 4 REB · 2 AST
On pace: 48 PTS · 11 REB · 5 AST
CONA. Morrow
FLeading · End of 3rd · 20 min
16 PTS · 10 REB · 0 AST
On pace: 32 PTS · 20 REB · 0 AST
How it's going
LV lead CON 78-53 (End of 3rd). C. Carter led with 18 PTS, 4 REB, 2 AST. LV have outscored the other side 30-16 in the 3rd quarter.
Win probability
CON vs LV
Starters vs bench
production by unitLVstarters 58% of ptsStarters(5)
45 PTS · 22 REB · 14 AST
GS 43
Bench(5)
33 PTS · 14 REB · 3 AST
GS 28
CONstarters 51% of ptsStarters(5)
27 PTS · 8 REB · 9 AST
GS 9
Bench(4)
26 PTS · 15 REB · 1 AST
GS 20
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV | 28 | 20 | 30 | 78 |
| CON | 19 | 18 | 16 | 53 |
Period scoring
LV won 3 · CON won 0
Q1
Carter 8
Rivers 6
Q2
Carter 6
Morrow 10
Q3
Wilson 14
Lith 6
Shooting comparison
57%
32-56
FG
31%
17-55
13%
1-8
3PT
17%
2-12
68%
13-19
FT
85%
17-20
Play-by-play · 326 plays
End of the 3rd Quarter
LV 78·CON 53
Chennedy Carter makes running layup
LV 78·CON 53
Hailey Van Lith makes 7-foot fade away jump shot
LV 76·CON 53
Aneesah Morrow defensive rebound
LV 76·CON 51
A'ja Wilson misses free throw 1 of 1
LV 76·CON 51
Aneesah Morrow shooting foul
LV 76·CON 51
A'ja Wilson makes layup (Jackie Young assists)
·
LV 76·CON 51
Kennedy Burke makes 16-foot jumper (Hailey Van Lith assists)
·
LV 74·CON 51
A'ja Wilson makes 7-foot turnaround jump shot (Chennedy Carter assists)
·
LV 74·CON 49
Hailey Van Lith makes free throw 2 of 2
LV 72·CON 49
Hailey Van Lith makes free throw 1 of 2
LV 72·CON 48
Chennedy Carter shooting foul
LV 72·CON 47
Chennedy Carter makes driving layup
LV 72·CON 47
Chennedy Carter defensive rebound
LV 70·CON 47
Gianna Kneepkens misses 25-foot three point jumper
LV 70·CON 47
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus makes free throw 2 of 2
LV 70·CON 47
Kennedy Burke enters the game for Saniya Rivers
·
LV 69·CON 47
Diamond Miller enters the game for Raegan Beers
·
LV 69·CON 47
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus makes free throw 1 of 2
LV 69·CON 47
Raegan Beers personal foul
LV 68·CON 47
A'ja Wilson defensive rebound
LV 68·CON 47
Raegan Beers misses 17-foot jumper
LV 68·CON 47
Chennedy Carter bad pass turnover (Raegan Beers steals)
·
LV 68·CON 47
Saniya Rivers personal foul
LV 68·CON 47
Jewell Loyd defensive rebound
LV 68·CON 47
Gianna Kneepkens misses 15-foot jumper
LV 68·CON 47
Sun Full timeout
LV 68·CON 47
Jackie Young makes 16-foot driving floating jump shot
LV 68·CON 47
A'ja Wilson defensive rebound
LV 66·CON 47
Raegan Beers misses 20-foot jumper
LV 66·CON 47
Team stats
LV
Away
Stat
CON
Home
32-56
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
17-55
57
FG %
31
1-8
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
2-12
13-19
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
17-20
17
Assists
10
9
Turnovers
8
Betting line
LV -14.5·O/U 172.5·LV -1100/CON +700
