HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBTop 3
CHW 1@NYY 1
-5.7pphigh
MLBBot 1
SF 1@ATL 2
+14.8ppmedium
MLBMid 3
TOR 1@BOS 0
-30.0ppmedium
MLBBot 4
KC 0@WSH 2
+36.3pplow
MLBMid 2
NYM 0@CIN 4
+45.0pplow
MLBTop 4
MIA 0@PHI 7
+43.3pplow
WNBA7:27 - 2nd
TOR 30@IND 34
+1.7ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
MLBTop 3
CHW 1@NYY 1
-5.7pphigh
MLBBot 1
SF 1@ATL 2
+14.8ppmedium
MLBMid 3
TOR 1@BOS 0
-30.0ppmedium
MLBBot 4
KC 0@WSH 2
+36.3pplow
MLBMid 2
NYM 0@CIN 4
+45.0pplow
MLBTop 4
MIA 0@PHI 7
+43.3pplow
WNBA7:27 - 2nd
TOR 30@IND 34
+1.7ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
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St. Louis Cardinals
STL#4 · National League

St. Louis Cardinals

39-31 (55.7%) · W1 · L10 7-3

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#6 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .522 · exp 36.5-33.5 vs act 39-31 · n=70 · luck +2.5W · thru 2026-06-15 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-11 → 2026-06-15 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 1 at NYM, 4-5, 2026-06-11. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at MIN, 8-9, 2026-06-12. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 3 at MIN, 9-6, 2026-06-13. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at MIN, 4-5, 2026-06-14. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 3 vs SD, 3-0, 2026-06-15. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Jordan Walker69 G.903
  2. 2Alec Burleson69 G.847
  3. 3Iván Herrera70 G.822
  4. 4JJ Wetherholt66 G.751
  5. 5Masyn Winn63 G.624

Home runs

  1. 1Jordan Walker69 G18
  2. 2Alec Burleson69 G13
  3. 3JJ Wetherholt66 G10
  4. 4Iván Herrera70 G9
  5. 5Nolan Gorman62 G7

RBI

  1. 1Jordan Walker69 G56
  2. 2Alec Burleson69 G52
  3. 3Iván Herrera70 G31
  4. 4JJ Wetherholt66 G31
  5. 5Masyn Winn63 G26

Batting average

  1. 1Jordan Walker69 G.297
  2. 2Alec Burleson69 G.287
  3. 3Iván Herrera70 G.264
  4. 4JJ Wetherholt66 G.251
  5. 5Masyn Winn63 G.232

Stolen bases

  1. 1Jordan Walker69 G10
  2. 2JJ Wetherholt66 G7
  3. 3Masyn Winn63 G6
  4. 4Iván Herrera70 G4
  5. 5Alec Burleson69 G2

ERA

  1. 1Michael McGreevy78.3 IP2.99
  2. 2Dustin May81.7 IP3.75
  3. 3Matthew Liberatore70.7 IP4.71

WHIP

  1. 1Michael McGreevy78.3 IP1.11
  2. 2Dustin May81.7 IP1.14
  3. 3Matthew Liberatore70.7 IP1.50

Strikeouts

  1. 1Dustin May81.7 IP75
  2. 2Matthew Liberatore70.7 IP65
  3. 3Michael McGreevy78.3 IP51

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.246vs .243League avg

OBP

.323vs .319League avg

SLG

.399vs .398League avg

OPS

.722vs .717League avg

HR

83

R / G

4.6

K / G

8.1

Pitching

ERA

4.09vs 4.18Slight edge

FIP (approx)

4.26vs 4.19Slight gap

WHIP

1.33vs 1.31Slight gap

K / 9

7.8vs 8.5Below avg

BB / 9

3.4vs 3.5Slight edge

BAA

.252

HR / 9

1.1

GP

70

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.40.81.11.51st · 0.75 for / 0.58 against · margin +0.171st2nd · 0.92 for / 0.00 against · margin +0.92PEAK2nd3rd · 0.75 for / 0.50 against · margin +0.253rd4th · 0.58 for / 0.67 against · margin -0.084th5th · 0.83 for / 0.50 against · margin +0.335th6th · 0.75 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.506th7th · 1.08 for / 0.83 against · margin +0.257th8th · 0.42 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.088th9th · 0.08 for / 0.33 against · margin -0.259thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

6.2 avg / 4.0 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

4.53

Blowout wins (4+)

5

Shutout games

3

Form last 30

16-14

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 4.5 runs

1345AVG 4.53041223445546728391011RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-05-12 → 2026-06-15

Record

16-14

Win pct

53.3%

Avg margin

+0.4

Longest W

6

Longest L

3

Upset wins

1

Favorite losses

10

2026-05-12 · @ ATH · W 6-4 · model gave 50%ATH2026-05-13 · @ ATH · L 2-6 · model gave 50%ATH2026-05-14 · @ ATH · W 5-4 · model gave 52%ATH2026-05-15 · vs KC · W 5-4 · model gave 62%KC2026-05-16 · vs KC · W 4-2 · model gave 62%KC2026-05-17 · vs KC · L 0-2 · model gave 63%KC2026-05-19 · vs PIT · W 9-6 · model gave 57%PIT2026-05-20 · vs PIT · L 0-7 · model gave 58%PIT2026-05-21 · vs PIT · L 2-6 · model gave 58%PIT2026-05-23 · @ CIN · L 6-7 · model gave 45%CIN2026-05-23 · @ CIN · W 8-1 · model gave 45%CIN2026-05-25 · @ MIL · L 1-5 · model gave 36%MIL2026-05-26 · @ MIL · L 0-6 · model gave 36%MIL2026-05-27 · @ MIL · L 1-2 · model gave 36%MIL2026-05-29 · vs CHC · W 6-5 · model gave 55%CHC2026-05-30 · vs CHC · L 1-6 · model gave 54%CHC2026-05-31 · vs CHC · W 5-1 · model gave 55%CHC2026-06-01 · vs TEX · L 1-2 · model gave 54%TEX2026-06-02 · vs TEX · L 4-7 · model gave 55%TEX2026-06-03 · vs TEX · W 5-3 · model gave 56%TEX2026-06-05 · vs CIN · W 10-3 · model gave 59%CIN2026-06-06 · vs CIN · W 6-5 · model gave 60%CIN2026-06-07 · vs CIN · W 5-3 · model gave 61%CIN2026-06-09 · @ NYM · W 7-0 · model gave 53%NYM2026-06-10 · @ NYM · W 9-2 · model gave 52%NYM2026-06-11 · @ NYM · L 4-5 · model gave 51%NYM2026-06-12 · @ MIN · L 8-9 · model gave 54%MIN2026-06-13 · @ MIN · W 9-6 · model gave 54%MIN2026-06-14 · @ MIN · L 4-5 · model gave 54%MIN2026-06-15 · vs SD · W 3-0 · model gave 56%SD

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

160 games · 2025-06-17 → 2026-06-15

Peak 1535 · Now 1521 · Trough 1464

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

3 moves
  1. Jun 12

    Placed 3B Ramón Urías on the 60-day IL. Recalled RHP Chris Roycroft from Memphis (IL). Optioned 3B Nolan Gorman and RHP Hunter Dobbins to Memphis. Selected the contract of 1B Blaze Jordan from Memphis.

  2. Jun 9

    Reinstated LF Nathan Church from the 10-day IL. Optioned CF Victor Scott II to Memphis (IL).

  3. Jun 8

    Optioned CF Victor Scott II to Memphis (IL).

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

Alec Burleson

A. Burleson

1B · #41

Andre Pallante

A. Pallante

SP · #53

Blaze Jordan

B. Jordan

1B · #33

Bryan Torres

B. Torres

LF · #39

Chris Roycroft

C. Roycroft

RP · #58

Dustin May

D. May

SP · #3

George Soriano

G. Soriano

RP · #65

Gordon Graceffo

G. Graceffo

RP · #44

Ivan Herrera

I. Herrera

DH · #48

Jimmy Crooks

J. Crooks

C · #8

JJ Wetherholt

J. Wetherholt

2B · #26

JoJo Romero

J. Romero

RP · #59

Jordan Walker

J. Walker

RF · #18

Jose Fermin

J. Fermin

LF · #15

Justin Bruihl

J. Bruihl

RP · #47

Kyle Leahy

K. Leahy

SP · #62

Lars Nootbaar

L. Nootbaar

LF · #21

Masyn Winn

M. Winn

SS · #0

Matt Svanson

M. Svanson

RP · #49

Matthew Liberatore

M. Liberatore

SP · #32

Michael McGreevy

M. McGreevy

SP · #36

Nathan Church

N. Church

LF · #27

Nelson Velazquez

N. Velazquez

OF · #38

Pedro Pages

P. Pages

C · #43

Riley O'Brien

R. O'Brien

RP · #61

Ryne Stanek

R. Stanek

RP · #55

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
Receipts →

Model picks on STL

20-20 graded · 50.0% (95% CI 35.2-64.8) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-03-26

All MLB · 594-464 graded

Tonight's graded board →