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STL#11 · National League
St. Louis Cardinals
54-56 (49.1%) · L2 · L10 3-7
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)
#15 of 30
Pyth(1.83) .485 · exp 53.3-56.7 vs act 54-56 · n=110 · luck +0.7W · thru 2026-07-31 · mlb_game_results
Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Last 5 form
2026-07-27 → 2026-07-31 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 4 vs CHC, 3-7, 2026-07-27. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 8 vs CHC, 2-10, 2026-07-28. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 1 vs CHC, 3-2, 2026-07-29. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 2 vs CHC, 2-4, 2026-07-30. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 2 at TOR, 1-3, 2026-07-31. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Stat leaders
Who carries them
OPS
- 1Jordan Walker108 G.835
- 2Alec Burleson109 G.803
- 3JJ Wetherholt105 G.741
- 4Iván Herrera109 G.740
- 5Masyn Winn102 G.641
Home runs
- 1Jordan Walker108 G22
- 2JJ Wetherholt105 G16
- 3Alec Burleson109 G15
- 4Iván Herrera109 G12
- 5Masyn Winn102 G4
RBI
- 1Jordan Walker108 G79
- 2Alec Burleson109 G71
- 3Iván Herrera109 G46
- 4Masyn Winn102 G44
- 5JJ Wetherholt105 G41
Batting average
- 1Alec Burleson109 G.282
- 2Jordan Walker108 G.281
- 3JJ Wetherholt105 G.251
- 4Iván Herrera109 G.244
- 5Masyn Winn102 G.243
Stolen bases
- 1Jordan Walker108 G14
- 2JJ Wetherholt105 G12
- 3Masyn Winn102 G8
- 4Iván Herrera109 G6
- 5Alec Burleson109 G3
ERA
- 1Michael McGreevy116.0 IP3.57
- 2Andre Pallante118.7 IP3.72
WHIP
- 1Michael McGreevy116.0 IP1.20
- 2Andre Pallante118.7 IP1.22
Strikeouts
- 1Andre Pallante118.7 IP86
- 2Michael McGreevy116.0 IP76
2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool
Team rate stats · 2026
Hitting + pitching vs league
MLB Stats API
Hitting
AVG
.238vs .244Slight gap
OBP
.314vs .318League avg
SLG
.377vs .401Below avg
OPS
.691vs .720Slight gap
HR
113
R / G
4.3
K / G
7.7
Pitching
ERA
4.16vs 4.18League avg
FIP (approx)
4.10vs 4.19Slight edge
WHIP
1.35vs 1.30Slight gap
K / 9
7.7vs 8.5Below avg
BB / 9
3.4vs 3.4League avg
BAA
.254
HR / 9
1.0
GP
110
Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.
Inning identity
When they score
Pattern by inning
12 games · for vs against
ForAgainst
2.4 avg / 3.8 allowed
Plate signature
The strike zone
Plate identity
From the catcher's view · last 30 games
Avg runs / game
3.90
Blowout wins (4+)
4
Shutout games
0
Form last 30
12-18
Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.
Run-scoring identity
How they score
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 3.9 runs
Form heatmap
The margin trail
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-06-28 → 2026-07-31
Record
12-18
Win pct
40.0%
Avg margin
-0.2
Longest W
3
Longest L
4
Upset wins
5
Favorite losses
12
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
The Elo timeline
162 games · 2025-08-02 → 2026-07-31
Peak 1541 · Now 1488 · Trough 1464
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 12
Placed 3B Ramón Urías on the 60-day IL. Recalled RHP Chris Roycroft from Memphis (IL). Optioned 3B Nolan Gorman and RHP Hunter Dobbins to Memphis. Selected the contract of 1B Blaze Jordan from Memphis.
- Jun 9
Reinstated LF Nathan Church from the 10-day IL. Optioned CF Victor Scott II to Memphis (IL).
- Jun 8
Optioned CF Victor Scott II to Memphis (IL).
Source · ESPN
Position players · 26
Hitters & fielders
A. Burleson
1B · #41
A. Pallante
SP · #53
B. Jordan
3B · #33
B. Torres
LF · #39
D. May
SP · #3
G. Soriano
RP · #65
G. Graceffo
RP · #44
I. Herrera
DH · #48
J. Crooks
C · #8
J. Wetherholt
2B · #26
J. Walker
RF · #18
J. Fermin
LF · #15
J. Bruihl
RP · #47
K. Leahy
SP · #62
L. Nootbaar
LF · #21
L. Gastelum
RP · #72
M. Winn
SS · #0
M. Svanson
RP · #49
M. Liberatore
SP · #32
M. McGreevy
SP · #36
N. Church
CF · #27
N. Velazquez
LF · #38
P. Pages
C · #43
P. Strzelecki
RP · #58
R. O'Brien
RP · #61
R. Stanek
RP · #55