HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
  • WNBA logo
  • MLB logo
  • UFC logo
  • NFL logo
  • NHL logo
  • NBA logo
THE ONE Analytics
Beta
MLB logoMLBHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersLeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
MLBPlayer profile/STL
Matthew Liberatore
SP#32STLAdvanced data

Matthew Liberatore

Starting pitcher

6' 4" · 215 lbs · 26 yo

Form Line · next game · as of Jul 31

4.7K▼ -0.1vs pace (4.8)

typical range (~68%) 3–7 · on 21 games

ER2.9+0

The One's forward projection vs the player's own season pace — not a grade, not accuracy-tested. What is Form Line?

TOR

Live · @ TOR

Toronto Blue Jays

STL @ TOR

STL's next →

Place a bet · player props

Bet Matthew's props.

Strikeouts, hits, total bases, run line — DraftKings and FanDuel ship every player prop on tonight's slate. Geo-fenced to the books legal in your state.

Bet Matthew props↗Bet Matthew props↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

W-L

—-—

this season

ERA

—

this season

K

—

this season

IP

—

this season

StatcastTrends

Statcast fingerprint

Matthew Liberatore

MLB percentile · n=406

  1. xwOBA15
  2. xBA11
  3. xSLG13
  4. Barrel %27
  5. Hard-hit %22
  6. Exit velo11
  7. Whiff %32
  8. Chase %38
  9. K %43
  10. BB %43

▸Strong strikeout rate (43rd pct) — expected average (11th pct) the soft spot.

Statcast · 2026 season

The advanced layer

Expected stats, sabermetric context, and rate metrics straight from the MLB Stats API. Each bar is calibrated against league benchmark ranges, not season percentiles — so the position is stable even on a small sample.

PITCHING

Run prevention

21 G · 21 GS · 102.2 IP

Run prevention

ERA5.26
5.502.50
FIP4.85
5.003.00
xFIP4.27
5.003.00
WHIP1.56
1.551.00

Stuff & control

K/98.8
6.012.0
BB/93.5
4.52.0
HR/91.67
1.600.70
K%21.9%
18.0%30.0%
BB%8.8%
11.0%5.0%

Quality of contact

BABIP—
.270.330
GO/AO0.66
0.801.60

Pitch mix

Arsenal

2026 · 1,724 pitches

PitchUseWhiffRV/100
  1. 4-Seam Fastball32%12%-0.6
  2. Slider24%38%-0.8
  3. Curveball17%38%-1.4
  4. Changeup15%23%+0.6
  5. Sinker9%8%-3.9
  6. Cutter4%19%-5.2

▸RV/100 is pitcher-side — negative is a pitch that saved runs.

Keep exploring

Related players

Teammates · STL

  • Alec Burleson1B
  • Andre PallanteSP
  • Blaze Jordan3B
  • Bryan TorresLF
  • Dustin MaySP
  • George SorianoRP

Other SP around the league

  • Aaron CivaleCHC
  • Aaron NolaPHI
  • Adrian HouserSF
  • Andrew AbbottCIN
  • Andrew PainterPHI
  • Anthony KayCHW
Compare this player head-to-head→
Home›MLB›Players›Matthew Liberatore

Build your edge. Every week.

Weekly research digest

One email per week · unsubscribe anytime

THE ONE Analytics

Elite sports analytics across NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, NCAA football, and NCAA basketball. Statcast-style advanced metrics, AI-graded prop analysis, and a model edge against Vegas refreshed every night.

6 leagues live · model running
Beta · every feature free

Sports

  • NFL
  • WNBA
  • CFB
  • NBA
  • CBB
  • MLB
  • NHL
  • UFC
  • Soccer
  • Horse Racing

Product

  • Features
  • Sports coverage
  • Best bets
  • Live games
  • Futures
  • 2026 Draft Big Board
  • Fantasy football
  • Cross-sport rankings
  • Model accuracy
  • Calibration Grade
  • Free tools & calculators
  • Matchup Predictor
  • Hedge calculator
  • Same-game parlay calculator
  • Odds converter
  • Yesterday's recap
  • NFL player directory
  • NBA head-to-head
  • Box scores · cross-sport
  • Sportsbooks by state
  • My bets
  • Methodology
  • Glossary
  • Pricing

Company

  • About
  • Notes
  • Partners
  • Press kit
  • Roadmap
  • Changelog
  • Brand kit
  • Sign in

Legal

  • Terms of Service
  • Betting Terms
  • Privacy Policy
  • Responsible Gambling
21+

Analytics for entertainment + research. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.

Resources →

© 2026 The One Analytics. All rights reserved. · [email protected]

Analytical research only · not gambling advice · bet responsibly

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

60%Last 7 · 56-37
60%Last 30 · 246-165
Receipts →
MLBTop 4
PIT 3@CIN 3
+4.6pphigh
MLBEnd 1
STL 0@TOR 0
+0.4ppmedium
MLBBot 1
ARI 0@CLE 0
-0.7ppmedium
MLBBot 1
MIA 0@NYM 0
-2.5ppmedium
MLBTop 1
WSH 0@ATL 0
+2.0ppmedium
MLBTop 2
CHW 1@TB 0
-27.4ppmedium
MLBBot 1
PHI 2@BAL 0
-31.1pplow
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-1 so far (MLB 0-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Recalled RHP Antwone Kelly from Indianapolis (IL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Recalled RHP Andrew Painter from Lehigh Valley (IL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBRockies: Reinstated CF Brenton Doyle from the 10-day IL (Jul 31)
MLBTop 4
PIT 3@CIN 3
+4.6pphigh
MLBEnd 1
STL 0@TOR 0
+0.4ppmedium
MLBBot 1
ARI 0@CLE 0
-0.7ppmedium
MLBBot 1
MIA 0@NYM 0
-2.5ppmedium
MLBTop 1
WSH 0@ATL 0
+2.0ppmedium
MLBTop 2
CHW 1@TB 0
-27.4ppmedium
MLBBot 1
PHI 2@BAL 0
-31.1pplow
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-1 so far (MLB 0-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Recalled RHP Antwone Kelly from Indianapolis (IL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Recalled RHP Andrew Painter from Lehigh Valley (IL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBRockies: Reinstated CF Brenton Doyle from the 10-day IL (Jul 31)