HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBEnd 2
CHW 1@NYY 1
-1.2pphigh
MLBBot 1
SF 1@ATL 1
-2.9ppmedium
MLBMid 3
TOR 1@BOS 0
-30.0ppmedium
MLBBot 4
KC 0@WSH 2
+36.3pplow
MLBMid 2
NYM 0@CIN 4
+45.0pplow
MLBTop 4
MIA 0@PHI 7
+43.3pplow
WNBA7:27 - 2nd
TOR 30@IND 34
+1.7ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
MLBEnd 2
CHW 1@NYY 1
-1.2pphigh
MLBBot 1
SF 1@ATL 1
-2.9ppmedium
MLBMid 3
TOR 1@BOS 0
-30.0ppmedium
MLBBot 4
KC 0@WSH 2
+36.3pplow
MLBMid 2
NYM 0@CIN 4
+45.0pplow
MLBTop 4
MIA 0@PHI 7
+43.3pplow
WNBA7:27 - 2nd
TOR 30@IND 34
+1.7ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
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Minnesota Twins
MIN#10 · American League

Minnesota Twins

34-40 (45.9%) · W2 · L10 5-5

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#23 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .450 · exp 33.3-40.7 vs act 34-40 · n=74 · luck +0.7W · thru 2026-06-15 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-11 → 2026-06-15 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 11 at DET, 0-11, 2026-06-11. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 1 vs STL, 9-8, 2026-06-12. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 3 vs STL, 6-9, 2026-06-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 1 vs STL, 5-4, 2026-06-14. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 2 at TEX, 4-2, 2026-06-15. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Byron Buxton62 G.941
  2. 2Kody Clemens61 G.786
  3. 3Brooks Lee70 G.706
  4. 4Austin Martin67 G.670
  5. 5Josh Bell71 G.669

Home runs

  1. 1Byron Buxton62 G23
  2. 2Brooks Lee70 G11
  3. 3Kody Clemens61 G10
  4. 4Josh Bell71 G8
  5. 5Luke Keaschall68 G2

RBI

  1. 1Josh Bell71 G43
  2. 2Brooks Lee70 G39
  3. 3Byron Buxton62 G36
  4. 4Kody Clemens61 G25
  5. 5Luke Keaschall68 G23

Batting average

  1. 1Byron Buxton62 G.276
  2. 2Kody Clemens61 G.246
  3. 3Luke Keaschall68 G.242
  4. 4Austin Martin67 G.239
  5. 5Josh Bell71 G.236

Stolen bases

  1. 1Luke Keaschall68 G10
  2. 2Austin Martin67 G8
  3. 3Byron Buxton62 G6
  4. 4Kody Clemens61 G6
  5. 5Brooks Lee70 G3

ERA

  1. 1Joe Ryan82.3 IP3.17

WHIP

  1. 1Joe Ryan82.3 IP1.00

Strikeouts

  1. 1Joe Ryan82.3 IP92

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.239vs .243Slight gap

OBP

.316vs .319League avg

SLG

.399vs .398League avg

OPS

.715vs .717League avg

HR

88

R / G

4.6

K / G

8.5

Pitching

ERA

4.82vs 4.18Below avg

FIP (approx)

4.35vs 4.19Slight gap

WHIP

1.38vs 1.31Below avg

K / 9

8.3vs 8.5Slight gap

BB / 9

3.7vs 3.5Below avg

BAA

.252

HR / 9

1.1

GP

74

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.40.81.11.51st · 0.50 for / 1.08 against · margin -0.581st2nd · 0.25 for / 0.50 against · margin -0.252nd3rd · 0.25 for / 0.33 against · margin -0.083rd4th · 0.42 for / 0.50 against · margin -0.084th5th · 0.83 for / 0.75 against · margin +0.08PEAK5th6th · 0.67 for / 0.92 against · margin -0.256th7th · 0.58 for / 1.08 against · margin -0.507th8th · 0.42 for / 0.67 against · margin -0.258th9th · 0.42 for / 0.50 against · margin -0.089thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

4.3 avg / 6.3 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

4.37

Blowout wins (4+)

0

Shutout games

2

Form last 30

14-16

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 4.4 runs

2356AVG 4.4031423446566783910RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-05-15 → 2026-06-15

Record

14-16

Win pct

46.7%

Avg margin

-1.2

Longest W

4

Longest L

5

Upset wins

9

Favorite losses

4

2026-05-15 · vs MIL · L 2-3 · model gave 38%MIL2026-05-16 · vs MIL · L 1-2 · model gave 39%MIL2026-05-17 · vs MIL · W 5-4 · model gave 39%MIL2026-05-18 · vs HOU · W 6-3 · model gave 61%HOU2026-05-19 · vs HOU · L 1-2 · model gave 59%HOU2026-05-20 · vs HOU · W 4-1 · model gave 58%HOU2026-05-22 · @ BOS · W 8-6 · model gave 51%BOS2026-05-23 · @ BOS · W 4-2 · model gave 51%BOS2026-05-24 · @ BOS · W 6-5 · model gave 50%BOS2026-05-25 · @ CHW · L 1-3 · model gave 45%CHW2026-05-26 · @ CHW · W 5-3 · model gave 45%CHW2026-05-27 · @ CHW · L 2-15 · model gave 43%CHW2026-05-28 · @ CHW · L 2-6 · model gave 42%CHW2026-05-29 · @ PIT · L 5-6 · model gave 45%PIT2026-05-30 · @ PIT · L 9-10 · model gave 46%PIT2026-05-31 · @ PIT · L 3-9 · model gave 45%PIT2026-06-01 · vs CHW · W 9-6 · model gave 48%CHW2026-06-02 · vs CHW · W 6-4 · model gave 47%CHW2026-06-03 · vs CHW · L 0-8 · model gave 47%CHW2026-06-04 · vs KC · L 6-8 · model gave 54%KC2026-06-05 · vs KC · W 5-3 · model gave 54%KC2026-06-06 · vs KC · L 2-3 · model gave 53%KC2026-06-07 · vs KC · L 5-6 · model gave 52%KC2026-06-09 · @ DET · L 4-10 · model gave 45%DET2026-06-10 · @ DET · W 6-4 · model gave 46%DET2026-06-11 · @ DET · L 0-11 · model gave 46%DET2026-06-12 · vs STL · W 9-8 · model gave 46%STL2026-06-13 · vs STL · L 6-9 · model gave 46%STL2026-06-14 · vs STL · W 5-4 · model gave 46%STL2026-06-15 · @ TEX · W 4-2 · model gave 43%TEX

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

165 games · 2025-06-17 → 2026-06-15

Peak 1505 · Now 1470 · Trough 1419

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

2 moves
  1. Jun 10

    Sent RHP Mick Abel on a rehab assignment to St. Paul (IL).

  2. Jun 8

    Agreed to terms with RHP Failin Placencio on a minor league contract. Acquired RHP Taylor Rashi from Arizona in exchange for cash considerations.

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

Alex Jackson

A. Jackson

C · #70

A

A. Morris

RP · #78

Anthony Banda

A. Banda

RP · #43

Austin Martin

A. Martin

RF · #16

Brooks Lee

B. Lee

SS · #22

Byron Buxton

B. Buxton

CF · #25

Cody Laweryson

C. Laweryson

RP · #65

Connor Prielipp

C. Prielipp

SP · #61

Eric Orze

E. Orze

RP · #19

Joe Ryan

J. Ryan

SP · #41

Josh Bell

J. Bell

DH · #56

Justin Lawrence

J. Lawrence

RP · #31

Kody Clemens

K. Clemens

1B · #2

Kyler Fedko

K. Fedko

LF · #51

Luke Keaschall

L. Keaschall

2B · #15

M

M. Paredes

RP · #53

Royce Lewis

R. Lewis

3B · #23

Ryan Kreidler

R. Kreidler

CF · #5

Taj Bradley

T. Bradley

SP · #26

Taylor Rogers

T. Rogers

RP · #55

Travis Adams

T. Adams

RP · #45

Trevor Larnach

T. Larnach

LF · #9

Tristan Gray

T. Gray

3B · #4

Victor Caratini

V. Caratini

C · #37

Yoendrys Gomez

Y. Gomez

RP · #94

Zebby Matthews

Z. Matthews

SP · #52

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
Receipts →

Model picks on MIN

Below the 30-pick gate (n=17)