HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
  • WNBA logo
  • MLB logo
  • UFC logo
  • NFL logo
  • NHL logo
  • NBA logo
THE ONE Analytics
Beta
MLB logoMLBHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersLeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
MLBPlayer profile/MIN
Tommy Nance
RP#35MINAdvanced data

Tommy Nance

Relief pitcher

6' 6" · 235 lbs · 35 yo

Form Line · next game · as of Aug 1

1.1K▲ +0vs pace (1.1)

typical range (~68%) 0–2 · on 38 games

ER0.4+0

The One's forward projection vs the player's own season pace — not a grade, not accuracy-tested. What is Form Line?

SEA

Live · @ SEA

Seattle Mariners

MIN @ SEA

MIN's next →

Place a bet · player props

Bet Tommy's props.

Strikeouts, hits, total bases, run line — DraftKings and FanDuel ship every player prop on tonight's slate. Geo-fenced to the books legal in your state.

Bet Tommy props↗Bet Tommy props↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

W-L

—-—

this season

ERA

—

this season

K

—

this season

IP

—

this season

StatcastTrends

Statcast fingerprint

Tommy Nance

MLB percentile · n=406

  1. xwOBA41
  2. xBA33
  3. xSLG39
  4. Barrel %71
  5. Hard-hit %81
  6. Exit velo78
  7. Whiff %48
  8. Chase %93
  9. K %56
  10. BB %26

▸Strong chase rate induced (93rd pct) — walks (26th pct) the soft spot.

Statcast · 2026 season

The advanced layer

Expected stats, sabermetric context, and rate metrics straight from the MLB Stats API. Each bar is calibrated against league benchmark ranges, not season percentiles — so the position is stable even on a small sample.

PITCHING

Run prevention

38 G · 0 GS · 39.1 IP

Run prevention

ERA3.66
5.502.50
FIP4.02
5.003.00
xFIP3.64
5.003.00
WHIP1.32
1.551.00

Stuff & control

K/99.2
6.012.0
BB/93.9
4.52.0
HR/91.14
1.600.70
K%23.8%
18.0%30.0%
BB%10.1%
11.0%5.0%

Quality of contact

BABIP—
.270.330
GO/AO1.30
0.801.60

Pitch mix

Arsenal

2026 · 622 pitches

PitchUseWhiffRV/100
  1. Slider39%34%+1.2
  2. Curveball32%26%+1.4
  3. Sinker29%12%-1.9

▸RV/100 is pitcher-side — negative is a pitch that saved runs.

Keep exploring

Related players

Teammates · MIN

  • Alan RodenRF
  • Alex JacksonC
  • Andrew MorrisRP
  • Austin MartinRF
  • Bailey OberSP
  • Brooks Lee3B

Other RP around the league

  • Aaron AshbyMIL
  • Abner UribeMIL
  • Adrian MorejonSD
  • AJ BlubaughHOU
  • Albert SuarezBAL
  • Alex HoppeSEA
Compare this player head-to-head→
Home›MLB›Players›Tommy Nance

Build your edge. Every week.

Weekly research digest

One email per week · unsubscribe anytime

THE ONE Analytics

Elite sports analytics across NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, NCAA football, and NCAA basketball. Statcast-style advanced metrics, AI-graded prop analysis, and a model edge against Vegas refreshed every night.

6 leagues live · model running
Beta · every feature free

Sports

  • NFL
  • WNBA
  • CFB
  • NBA
  • CBB
  • MLB
  • NHL
  • UFC
  • Soccer
  • Horse Racing

Product

  • Features
  • Sports coverage
  • Best bets
  • Live games
  • Futures
  • 2026 Draft Big Board
  • Fantasy football
  • Cross-sport rankings
  • Model accuracy
  • Calibration Grade
  • Free tools & calculators
  • Matchup Predictor
  • Hedge calculator
  • Same-game parlay calculator
  • Odds converter
  • Yesterday's recap
  • NFL player directory
  • NBA head-to-head
  • Box scores · cross-sport
  • Sportsbooks by state
  • My bets
  • Methodology
  • Glossary
  • Pricing

Company

  • About
  • Notes
  • Partners
  • Press kit
  • Roadmap
  • Changelog
  • Brand kit
  • Sign in

Legal

  • Terms of Service
  • Betting Terms
  • Privacy Policy
  • Responsible Gambling
21+

Analytics for entertainment + research. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.

Resources →

© 2026 The One Analytics. All rights reserved. · [email protected]

Analytical research only · not gambling advice · bet responsibly

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

59%Last 7 · 60-42
60%Last 30 · 250-170
Receipts →
MLBBot 3
DET 1@ATH 1
-2.7pphigh
MLBTop 2
BOS 0@LAD 0
-0.3pphigh
MLBBot 4
KC 0@COL 1
+35.8ppmedium
MLBMid 4
MIL 1@LAA 0
-23.3ppmedium
MLBTop 3
SF 0@SD 2
+36.4pplow
MLBEnd 1
MIN 0@SEA 2
+36.4ppmedium
MLBTop 7
TEX 2@HOU 6
+41.8pplow
WNBAEnd of 1st
IND 27@POR 25
TONIGHTGraded picks 4-6 so far (MLB 2-6, WNBA 2-0)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBAstros: Signed free agent SS Braden Shewmake to a minor league contract (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Placed SS J.P (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Selected the contract of RHP Luke Murphy from Rocket City (SL) (Jul 31)
MLBBot 3
DET 1@ATH 1
-2.7pphigh
MLBTop 2
BOS 0@LAD 0
-0.3pphigh
MLBBot 4
KC 0@COL 1
+35.8ppmedium
MLBMid 4
MIL 1@LAA 0
-23.3ppmedium
MLBTop 3
SF 0@SD 2
+36.4pplow
MLBEnd 1
MIN 0@SEA 2
+36.4ppmedium
MLBTop 7
TEX 2@HOU 6
+41.8pplow
WNBAEnd of 1st
IND 27@POR 25
TONIGHTGraded picks 4-6 so far (MLB 2-6, WNBA 2-0)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBAstros: Signed free agent SS Braden Shewmake to a minor league contract (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Placed SS J.P (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Selected the contract of RHP Luke Murphy from Rocket City (SL) (Jul 31)