Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins: Live Score & Box Score

Hard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens, FL

HALFTIME+11ATL

ATL

1-1

176

MIA

0-2

NFL · Drive chart

14 drives · 2 TD · 3 FG · 2 Fum · 1 Miss · 6 Punt

PuntMIA3p · -8y
TDATL8p · 60y
FGMIA8p · 39y
FumATL1p
MissMIA4p · 4y
FumATL5p · 40y
PuntMIA3p · 9y
PuntATL3p · 8y
PuntMIA3p · -3y
TDATL12p · 54y
FGMIA5p · 22y
PuntATL3p · 5y
PuntMIA3p · 6y
FGATL6p · 49y

Ensemble breakdown

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · MIA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIA win)
33%
weight
Qb Elo
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIA win)
33%
weight
Dvoa Proxy
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIA win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Live model · pick

Receipts

Player props

Tale of the tape

Team rate stats · season-to-date

Tale of the tape

nflverse · weekly aggregates

ATL

league avg

MIA

19.4

Pts / game

23.5

▶

21.2

344

Yds / game

◀

342

316

218

Pass yds / G

◀

225

195

126

Rush yds / G

◀

117

120

0.8

TO / G

◀

0.9

1.3

Player
Cooper Rush · #13	13/18	106	1	0
Tua Tagovailoa · #1	7/8	95	0	0
Team	20/26	201	1	0

Player
Kyle Pitts Sr. · #8	3	59	0	37
Tyler Goodson · #25	2	36	0	31
Jahan Dotson · #4	3	27	0	11
Chris Blair · #19	3	22	0	11
Jack Velling · #84	3	21	1	11
Vinny Anthony II · #86	2	14	0	9
Brian Robinson Jr. · #15	1	9	0	9
Nick Muse · #87	1	8	0	8
Dylan Drummond · #80	1	5	0	5
Nathan Carter · #38	1	0	0	0
Team	20	201	1	37

Player
C.J. Henderson · #26	4	4	0	0
Harold Perkins Jr. · #56	3	3	1	1
Natrone Brooks · #35	3	3	0	0
Nick Muse · #87	2	2	0	0
Cameron Thomas · #99	1	1	1	1
A.J. Terrell Jr. · #24	1	1	0	0
Sydney Brown · #29	1	1	0	0
Jammie Robinson · #34	1	1	0	0
Xavier Watts · #31	1	1	0	0
Maason Smith · #92	1	1	0	1
Christian Harris · #45	1	1	0	0
Kendal Daniels · #53	1	1	0	0
Azeez Ojulari · #51	1	0	0	0
Zach Harrison · #96	1	0	0	0
Bralen Trice · #48	1	0	0	0
Mike Hughes · #21	0	0	0	0
Chris Williams · #93	0	0	0	0
Darnay Holmes · #30	0	0	0	0
DeMarcco Hellams · #23	0	0	0	0
Team	23	20	2	3

Player
Nick Folk · #6	1/1	34	2/2	5
Team	1/1	34	2/2	5

Player
Jake Bailey · #16	2	124	62.0	0
Team	2	124	62.0	0

3 sub-models, blended.

Tale of the tape

3 sub-models, blended.

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Fumbles

Defense

Kick Returns

Punt Returns

Kicking

Punting

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Fumbles

Defense

Kick Returns

Punt Returns

Kicking

Punting

Tale of the tape

Player
Zachariah Branch · #17	1	18	18	0
Dylan Drummond · #80	2	18	14	0
Team	3	36	18	0

Player
Carlos Washington Jr. · #37	5	13	0	6
Cam Miller · #15	3	8	0	3
Team	8	21	0	6

Player
Jalen Tolbert · #1	3	27	0	19
Chris Bell · #18	2	22	0	18
Terrace Marshall Jr. · #86	1	16	0	16
Theo Wease Jr. · #81	1	6	0	6
Jalen Reagor · #17O	0	0	0	0
Carlos Washington Jr. · #37	0	0	0	0
Seydou Traore · #49	0	0	0	0
Team	7	71	0	19

Player
Cam Miller · #15	1	0	0
Willie Gay Jr. · #40	0	0	1
Jackson Woodard · #42	0	0	1
Team	1	0	2

Player
Tyrel Dodson · #25	6	3	0	0
Jackson Woodard · #42	5	1	0	0
Willie Gay Jr. · #40	5	0	0	0
Ethan Bonner · #27	4	4	0	0
JuJu Brents · #8	3	3	0	0
Lonnie Johnson Jr. · #32	2	2	0	0
Ryan Miller · #84	2	1	0	0
Cameron Goode · #53	2	0	0	0
David Ojabo · #50	2	0	0	0
Louis Moore · #41D	2	0	0	0
A.J. Green III · #24	1	1	0	0
Marco Wilson · #21	1	1	0	0
Robert Beal Jr. · #51	1	1	0	1
Dante Trader Jr. · #11	1	1	0	1
Cam Rice · #58	1	1	0	0
Tucker Addington · #46	1	0	0	0
Seth Coleman-Lyles · #90	1	0	0	0
Max Llewellyn · #57	1	0	0	0
Keith Cooper Jr. · #97	1	0	0	0
Kyle Louis · #19	1	0	0	0
Team	43	19	0	2

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Riley Patterson · #47	2/3	46	0/0	6
Team	2/3	46	0/0	6

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Bradley Pinion · #48	4	197	49.3	0
Team	4	197	49.3	0