HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBBot 7
LAD 1@DET 1
+4.0pppeak
MLBEnd 2
PIT 0@STL 0
-0.5pphigh
MLBTop 6
HOU 0@NYM 1
+36.9ppmedium
MLBMid 6
KC 1@CLE 0
-45.2ppmedium
MLBTop 5
BOS 0@NYY 1
+31.4ppmedium
MLBBot 4
TEX 1@MIL 2
+24.3ppmedium
MLBMid 2
CHW 4@MIN 3
-24.2ppmedium
MLBMid 6
SD 4@TB 7
+40.3pplow
MLBTop 7
MIA 1@WSH 5
+52.0pplow
MLBTop 5
COL 0@ATL 4
+28.4pplow
MLBEnd 5
SEA 1@TOR 5
+48.2pplow
WNBA6:58 - 3rd
POR 56@ATL 45
-57.9pphigh
WNBAHalftime
CON 43@IND 58
NFL1:03 - 1st
SEA 3@KC 3
NFL7:22 - 2nd
NYG 7@NYJ 6
NFLHalftime
HOU 3@CAR 6
NFL3:08 - 2nd
TB 0@JAX 3
NFL1:18 - 1st
CIN 6@PHI 0
NFL3:06 - 1st
NO 10@DAL 3
NFL14:54 - 2nd
ARI 10@GB 3
NFLHalftime
ATL 17@MIA 6
NFL15:00 - 4th
WSH 3@BAL 34
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-1 so far (MLB 0-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Sale (ATL): 9.0 IP · 11 K in a win over LAD — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Chourio (MIL): 4 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Caglianone (KC): 5 H · 1 HR · 6 RBI in a win over TOR — Standout Index 95
TRANSACTION · MLBDiamondbacks: Optioned RHP Juan Burgos to Reno (PCL) (Aug 28)
TRANSACTION · MLBOrioles: Reinstated 3B Blaze Alexander from the 10-day IL (Aug 28)
TRANSACTION · MLBAthletics: Reinstated LHP José Suarez from the 15-day IL (Aug 28)
MLBBot 7
LAD 1@DET 1
+4.0pppeak
MLBEnd 2
PIT 0@STL 0
-0.5pphigh
MLBTop 6
HOU 0@NYM 1
+36.9ppmedium
MLBMid 6
KC 1@CLE 0
-45.2ppmedium
MLBTop 5
BOS 0@NYY 1
+31.4ppmedium
MLBBot 4
TEX 1@MIL 2
+24.3ppmedium
MLBMid 2
CHW 4@MIN 3
-24.2ppmedium
MLBMid 6
SD 4@TB 7
+40.3pplow
MLBTop 7
MIA 1@WSH 5
+52.0pplow
MLBTop 5
COL 0@ATL 4
+28.4pplow
MLBEnd 5
SEA 1@TOR 5
+48.2pplow
WNBA6:58 - 3rd
POR 56@ATL 45
-57.9pphigh
WNBAHalftime
CON 43@IND 58
NFL1:03 - 1st
SEA 3@KC 3
NFL7:22 - 2nd
NYG 7@NYJ 6
NFLHalftime
HOU 3@CAR 6
NFL3:08 - 2nd
TB 0@JAX 3
NFL1:18 - 1st
CIN 6@PHI 0
NFL3:06 - 1st
NO 10@DAL 3
NFL14:54 - 2nd
ARI 10@GB 3
NFLHalftime
ATL 17@MIA 6
NFL15:00 - 4th
WSH 3@BAL 34
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-1 so far (MLB 0-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Sale (ATL): 9.0 IP · 11 K in a win over LAD — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Chourio (MIL): 4 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Caglianone (KC): 5 H · 1 HR · 6 RBI in a win over TOR — Standout Index 95
TRANSACTION · MLBDiamondbacks: Optioned RHP Juan Burgos to Reno (PCL) (Aug 28)
TRANSACTION · MLBOrioles: Reinstated 3B Blaze Alexander from the 10-day IL (Aug 28)
TRANSACTION · MLBAthletics: Reinstated LHP José Suarez from the 15-day IL (Aug 28)
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THE ONE Analytics
Beta
NFL logoNFLHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersFantasyDraft '26LeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
WSH logo
WSH
3
Live15:00 - 4th
BAL logo
BAL
34
Updated 8:42 PM ET
M&T Bank Stadium · Baltimore, MD
15:00 - 4TH+31BAL↑
WSH

WSH

1-1

3
34
BAL

BAL

2-0

NFL · Drive chart

21 drives · 4 TD · 3 FG · 1 INT · 1 Fum · 1 Downs · 3 Miss · 6 Punt
  1. TDBAL8p · 69y
  2. FumWSH1p · 2y
  3. TDBAL7p · 30y
  4. PuntWSH3p · 2y
  5. MissBAL4p · 1y
  6. MissWSH4p · 8y
  7. FGBAL9p · 15y
  8. PuntWSH4p · 20y
  9. TDBAL9p · 91y
  10. PuntWSH3p · 4y
  11. PuntBAL5p · 16y
  12. PuntWSH3p
  13. MissBAL6p · 30y
  14. ½WSH1p · 9y
  15. DownsWSH5p · 17y
  16. TDBAL7p · 51y
  17. PuntWSH4p · 2y
  18. INTBAL3p · 3y
  19. FGWSH4p · 3y
  20. FGBAL6p · 59y
  21. —WSH5p · 10y
Ensemble breakdown

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · BAL favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(BAL win)

    33%

    weight

  • Qb Elo

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(BAL win)

    33%

    weight

  • Dvoa Proxy

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(BAL win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Live model · pick
Receipts
Player props
Tale of the tape

Team rate stats · season-to-date

Tale of the tape

nflverse · weekly aggregates

WSH

WSH

league avg

BAL

BAL

20.5

Pts / game

23.5

▶

24.4

331

Yds / game

342

▶

349

196

Pass yds / G

◀

225

193

135

Rush yds / G

117

▶

157

1.1

TO / G

0.9

1.1

Team pages

Washington CommandersatBaltimore Ravens

Elsewhere in the NFL

  • Seahawks3@Chiefs31:03 - 1st
  • Giants7@Jets67:22 - 2nd
  • Texans3@Panthers6Halftime
  • Buccaneers0@Jaguars33:02 - 2nd
  • Bengals6@Eagles01:18 - 1st
  • Saints10@Cowboys32:58 - 1st
  • Cardinals10@Packers314:54 - 2nd
  • Falcons17@Dolphins6Halftime
  • Vikings@Broncos8/28 - 9:00 PM EDT

↳ Data via ESPN · nflverse · Next Gen Stats (via nflverse)

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

65%Last 7 · 61-33
64%Last 30 · 300-166
Receipts →

On the call · NFL

7 officials

Umpire

Barry Anderson

Side Judge

Keith Washington

Umpire

Roy Ellison

Field Judge

Ryan Dickson

Down Judge

Danny Short

Line Judge

Tripp Sutter

Back Judge

Courtney Brown

Per-official season stats (foul rate, strike-zone tendency) activate with the season-stats rollup. Bookmark the names for now.

QB · live passing line

ESPN leaders · live

A. Kaliakmanis

WSH · #16 · QB

45 yds7/13 · 0 TD · 0 INT

J. Fagnano

BAL · #12 · QB

162 yds19/27 · 1 TD · 0 INT

Recent plays · last 8

ESPN PBP · live
  1. WSH · Rush1st & 10 · +8 ydsQ3
  2. WSH · Rush2nd & 2 · +15 ydsQ3
  3. WSH · Penalty1st & 10 · -10 ydsQ3
  4. WSH · Rush1st & 20 · -1 ydsQ3
  5. WSH · Sack2nd & 21 · -6 ydsQ3
  6. WSH · Pass Reception3rd & 27 · +4 ydsQ3
  7. WSH · End Period4th & 23 · no gainQ3
  8. WSH · Punt4th & 23 · no gainQ4
NFL·Fri, Aug 28·15:00 - 4th/VegasBAL -4.5
Updated 0s ago

WSH · top performer

WSH
Athan Kaliakmanis

Athan Kaliakmanis

· #16

45Pass yds

7/13

C/A

0

TD

0

INT

BAL · top performer

BAL
Joe Fagnano

Joe Fagnano

· #12

162Pass yds

19/27

C/A

1

TD

0

INT

Game flowWSH ↔ BAL

NFL · Washington Commanders at Baltimore Ravens · live

NFL · Box score

15:00 - 4th

Passing

passing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Athan Kaliakmanis · #16
7/134500
Sam Hartman · #15
4/82000
Team11/215900

Rushing

rushing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Craig Reynolds · #24
429015
Robert Henry Jr. · #30O
51509
Kaytron Allen · #31O
3402
Team1248015

Receiving

receiving box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Van Jefferson · #12
117017
Luke McCaffrey · #11
117017
Lawrence Cager · #89
31007
Colson Yankoff · #80
1606
Jaden Bradley · #86
1606
Craig Reynolds · #24
1404
Jacoby Jones · #84
2403
Robert Henry Jr. · #30O
1101
Nick Nash · #19O
0000
Team1165017

Fumbles

fumbles box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Kaytron Allen · #31O
110
Jaden Bradley · #86
100
Craig Reynolds · #24
001
Team211

Defense

defensive box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Ale Kaho · #51
6400
Tyler Owens · #18
5200
Kain Medrano · #56
5100
Darius Rush · #29
4400
Car'lin Vigers · #37
4400
Krys Barnes · #47
4200
Quindell Johnson · #40D
4100
Byron Cowart · #55
3201
Qwuantrezz Knight · #32
3200
Ricky Barber · #50
3100
Curtis Jacobs · #57
3100
Maurice Hurst II · #77D
2100
Shy Tuttle · #96
2100
Boogie Basham · #64
2100
DJ Johnson · #53
2100
Antonio Hamilton Sr. · #34
2000
Percy Butler · #35
1100
Luke McCaffrey · #11
1100
Fred Davis II · #38
1100
T.J. Maguranyanga · #59
1100
Jeffrey M'ba · #60D
1000
Joshua Josephs · #48
1000
Team603201

Interceptions

interceptions box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Quindell Johnson · #40D
1230
Team1230

Kick Returns

kickReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jaden Bradley · #86
377310
Craig Reynolds · #24
248270
Kaytron Allen · #31O
1990
Team6134310

Kicking

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Drew Stevens · #19S
1/2390/03
Team1/2390/03

Punting

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Tress Way · #10
523747.42
Team523747.42

Passing

passing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Joe Fagnano · #12
19/2716210
Tyler Huntley · #5
4/46110
Austin Reed · #15O
2/51801
Team25/3624121

Rushing

rushing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jonathan Ward · #35
753124
Rasheen Ali · #26O
928012
Adam Randall · #23
525011
Tyler Huntley · #5
214014
Joe Fagnano · #12
1111
Team24121224

Receiving

receiving box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Chris Moore · #17
354125
Ty Pezza · #84
547017
Adam Randall · #23
345024
Devontez Walker · #81
322011
LaJohntay Wester · #10
221111
Rasheen Ali · #26O
31808
Josh Cuevas · #85
21508
Matthew Hibner · #88
21107
Lucas Scott · #47O
1707
Elijah Sarratt · #13
1101
Xavier Guillory · #16
0000
Octavian Smith Jr. · #87
0000
Team25241225

Fumbles

fumbles box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Tyler Huntley · #5
101
CJ Okoye · #97
001
Team102

Defense

defensive box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Kaimon Rucker · #56
4312
Dominic DeLuca · #42
3300
Silas Walters · #36D
3300
Cornelius Johnson · #86
2200
Rayshaun Benny · #99
2200
Robert Longerbeam · #37
2200
Lardarius Webb Jr. · #34D
2200
David Olajiga · #65
2110
Adisa Isaac · #50
2100
Chandler Rivers · #29
2100
K'Von Wallace · #26D
1100
Michael Barrett · #54D
1100
Jay Higgins IV · #49
1100
Aaron Graves · #59
1100
Keyon Martin · #38
1100
Keondre Jackson · #39
1100
Lucas Scott · #47O
1100
Marquise Robinson · #28
1100
Ethan Burke · #45
1000
CJ Okoye · #97
1000
Aeneas Peebles · #90
0000
Dion Wilson Jr. · #58
0000
Team342822

Kick Returns

kickReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jonathan Ward · #35
130300
Team130300

Punt Returns

puntReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
LaJohntay Wester · #10
119190
Team119190

Kicking

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Tyler Loop · #33
2/4514/410
Team2/4514/410

Punting

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Ryan Eckley · #30
14444.01
Team14444.01

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

107

Total yds

362

48

Rush yds

121

1

TO

1

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

BAL

Home

107

Total yards

362

48

Rushing yds

121

1

Turnovers

1

9-93

totalPenaltiesYards

6-45

16:20

possessionTime

28:40

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BAL -4.5

Between 3 and 7

↘0.5pt· 6.2h

Total

34.5

Defensive · -12.5 vs avg

Moneyline

WSHWSH+15839%
BALBAL-19066%

↗6· 6.2h

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BAL -4.5↗SpreadBet BAL -4.5↗

Line movement · 200 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

4.5

-0.5 since open

Total

34.5

-1.0 since open

How it's going

BAL lead WSH 34-3 (15:00 - 4th). Joe Fagnano led the way — 19/27 · 162 YDS · 1 TD · 98.1 QBR. BAL have outscored the other side 14-0 in the 1st quarter.

Win probability

BAL vs WSH

0255075100

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
WSH00303
BAL141010034

Period scoring

WSH won 0 · BAL won 3

0
14

Q1

0
10

Q2

3
10

Q3

0
0

Q4

WSH
BAL

Play-by-play · 140 plays

event
  1. —

  2. —

    +3pp

  3. —

    +1pp

  4. —

    −2pp

  5. —

    −2pp

  6. —

    +4pp

  7. —

    +2pp

  8. —

    −0.9pp

  9. —

    +5pp

  10. —

    −3pp

  11. —

    BIG MOMENT

    +10pp

  12. —

    −0.6pp

  13. —

    BIG MOMENT

    +9pp

  14. —

    +2pp

  15. —

    +0.5pp

  16. —

  17. —

    −0.6pp

  18. —

    +3pp

  19. —

  20. —

    +2pp

  21. —

  22. —

    +1pp

  23. —

    +0.6pp

  24. —

    +0.8pp

  25. —

    +1pp

  26. —

    +0.8pp

  27. —

  28. —

    −0.9pp

  29. —

    −1pp

  30. —

Betting line

BAL -4.5·O/U 34.5·WSH +158/BAL -190

DraftKings · via ESPN