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NFL·Model edges
Where the model
disagrees with Vegas.
Tonight's slate ranked by the gap between the model's home-team win probability and the moneyline's de-juiced implied probability. The list runs largest gap first. Edges under 3 percentage points sit inside model noise; sharps tend to live at five or higher on the same side.
No NFL edges showing tonight — either nothing's on the slate yet or the closing-line ingest hasn't finished its current pass.
See the roadmap →