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NFL·Odds today

Tonight's
NFL odds.

Spreads, totals, and tip-offs for every NFL game on the board today. De-juiced moneylines and per-pillar line movement live on each game's deep page; this is the scan view that puts every line in front of you at once.

No NFL games with posted lines today — either the slate is light or odds haven't dropped yet. Check back closer to first game time.

NFL scores →

NFL betting markets

How the NFL market works

NFL spreads are the sharpest sports market in the world — billions of dollars in liquidity, weeks of prep time per game, and key numbers (3, 7, 10) that the market clusters around. Edges are smaller and harder-won than in any other sport.

What the NFL model will weight

The factor stack

When NFL live odds + model context ship, the rating engine will weight the factors below. The shape mirrors the MLB model that's live today, which back-tested at 55% on 2,932 games. The full methodology is at /methodology.

  • 01Per-team rating with EPA + CPOE per-play composite
  • 02Quarterback-adjusted base rate (QB swap = ~7pt swing)
  • 03Weather (wind > 15mph caps the over)
  • 04Rest differential (Thursday games, post-bye, west coast east coast 1pm)
  • 05Injury report by position group, not just starter availability

Sharp angles · NFL

What sharps watch for today

These are the recurring patterns sharp NFL bettors actually work. Each one has shown up in the post-mortem of multiple winning weeks. Treat them as a starting point for handicapping, not a substitute for it.

  • ✓Buy points across 3 (+2.5 → +3 is a meaningful gain)
  • ✓Hook plays on the 7 (under 6.5, over 7.5)
  • ✓Live-bet the favorite after early underdog scoring
  • ✓Total under when both QBs are limited or weather is bad

What you can use right now

Live surfaces while the NFL model ships

  • ✓ /nfl/scores — today's slate with live updates and Vegas line context
  • ✓ /nfl/odds — every game with spread + total + tip-off in one scan
  • ✓ /best-bets — cross-sport edge leaderboard (live for MLB + NBA today)
  • ✓ /sportsbooks — every state's legal sportsbook list, geo-fenced CTAs to DraftKings + FanDuel + BetMGM + Caesars + ESPN BET
  • ✓ /methodology — full breakdown of how the rating engine works on the leagues we've already shipped
Model edges →·Model picks →·Sportsbooks by state

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
Receipts →
MLBTop 3
TOR 0@BOS 0
-4.5pphigh
MLBBot 1
SF 1@ATL 1
+1.7ppmedium
MLBBot 2
CHW 1@NYY 1
-1.4pphigh
MLBTop 4
KC 0@WSH 2
+37.1pplow
MLBBot 1
NYM 0@CIN 4
+44.0pplow
MLBBot 3
MIA 0@PHI 7
+43.3pplow
WNBA9:21 - 2nd
TOR 21@IND 28
+7.9ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
MLBTop 3
TOR 0@BOS 0
-4.5pphigh
MLBBot 1
SF 1@ATL 1
+1.7ppmedium
MLBBot 2
CHW 1@NYY 1
-1.4pphigh
MLBTop 4
KC 0@WSH 2
+37.1pplow
MLBBot 1
NYM 0@CIN 4
+44.0pplow
MLBBot 3
MIA 0@PHI 7
+43.3pplow
WNBA9:21 - 2nd
TOR 21@IND 28
+7.9ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)