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MIA#12 · American Football Conference
Miami Dolphins
0-0 (0.0%) · -
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#23 of 32
Elo rating 1463.7 · as of 2026-05-04 · nfl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2025-12-07 → 2026-01-04 · Full ATS profile →
Won by 24 at NYJ, 34-10, 2025-12-07. Covered the spread (latest line).
Lost by 13 at PIT, 15-28, 2025-12-15. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 24 vs CIN, 21-45, 2025-12-21. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Won by 3 vs TB, 20-17, 2025-12-28. Covered the spread (latest line).
Lost by 28 at NE, 10-38, 2026-01-04. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
latest-line grading · capture began 2026-05-01
Graded snap by snap
How good were they, snap to snap?
Their offense ranked 20th of 32 in the 2025 regular season, across 728 graded plays; the defense ranked 23rd across 805.
EPA per play is how many points the average play was worth. Zero means the play was worth what an average play in that situation is worth. Across all 32 teams in 2025, offenses averaged +0.009 per play and defenses allowed +0.014 — those are averages of the 32 team rates, not play-weighted.
728 off plays · 805 def plays · win-probability band 0.05–0.95 · explosive = 20+ pass / 12+ rush yds
OFFENSE · 2025 REG
+0.002
Team EPA per play
20th of 32lg avg +0.009
DEFENSE · 2025 REG
+0.064
Team EPA per play allowed
23rd of 32lg avg +0.014
The full split728/805 plays
Offense — team-wide, every graded snap
All plays+0.00239
20th of 32 · lg avg +0.009 · 2024 REG -0.040 (24th)
Success43.0%32
22nd of 32 · lg avg 44.2% · 2024 REG 44.4% (15th)
Explosive8.8%74
9th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 6.9% (26th)
Dropbacks+0.02432
22nd of 32 · lg avg +0.043 · 2024 REG +0.078 (15th)
Rushes-0.02561
13th of 32 · lg avg -0.043 · 2024 REG -0.214 (31st)
Defense — allowed, lower is better
All plays+0.06429
23rd of 32 · lg avg +0.014 · 2024 REG -0.013 (12th)
Success48.8%3
31st of 32 · lg avg 44.3% · 2024 REG 43.2% (13th)
Explosive8.5%29
23rd of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 7.9% (15th)
Dropbacks+0.14619
26th of 32 · lg avg +0.050 · 2024 REG +0.027 (10th)
Rushes-0.05552
16th of 32 · lg avg -0.042 · 2024 REG -0.076 (13th)
Bar = where they rank among all 32 teams. Number = the raw value.
Whole-team totals over every graded snap. The QB card further down rates one passer’s dropbacks from a different table, so its EPA/play is a different number, not a contradiction.
Offense EPA/play — 2025 REG +0.002 · 2024 REG -0.040 · +0.042
Defense EPA/play allowed — 2025 REG +0.064 · 2024 REG -0.013 · +0.076
Two separate completed regular seasons. This is what happened, not a forecast.
nfl_team_epa, 2025 REG, 728 plays, WP 0.05-0.95, computed 2026-06-18 · method r782-epa-v1
nflverse / nflfastR (CC BY 4.0), modified by theoneanalytics: aggregated to team/QB-season EPA. Win-probability band excludes garbage time. Regular season only — this table carries no playoff rows and no week-by-week splits.
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Passing yards
- 1Tua Tagovailoa20 TD2,660
- 2Quinn Ewers3 TD622
- 3Zach Wilson0 TD32
- 4Jaylen Waddle0 TD8
Rushing yards
- 1De'Von Achane8 TD1,350
- 2Jaylen Wright2 TD288
- 3Ollie Gordon II3 TD199
- 4Malik Washington1 TD110
- 5Tua Tagovailoa0 TD43
Receiving yards
- 1Jaylen Waddle6 TD910
- 2De'Von Achane4 TD488
- 3Greg Dulcich1 TD335
- 4Malik Washington3 TD317
- 5Darren Waller6 TD283
Receptions
- 1De'Von Achane16 G67
- 2Jaylen Waddle16 G64
- 3Malik Washington17 G46
- 4Greg Dulcich9 G26
- 5Darren Waller9 G24
Total TDs
- 1Tua Tagovailoa14 G20
- 2De'Von Achane16 G12
- 3Darren Waller9 G6
- 4Jaylen Waddle16 G6
- 5Malik Washington17 G4
Passing + rushing + receiving TDs combined.
Yards per carry
- 1De'Von Achane238 car5.7
- 2Jaylen Wright70 car4.1
- 3Ollie Gordon II70 car2.8
Min 50 carries.
2025 season · player_stats_weekly (nflverse weekly ingest) · counting boards ungated · yards/carry requires 50+ carries
Under center
What the QB is worth
QB value (our estimate)
Tua Tagovailoa
384 att · n=42 qualified QBs
Our QBR estimate45.2
- EPA / play+0.017
- Accuracy +-0.3%
- Pressure0.2%
Built on +0.017 EPA/play and -0.3% accuracy over expected. Our estimate, not ESPN's QBR.
Box-score power tier · league of 32
Where they rank
Soft
avg rank 23.2
YDS
26th
Total yards
PASS
25th
Pass yards
RUSH
13th
Rush yards
PTS
22nd
Points
TO
30th
Turnovers
Offensive profile · 2025
How the offense plays
Per-game · 17 weeks
Identity · Pass-leaning
62% pass · 38% rush
PASS
RUSH
Total yards
316vs 342 yds/GSlight gap
Passing yards
195vs 225 yds/GSlight gap
Rushing yards
120vs 117 yds/GLeague avg
Points scored
21.2vs 23.5 pts/GSlight gap
Turnovers
1.30vs 0.90 TO/GBelow avg
Tick mark on each bar shows the league average for the 2025 season. The team identity strip up top reads at a glance: pass-heavy offenses usually score more in volume; run-heavy offenses control time of possession and game script.
2026 Draft Class · 12 picks
The new arrivals.
RND 1 · PICK 12
Kadyn Proctor
OT · Alabama
RND 1 · PICK 27
Chris Johnson
CB · San Diego St.
RND 2 · PICK 43
Jacob Rodriguez
LB · Texas Tech
RND 3 · PICK 75
Caleb Douglas
WR · Texas Tech
RND 3 · PICK 87
Will Kacmarek
TE · Ohio St.
RND 3 · PICK 94
Chris Bell
WR · Louisville
RND 4 · PICK 130
Trey Moore
EDGE · Texas
RND 4 · PICK 138
Kyle Louis
LB · Pittsburgh
RND 5 · PICK 158
Michael Taaffe
SAF · Texas
RND 5 · PICK 177
Kevin Coleman
WR · Missouri
RND 6 · PICK 200
Devon Campbell
G · Texas
RND 7 · PICK 238
Max Llewellyn
EDGE · Iowa
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 11
Signed C Aaron Brewer to a contract extension through the 2029 season.
- Jun 4
Signed CB Chris Johnson and TE Seydou Traore to rookie contracts.
- Jun 3
Signed G/T Kadyn Proctor to a rookie contract.
- Jun 2
Signed WR Jalen Reagor to a contract. Waived S/ILB Jordan Colbert. Signed WRs Chris Bell, Caleb Douglas and Kevin Coleman Jr., G DJ Campbell, TE Will Kacmarek, EDGE Max Llewellyn, ILBs Kyle Louis and Jacob Rodriguez, EDGE/ILB Trey Moore, and S Michael Taaffe to rookie contracts.
- May 26
Waived TE Jalin Conyers and OT Braeden Daniels.
- May 21
Signed T Marques Cox and RB Carlos Washington Jr. to contracts. Waived TE Jalin Conyers and OL Braeden Daniels.
- May 20
Signed RB De’Von Achane to a contract extension through the 2030 season.
Source · ESPN
Offense · 44
The attack
A. Brewer
C · #55
A. Henning
WR · #88
A. Meyer
C · #60
A. Hankerson
RB · #30
A. Jackson
OT · #73
B. Sims
TE · #89
C. Douglas
WR · #7
C. Miller
QB · #15
C. Washington Jr.
RB · #37
C. Warren
OT · #77
C. Heck
OT · #67
C. Bell
WR · #18
C. Turner
TE · #87
D. Achane
RB · #28
D. Campbell
G · #63
D. Herman
FB · #34
D. McCulley
WR · #80
D. Edwards
RB · #36
G. Ayedze
OT · #72
G. Dulcich
TE · #85
J. Reagor
WR · #17
J. Tolbert
WR · #1
J. Salyer
G · #69
J. Ester
G · #65
J. Wright
RB · #5
J. Bonifas
C · #62
J. Savaiinaea
G · #72
J. Priebe
G · #68
K. Proctor
OT · #74
K. Cline
OT · #79
K. Coleman Jr.
WR · #83
M. Washington
WR · #6
M. Willis
QB · #2
M. Gronowski
QB · #16
M. Cox
OT · #70
O. Gordon II
RB · #0
P. Paul
OT · #52
Q. Ewers
QB · #14
S. Traore
TE · #49
T. Washington
WR · #84
T. Marshall Jr.
WR · #86
T. Wease Jr.
WR · #81
T. Atwell
WR · #4
W. Kacmarek
TE · #82
Defense · 44
The stop unit
A.J. Green III
CB · #24
A. Austin
CB · #26
A. Huntley
DT · #96
C. Goode
LB · #53
C. Robinson
LB · #44
C. Johnson
CB · #3
C. Ferrell
DE · #98
D. Trader Jr.
S · #11
D. Baker Jr.
CB · #22
D. Ojabo
LB · #50
E. Bonner
CB · #27
E. Robinson
CB · #38
J. Woodard
LB · #42
J. Rodriguez
LB · #10
J. Marshall Jr.
CB · #33
J. Phillips
DT · #94
J. Brooks
LB · #20
J. Uche
LB · #9
J. Brents
CB · #8
K. Cooper Jr.
DT · #97
K. Grant
DT · #78
K. Louis
LB · #19
L. Johnson Jr.
S · #32
L. Moore
S · #41
M. Burns
S · #43
M. Wilson
CB · #21
M. Reiger
DE · #90
M. Butler
DT · #91
M. Llewellyn
DE · #57
M. Taaffe
S · #31
M. Battle
CB · #35
O. Brown
S · #34
R. Konga
DT · #95
R. Beal Jr.
DE · #51
R. McGraw
DE · #59
R. Harrison Jr.
LB · #56
S. Coleman
DE · #58
S. Duck
CB · #29
T. Moore
LB · #17
T. Dodson
LB · #25
W. Gay Jr.
LB · #40
Z. Sieler
DT · #92
Z. Anderson
S · #23
Z. Biggers
DT · #93
Special teams · 4
