Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
69,879 attended
FINAL+17CIN
CIN
3-0
3013
PHI
0-3
NFL · Drive chart
20 drives · 4 TD · 5 FG · 1 INT · 2 Fum · 1 Downs · 6 PuntPuntPHI5p · 2y FGCIN10p · 60y PuntPHI3p · -1y FGCIN12p · 57y INTPHI10p · 49y FGCIN10p · 48y PuntPHI3p · 7y FumCIN4p · 20y FGPHI11p · 35y FumCIN0p FGPHI4p · 5y TDCIN10p · 70y TDPHI11p · 76y PuntCIN3p · 1y PuntPHI6p · 20y TDCIN11p · 77y DownsPHI5p · 20y TDCIN1p · 39y PuntPHI3p · -3y EndCIN6p · 31y
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.0%
ensemble · PHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Qb Elo
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Dvoa Proxy
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Team rate stats · season-to-date
Tale of the tape
nflverse · weekly aggregates
CIN
league avg
PHI
29.3
Pts / game
◀
23.5
24.4
343
Yds / game
◀
342
323
250
Pass yds / G
◀
225
206
94
Rush yds / G
117
▶117
1.4
TO / G
0.9
▶0.6
Data via ESPN · nflverse · Next Gen Stats (via nflverse)
